18601 SE 24th Ln · Silver Springs Shores East, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.6/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTORS ALERT! 2000 DOUBLEWIDE 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH WITH 1344 SQ FT. MOBILE HOME HAS NEW PAINT, CABINETS, APPLIANCES, TILE FLOOR, AND STARTED REHAB. ALSO INCLUDED AND SECOND DWEELING THAT IS 1 BEDROOM 1 BATH COULD MAKE FOR A GREAT RENTAL OR ROOM FOR YOUR EXTENDED FAMILY. ALSO IS A 20X30 2 CAR GARAGE. HOMES NEED TO BE FINISHED FOR A GREAT RETURN. PRICED FOR A QUICK SALE. SCHEDULE YOUR SHOWING ASAP!
Key facts
- 0.38 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2000
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $320 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 5.2% in Silver Springs Shores East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 426 active listings in the ZIP; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,771/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 303% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $135k implies a 125% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.16%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,374
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $25,527
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32179
- Home prices YoY
- -18.3%
- Active inventory
- 426
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,771 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$315 /mo · $3,781/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $320
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $135,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-03-04$135,000 Active 398-char remark
Show marketing remark (398 chars)
INVESTORS ALERT! 2000 DOUBLEWIDE 3 BEDROOM 2 BATH WITH 1344 SQ FT. MOBILE HOME HAS NEW PAINT, CABINETS, APPLIANCES, TILE FLOOR, AND STARTED REHAB. ALSO INCLUDED AND SECOND DWEELING THAT IS 1 BEDROOM 1 BATH COULD MAKE FOR A GREAT RENTAL OR ROOM FOR YOUR EXTENDED FAMILY. ALSO IS A 20X30 2 CAR GARAGE. HOMES NEED TO BE FINISHED FOR A GREAT RETURN. PRICED FOR A QUICK SALE. SCHEDULE YOUR SHOWING ASAP!
-
2025-06-23historical
-
2025-03-12price $225,000
-
2024-12-26price $228,000
-
2024-05-14price $235,000
-
2024-04-05price $241,000
-
2024-03-04$242,000 Active
-
2007-11-20soldstatus $60,000
-
2007-11-16soldstatus $60,000
-
2007-05-07$70,000
-
2007-05-01historical
-
2006-06-06historical
-
2006-03-29$74,000
-
2005-12-06$99,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,781 · $315/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,781 · $315/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,257
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$3,781
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,701
- − Management
- −$1,701
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,910
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$458
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,382/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Silver Springs Shores East
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,318
- Household income
- $46,512
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 303.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.21%
- Current HPI
- 242.0408
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+35.1% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Listed $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-23 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-12 Price Changed $225,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-26 Price Changed $228,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-14 Price Changed $235,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-05 Price Changed $241,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-03-04 Listed $242,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2007-11-16 Sold (MLS) $60,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-07 Listed $70,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-05-01 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-06 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-03-29 Listed $74,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-12-06 Listed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+13.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,781 · +12.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…