640 Devonshire Dr · Belleville, IL 62226

$80,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1954 8,276 sqft lot Est $83k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +8.9/15.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Well maintained 3 bedroom 1 bath ranch with attached carport. Updated kitchen, windows, flooring and bath. New shingles installed in 2015. Private back yard. Storage shed built into the carport. Sold before print.

Key facts

• 8,276 sq ft lot
• Parking
• Built 1954

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
• Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
• Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 190 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $60k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.64% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.61%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.56%
• DSCR: 2.00
• GRM: 5.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $82,560
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
640 Devonshire Dr	0.00mi	3/1.0	960 (0%)	0mo	$80,000	$83	96
624 Royal Heights Rd	0.07mi	2/1.0 (-1)	960 (0%)	3mo	$30,000	$31	85
3916 Shirley Dr	0.30mi	3/1.0	939 (-2%)	1mo	$125,000	$133	78
652 N 39th St	0.19mi	2/1.0 (-1)	984 (+2%)	4mo	$64,000	$65	74
3805 Little Flower Ln	0.23mi	3/1.0	864 (-10%)	0mo	$134,900	$156	68
435 N 38th St	0.40mi	2/1.0 (-1)	997 (+4%)	1mo	$50,000	$50	65
14 Lillian Dr	0.50mi	3/1.0	925 (-4%)	3mo	$79,900	$86	64
439 N 39th St	0.33mi	3/1.0	864 (-10%)	1mo	$120,000	$139	64
14 N 41st St	0.64mi	2/1.0 (-1)	986 (+3%)	4mo	$133,000	$135	54
120 N 46th St	0.68mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,028 (+7%)	0mo	$40,000	$39	47
1637 N 16th St	0.68mi	3/1.0	1,056 (+10%)	2mo	$79,900	$76	46
301 N 37th St	0.54mi	2/1.5 (-1)	1,090 (+14%)	3mo	$139,900	$128	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.56% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 17.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.71×
• Total profit: $16,015
• Equity at exit: $11,928

10-year hold

• IRR: 27.0%
• Equity multiple: 3.57×
• Total profit: $57,593
• Equity at exit: $6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 62226

• Rents YoY: 4.6%
• Active inventory: 190
• Price-to-rent: 5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,313 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$420
• Tax from tax record: −$163 /mo · $1,957/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$276
• Net cashflow: $421

Break-even live

Break-even rent $780

Max offer price $80,000

Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,000
• Closing costs: $2,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 12 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
654 N 39th St Belleville, IL	3.0	1.0	984	$1,400	$1.42	18d	1	0.20mi
213 Columbus Dr Belleville, IL	3.0	1.0	1040	$1,650	$1.59	24d	1	0.35mi
1000 Royal Heights Rd Belleville, IL	2.0	1.5	1100	$1,345	$1.22	24d	1	0.38mi
54 Ben Louis Dr Belleville, IL	2.0	1.0	900	$1,145	$1.27	24d	1	0.41mi
4516 W Main St Belleville, IL	2.0	1.0	607	$850	$1.40	24d	1	0.78mi
56 Friendly Dr Belleville, IL	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,550	$1.55	24d	1	0.87mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 232-B Belleville, IL	2.0	1.0	936	$895	$0.96	24d	1	1.11mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 228-P Belleville, IL	2.0	1.0	936	$970	$1.04	24d	1	1.11mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 232-Q Belleville, IL	2.0	1.0	936	$895	$0.96	18d	1	1.11mi
219 Freedom Dr Unit 228-G Belleville, IL	2.0	1.0	936	$895	$0.96	4d	1	1.11mi
5784 Brett Michael Ln Belleville, IL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	801	$1,195	$1.49	8d	7	1.18mi
31 S 27th St Belleville, IL	2.0	1.0	1000	$915	$0.92	24d	1	1.21mi

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-04-23
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-22
   listed $80,000 Active
3. 2018-09-07
   soldstatus $60,000
4. 2016-05-02
   listed $51,000 213-char remark

   Show marketing remark (213 chars)

   Well maintained 3 bedroom 1 bath ranch with attached carport. Updated kitchen, windows, flooring and bath. New shingles installed in 2015. Private back yard. Storage shed built into the carport. Sold before print.

5. 2016-05-02
   soldstatus 213-char remark

   Show marketing remark (213 chars)

   Well maintained 3 bedroom 1 bath ranch with attached carport. Updated kitchen, windows, flooring and bath. New shingles installed in 2015. Private back yard. Storage shed built into the carport. Sold before print.

6. 2016-04-28
   soldstatus $51,000
7. 2013-09-06
   soldstatus $45,000
8. 2013-05-05
   historical

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,957 · $163/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,957 · $163/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,754
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,481
• − Property taxes: −$1,957
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,260
• − Management: −$1,260
• − Depreciation: −$2,327
• Taxable income: $4,068
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$976
• After-tax cash flow: $4,078/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Belleville Twp Hsd 201
• NCES district ID: 1705640
• Math proficiency: 21% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 28% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $58,064
• Composite: 22.39/100
• National rank: #8115
• State rank: #308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #142
• US rank: #2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Belleville, IL
• County: Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
• City population: 47,407
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• Population (ZIP): 28,255
• Household income: $70,797
• Rent vs Own: 33.0% rent · 67.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 824.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 250,366 people
• By 2030: 240,511 · -3.9%
• By 2040: 217,391 · -13.2%
• By 2050: 192,699 · -23.0%
• By 2075: 140,637 · -43.8%
• By 2100: 100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 64% Black 24% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Chinese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -83.57%
• Current HPI: 133.9028
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.56%
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

+77.8% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-23 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-22 Listed $80,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
• 2016-05-02 Listed $51,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2016-05-02 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2016-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $51,000 Public Records
• 2013-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
• 2013-05-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,957 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.