3533 Sahar Lake Dr · Corpus Christi, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.2/10.0
$375,295
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The Eureka plan is a single-story, 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home with approximately 2,045 square feet of living space. Just through the foyer is an open-concept kitchen, living, and dining room with windows looking onto a covered porch. The island kitchen features a corner pantry and a stainless-steel gas range. Just off the foyer are bedrooms 2, 3 & 4, right next to the large laundry room. The spacious Bedroom 1 suite is located off the living room and includes a large walk-in closet and a relaxing spa-like bathroom with double vanity and a spacious walk-in closet. You’ll enjoy added security in your new D. R. Horton home with our Home is Connected features. With D. R. Horton's si
Key facts
- Open-concept kitchen
- Walk-in closet
- Corner pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $375k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $334k (10.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $330k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.6% in Corpus Christi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Calallen ISD (urban): math 42% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #249 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Calallen Wood River El (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #505 of 4,322 statewide, top 13%, 479 students, 54% FRL); Calallen Middle (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #646 of 1,662 statewide, top 40%, 968 students, 53% FRL); Calallen H S (math 47% / reading 59%, grade C-, #437 of 1,632 statewide, top 27%, 1,180 students, 51% FRL).
- Market conditions: 194 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($330k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.43%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-36,244
- Equity at exit
- $55,958
- IRR
- -0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $-362
- Equity at exit
- $32,449
Cash invested: $105,083 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78380
- Home prices YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 194
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,345 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,968
- Tax from tax record
- −$80 /mo · $958/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$50
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$702
- Net cashflow
- $388
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $601 | -5% $494 | +0% $388 | +5% $282 | +10% $176 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $124 | -5% $256 | +0% $388 | +5% $520 | +10% $653 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $577 | -0.5pp $484 | base $388 | +0.5pp $291 | +1.0pp $192 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,824
- Closing costs
- $11,259
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4510 Thoreau Cir Corpus Christi, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2577 | $3,345 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $50 · $600/yr
- Likely covers
- gassecurity
Listing history 8 events
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2026-04-13status Pending
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2026-04-13price $375,295
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2026-02-04price $375,145
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2025-11-18$403,145 Active
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2025-09-17$403,145 Active
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2025-01-24soldstatus Closed
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2024-12-19status Pending
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2023-10-10$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $958 · $80/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,868 · $572/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,910/yr (+$492/mo · 616.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,140
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,022
- − Property taxes
- −$958
- − Insurance
- −$1,876
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,211
- − Management
- −$3,211
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$10,918
- Taxable loss
- −$1,657
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$398
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,057/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calallen ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4812420
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,780
- Composite
- 39.25/100
- National rank
- #4004
- State rank
- #249 of 826 in TX
Livability — Corpus Christi
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corpus Christi, TX
- City population
- 296,836
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,752
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 76% Two or more races 38% White 23%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 71%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 47%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.51%
- Current HPI
- 286.19
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+369.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — CBMLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $375,295 CBMLS
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $375,145 CBMLS
- 2025-11-18 Listed $403,145 CBMLS
- 2025-09-17 Listed $403,145 CBMLS
- 2025-01-24 Sold (MLS) — CBMLS
- 2024-12-19 Pending — CBMLS
- 2023-10-10 Listed $80,000 CBMLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $958 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…