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D Composite 40.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$198,900

None · Cheshire Village, CT 06410
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · Condo public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1966 $510/mo HOA · 24% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great starter property or investment to rent out. 2Nd floor 2 bedroom condo with heat & water included in hoa fee.

Key facts

  • $510 HOA
  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1966

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Part of an 84-unit complex (Birchwood-Cheshire); Nearby amenities include lake, library, medical facilities, park, playground, public pool, public recreation facilities, and tennis courts
  • Financial info: Professional off-site property management; Pets restricted (no dogs allowed)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Monthly HOA fee covers grounds maintenance, trash pickup, snow removal, heat, hot water, water, sewer, property management, and road maintenance

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved off-street parking; 3 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Domestic hot water
  • Home design: Condominium (ranch model); Unit on 2nd floor
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick & white color
  • Exterior features: Porch; Exterior lighting; Secluded, lightly wooded and treed lot with some wetlands; level to rolling terrain

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Oven/Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heat (oil-fired); Window AC unit; Thermopane windows
  • Interior features: Cable available; Full shared basement; Attic with hatch access
  • Laundry & utility: Common laundry area on lower level; Fuel tank in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-137 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $175k (12.2% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
  • Recommended offer: $175k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.5% in Cheshire Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#29 in CT, #2,087 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
  • Cheshire School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #15 of 153 in CT (top 10%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Doolittle School (math 68% / reading 73%, grade A-, #75 of 553 statewide, top 14%, 518 students, 23% FRL); Dodd Middle School (math 61% / reading 73%, grade A-, #21 of 175 statewide, top 12%, 622 students, 16% FRL); Cheshire High School (math 46% / reading 73%, grade C+, #45 of 194 statewide, top 25%, 1,239 students, 16% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($145k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $100k; list at $199k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Recommended offer $174,720 (12.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
5.47%
Cash-on-cash
-2.95%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.0%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-40,655
Equity at exit
$29,657
10-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-45,437
Equity at exit
$17,197

Cash invested: $55,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06410

Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,105 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,043
Tax from tax record
$164 /mo · $1,963/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$510
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$442
Net cashflow
$-137

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,278
Max offer price $174,720
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-24 -5% $-81 +0% $-137 +5% $-193 +10% $-249
Rent -10% $-303 -5% $-220 +0% $-137 +5% $-54 +10% $29
Rate -1.0pp $-37 -0.5pp $-86 base $-137 +0.5pp $-188 +1.0pp $-241

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,725
Closing costs
$5,967
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
500 Oak Ave #21 Cheshire, CT 2.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 12d 1 0.23mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$510 · $6,120/yr
Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-04-16
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show
  2. 2026-04-06
    listed $198,900 Active
  3. 2026-04-04
    historical $198,900
  4. 2011-04-29
    soldstatus $100,000 118-char remark
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Great starter property or investment to rent out. 2Nd floor 2 bedroom condo with heat & water included in hoa fee.

  5. 2010-10-18
    listed $105,000 118-char remark
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    Great starter property or investment to rent out. 2Nd floor 2 bedroom condo with heat & water included in hoa fee.

  6. 2009-09-25
    historical
  7. 2009-03-26
    listed $108,000
  8. 2007-01-02
    soldstatus $127,000
  9. 2006-12-29
    soldstatus $127,000
  10. 2006-10-17
    listed $127,000
  11. 2004-05-19
    soldstatus $109,000
  12. 2004-05-19
    soldstatus $109,000
  13. 2004-05-14
    soldstatus $109,000
  14. 2004-03-07
    listed $109,000
  15. 2000-12-14
    soldstatus $75,000
  16. 2000-10-16
    listed $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,963 · $164/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,110 · $259/mo
Expected delta
+$1,147/yr (+$96/mo · 58.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,255
− Mortgage interest
−$11,141
− Property taxes
−$1,963
− Insurance
−$994
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,020
− Management
−$2,020
− HOA
−$6,120
− Depreciation
−$5,786
Taxable loss
−$4,791
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,150
After-tax cash flow
$-493/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cheshire School District
NCES district ID
0900750
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$107,049
Composite
64.78/100
National rank
#519
State rank
#15 of 153 in CT

Livability — Cheshire Village

Score
79/100
State rank
#29
US rank
#2087

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
New Haven County · 688,236 people
City population
28,792
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
Population (ZIP)
28,904
Household income
$145,179
Rent vs Own
13.3% rent · 86.7% own
Severe rent burden
234.0

Population outlook (Naugatuck Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
496,846

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Two or more races 10% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3%
Foreign-born
13% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
85% English-only · Chinese 4% Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Naugatuck Valley

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.4) · D 45.6% · R 53.0% · Other 1.4%
All cycles
2024: R+7.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -321.35%
Current HPI
244.0737
Rent YoY
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+165.2% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $198,900 Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-04 Coming Soon $198,900 Smart MLS
  • 2011-04-29 Sold (MLS) $100,000 Smart MLS
  • 2010-10-18 Listed $105,000 Smart MLS
  • 2009-09-25 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2009-03-26 Listed $108,000 Smart MLS
  • 2007-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $127,000 Public Records
  • 2006-12-29 Sold (MLS) $127,000 Smart MLS
  • 2006-10-17 Listed $127,000 Smart MLS
  • 2004-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
  • 2004-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $109,000 Public Records
  • 2004-05-14 Sold (MLS) $109,000 Smart MLS
  • 2004-03-07 Listed $109,000 Smart MLS
  • 2000-12-14 Sold (MLS) $75,000 Smart MLS
  • 2000-10-16 Listed $75,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2023): $1,963 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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