146 W 8th St · Chapman, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Built 1918
- Listed 37 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Built with other construction materials
- Exterior features: Gravel road access; Lot in a residential zone (0.28 acres)
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Enclosed patio/porch; Partial fencing
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#69 in KS, #4,090 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Chapman (rural): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #73 of 169 in KS (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
- Dickinson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $64k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.10%
- DSCR
- 2.12
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.71×
- Total profit
- $35,947
- Equity at exit
- $32,542
- IRR
- 31.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.30×
- Total profit
- $90,219
- Equity at exit
- $49,252
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67431
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,259 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,570/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $439
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $482 | -5% $461 | +0% $439 | +5% $418 | +10% $397 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $340 | -5% $390 | +0% $439 | +5% $489 | +10% $539 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $477 | -0.5pp $458 | base $439 | +0.5pp $420 | +1.0pp $400 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $75,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $75,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-05$75,000 Active
-
2003-03-01soldstatus $64,000
-
1996-09-01soldstatus $60,770
-
1995-11-01soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,570 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,570 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,109
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,570
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,209
- − Management
- −$1,209
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $4,364
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,047
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,224/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chapman
- NCES district ID
- 2004620
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,961
- Composite
- 28.56/100
- National rank
- #6726
- State rank
- #73 of 169 in KS
Livability — Chapman
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #69
- US rank
- #4090
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chapman, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,963
Population outlook (Dickinson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,727 people
- By 2030
- 18,312 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 17,433 · -6.9%
- By 2050
- 16,493 · -11.9%
- By 2075
- 14,441 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 11,707 · -37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Vietnamese 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dickinson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.0) · D 21.8% · R 76.7% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.8pp toward R · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -55.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.0 2020: R+54.1 2016: R+54.0 2012: R+47.7 2008: R+42.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.72%
- Current HPI
- 176.8864
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+114.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $75,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2003-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 1996-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $60,770 Public Records
- 1995-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,570 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…