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2512 E 04th St
C- Composite 52.09
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

2512 E 04th St · Chattanooga, TN 37404
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 171 Days on market
Built 1920 7,000 sqft lot Est $430k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Release your imagination and restore this charming 1.5-story, approx. 1920 built home into the special jewel it was meant to be. Located in the heart of Glenwood, this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath residence is filled with character and timeless details. Step into the open foyer and continue into a welcoming living room where a classic fireplace serves as the focal point. An arched doorway leads into the formal dining room, perfect for gatherings and entertaining. Just off the kitchen, you'll find the ever-so-charming breakfast nook—yes, it's still here—adding warmth and nostalgia to everyday meals. The kitchen offers abundant cabinetry and multiple cooktops, providing a solid foundation

Key facts

  • Breakfast nook
  • Multiple cooktops
  • Formal dining room

Tags

OPEN FOYERCLASSIC FIREPLACEFORMAL DINING ROOMBREAKFAST NOOKABUNDANT CABINETRYMULTIPLE COOKTOPS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Driveway; Off-street parking
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Phone available; Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single family house; One and one half stories; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Stone construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Permanent foundation; Built as a house (year built not provided)
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Rain gutters; Deck; Porch; Side porch; Back yard; Level lot; Concrete road frontage on a city street; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free‑standing refrigerator; Free‑standing electric range; Cooktop
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Storage; Wood window frames; Living room fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room with washer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (17.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.4% in Chattanooga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#3 in TN, #2,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Orchard Knob Elementary (math 12% / reading 2%, grade F, #863 of 952 statewide, top 92%, 477 students, 0% FRL); Orchard Knob Middle (math 5% / reading 6%, grade F, #291 of 333 statewide, top 88%, 334 students, 0% FRL); Brainerd High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #294 of 332 statewide, top 91%, 635 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hamilton County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 172 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $250k implies a 578% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $206,778 (17.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
7.10%
Cash-on-cash
2.87%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$430,360
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2411 Shady Ln 0.21mi 3/2.5 2,000 (-6%) 5mo $379,900 $190 72
2111 Kirby Ave 0.72mi 3/2.5 2,090 (-1%) 1mo $425,000 $203 59
1804 Vine St 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,100 (-1%) 7mo $250,000 $119 52
409 Derby St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,852 (-13%) 16mo $215,000 $116 51
3107 Colyar Dr 0.44mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,268 (+7%) 7mo $983,100 $433 51
2506 Union Ave 0.56mi 3/2.5 1,875 (-12%) 15mo $450,000 $240 38
3117 Colyar Dr 0.47mi 3/2.5 2,429 (+15%) 23mo $715,000 $294 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-35,996
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-41,369
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37404

Home prices YoY
-30.6%
Rents YoY
0.0%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,068 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $615/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$434
Net cashflow
$167

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,856
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $309 -5% $238 +0% $167 +5% $96 +10% $26
Rent -10% $4 -5% $85 +0% $167 +5% $249 +10% $330
Rate -1.0pp $293 -0.5pp $231 base $167 +0.5pp $102 +1.0pp $36

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2425 Chamberlain Ave Chattanooga, TN 3.0 2.0 1422 $1,795 $1.26 25d 1 0.44mi
210 Buena Vista Dr Unit 4 Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.5 1500 $1,495 $1.00 25d 1 0.55mi
2106 Duncan Ave Unit 102 Chattanooga, TN 3.0 2.5 1600 $2,295 $1.43 25d 1 0.58mi
2001 Garfield St Chattanooga, TN 4.0 2.0 1413 $1,700 $1.20 25d 1 0.58mi
1905 Ivy St Chattanooga, TN 4.0 3.0 1860 $2,495 $1.34 25d 1 0.63mi
111 N Seminole Dr Chattanooga, TN 4.0 2.0 1500 $2,200 $1.47 25d 1 0.63mi
1906 Vine St Chattanooga, TN 3.0 2.5 1881 $2,200 $1.17 25d 1 0.64mi
1814 Duncan Ave Chattanooga, TN 3.0 2.0 2056 $2,500 $1.22 23d 1 0.77mi
1908 Robbins St Chattanooga, TN 3.0 2.0 1783 $1,750 $0.98 15d 1 0.80mi
1705 Bailey Ave Chattanooga, TN 3.0 2.0 1632 $1,850 $1.13 25d 1 0.93mi
409 Booth Rd Chattanooga, TN 3.0 2.0 1530 $1,695 $1.11 25d 1 1.04mi
1516 Union Ave Chattanooga, TN 4.0 3.0 2800 $3,800 $1.36 25d 1 1.08mi
3518 Ridgeside Rd Chattanooga, TN 4.0 2.0 1409 $1,375 $0.98 25d 1 1.12mi
1809 Cotton Way Chattanooga, TN 2.0 2.5 1412 $2,295 $1.63 25d 1 1.19mi
1601 Arlington Ave Chattanooga, TN 3.0 1.0 1416 $1,650 $1.17 15d 1 1.25mi
2380 E 18th Street Pl Chattanooga, TN 3.0 2.5 1950 $1,895 $0.97 23d 1 1.30mi
2360 E 18th St Chattanooga, TN 3.0 2.5 1544 $2,095 $1.36 25d 1 1.31mi
2328 E 18th Street Pl Chattanooga, TN 3.0 2.5 1950 $1,995 $1.02 23d 1 1.32mi
2328 E 18th St Chattanooga, TN 3.0 2.5 1616 $2,095 $1.30 25d 1 1.32mi
3617 Monte Vista Dr Chattanooga, TN 3.0 2.0 1628 $1,823 $1.12 15d 1 1.37mi
2335 E 19th St Chattanooga, TN 3.0 2.5 1616 $1,995 $1.23 25d 1 1.38mi
2303 E 19th St Chattanooga, TN 3.0 2.5 1544 $1,995 $1.29 23d 1 1.38mi
1652 Mari Cir Chattanooga, TN 3.0 3.0 1700 $2,500 $1.47 25d 1 1.46mi
3229 Westonia Dr Chattanooga, TN 4.0 2.0 2130 $2,695 $1.27 25d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $250,000 Active 171 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 168 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 167 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 166 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 165 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $250,000 Active 163 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $250,000 Active 160 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 159 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 158 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 157 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $250,000 Active 154 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 153 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 152 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 151 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 150 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $250,000 Active 149 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    price $250,000
  18. 2026-01-01
    listed $325,000 Active
  19. 1986-02-12
    soldstatus $36,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$615 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,775 · $148/mo
Expected delta
+$1,160/yr (+$97/mo · 188.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,813
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$615
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,985
− Management
−$1,985
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$2,298
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$552
After-tax cash flow
$2,557/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamilton County
NCES district ID
4701590
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$47,456
Composite
26.8/100
National rank
#7122
State rank
#42 of 139 in TN

Livability — Chattanooga

Score
78/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#2582

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chattanooga, TN
County
Hamilton County · 312,777 people
City population
131,999
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
Population (ZIP)
14,737
Household income
$56,637
Rent vs Own
50.0% rent · 50.0% own
Severe rent burden
486.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
393,784 people
By 2030
412,983 · +4.9%
By 2040
449,502 · +14.1%
By 2050
484,341 · +23.0%
By 2075
565,746 · +43.7%
By 2100
618,394 · +57.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 38% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -139.43%
Current HPI
315.8539
Rent YoY
▬ 0.03%
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+577.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $250,000 GCAR
  • 2026-01-01 Listed $325,000 GCAR
  • 1986-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $36,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $615 · -31.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…