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171 Frederick Dr
C Composite 56.62
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$232,000

171 Frederick Dr · Chicago Heights, IL 60411
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,539 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1959 6,360 sqft lot Est $229k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautifully updated 4-bedroom, 2-bath home that's truly movein ready. Enjoy a modern kitchen featuring granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and an updated light fixture. Both bathrooms offer contemporary tiling, and the home includes newer windows throughout. Spacious bedrooms provide generous closet space, and the large living room with a cozy fireplace is perfect for relaxing or entertaining. Step outside to a private backyard surrounded by lush greenery. The long driveway offers ample parking. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, restaurants, and just minutes from the new casino. Located in the highly regarded Homewood Flossmoor School District. Schedule your s

Key facts

  • Contemporary tiling
  • Newer windows
  • Modern kitchen

Tags

MODERN KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESUPDATED LIGHT FIXTURECONTEMPORARY TILINGNEWER WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Fee simple ownership; Property not currently leased; Possession at closing
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space; 1 total parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Two-story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built approximately 61–70 years ago; Built before 1978
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 106; Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; School bus service and commuter train access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (main level) — 10 x 10
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (second level) — 14 x 15, carpet; Bedroom (second level) — 10 x 15, carpet; Bedroom (main level) — 13 x 11, carpet; Bedroom (main level) — 9 x 11, carpet
  • Flooring: Carpet flooring in bedrooms and master
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Fireplace in the living room; Dining area combined with living room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $232k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $428 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $232k).
  • Recommended offer: $225k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.4% in Chicago Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#339 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Homewood Flossmoor Chsd 233 (suburban): math 21% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #272 of 620 in IL (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Homewood-Flossmoor High School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #304 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 2,798 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,584/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($62k/yr) (locally 1714% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $65k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($225k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $151k; list at $232k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $225,040 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.91%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$229,311
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
182 Frederick Dr 0.04mi 4/1.5 1,539 (0%) 2mo $99,900 $65 97
220 W Raye Dr 0.12mi 4/2.0 1,600 (+4%) 4mo $175,000 $109 83
159 Pleasant Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,653 (+7%) 0mo $225,000 $136 73
251 Frederick Dr 0.18mi 4/2.0 1,632 (+6%) 8mo $266,000 $163 72
135 N Floyd Ln 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,600 (+4%) 8mo $225,000 $141 65
1307 Thomas St 0.62mi 4/2.0 1,487 (-3%) 1mo $319,000 $215 63
168 W Normandy Dr 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,350 (-12%) 1mo $258,000 $191 57
176 N Floyd Ln 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,660 (+8%) 7mo $150,000 $90 56
421 Carey Ct 0.74mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,520 (-1%) 9mo $253,200 $167 51
313 Homewood Ct 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (+4%) 7mo $245,000 $153 50
19380 Peoria St 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,699 (+10%) 8mo $195,000 $115 45
19024 Jodi Ter 0.69mi 4/2.0 1,737 (+13%) 10mo $258,000 $149 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.99×
Total profit
$-923
Equity at exit
$34,592
10-year hold
IRR
12.7%
Equity multiple
2.17×
Total profit
$75,757
Equity at exit
$20,059

Cash invested: $64,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60411

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Rents YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
224
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,584 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,217
Tax from tax record
$300 /mo · $3,598/yr
Insurance
$97
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$543
Net cashflow
$428

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,042
Max offer price $232,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $559 -5% $494 +0% $428 +5% $362 +10% $297
Rent -10% $224 -5% $326 +0% $428 +5% $530 +10% $632
Rate -1.0pp $545 -0.5pp $487 base $428 +0.5pp $368 +1.0pp $307

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,000
Closing costs
$6,960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1332 Jamie Ln Homewood, IL 4.0 2.5 1576 $3,171 $2.01 25d 1 0.91mi
531 Wallace St Chicago Heights, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,000 $1.82 6d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $232,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $232,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $232,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $232,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $232,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $232,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 36 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 35 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,000 Active 34 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $240,000 Active 31 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $240,000 Active 30 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $240,000 Active 29 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 28 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 27 DOM
  15. 2026-05-04
    listed $240,000 Active
  16. 2025-11-01
    historical
  17. 2025-10-25
    price
  18. 2025-10-14
    listed Active
  19. 2025-10-14
    historical
  20. 2025-10-01
    price
  21. 2025-09-12
    price
  22. 2025-08-25
    listed Active
  23. 2020-07-08
    soldstatus $151,000
  24. 2020-04-16
    soldstatus $150,530 Closed Sale
  25. 2020-02-22
    historical Contingent
  26. 2020-02-14
    listed $149,000 New
  27. 2020-02-12
    historical
  28. 2020-01-03
    status Reactivated
  29. 2019-12-26
    historical Contingent
  30. 2019-11-06
    listed New
  31. 2019-02-07
    soldstatus $60,000
  32. 1991-09-26
    soldstatus $30,000
  33. 1987-10-01
    soldstatus $46,000
  34. 1985-05-01
    soldstatus $43,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,598 · $300/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,432 · $369/mo
Expected delta
+$834/yr (+$70/mo · 23.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,006
− Mortgage interest
−$12,996
− Property taxes
−$3,598
− Insurance
−$1,160
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,480
− Management
−$2,480
− Depreciation
−$6,749
Taxable income
$1,542
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$370
After-tax cash flow
$4,767/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Homewood Flossmoor Chsd 233
NCES district ID
1719560
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$83,564
Composite
24.42/100
National rank
#7681
State rank
#272 of 620 in IL

Livability — Chicago Heights

Score
71/100
State rank
#339
US rank
#6836

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chicago Heights, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
52,175
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
52,175
Household income
$62,073
Rent vs Own
34.8% rent · 65.2% own
Severe rent burden
1714.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 19% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.75%
Current HPI
212.4058
Rent YoY
▲ 6.48%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+446.7% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $240,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-01 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-25 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-14 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-14 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-01 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-12 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-25 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $151,000 Public Records
  • 2020-04-16 Sold (MLS) $150,530 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-02-22 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-02-14 Listed $149,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-02-12 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-01-03 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-12-26 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-06 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 1991-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 1987-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
  • 1985-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2023): $3,598 · +18.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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