10544 Roundhill Dr · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$320,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful, one-of-a-kind home in the neighborhood featuring a double garage, grand foyer with high ceilings, formal dining area, and open-concept kitchen overlooking the living room with an upstairs overlook. Primary suite on the main floor with guest bedrooms upstairs, plus a flex space ideal for an office or playroom. Enjoy a peaceful, fully fenced backyard. No HOA! USDA eligible!
Key facts
- Grand foyer
- Double garage
- Open-concept kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available
- Home design: Single family residence (house); Two levels
- Construction: Brick veneer and stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built in public records (year built source)
- Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard; See remarks
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (3 total)
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Breakfast bar; Window treatments; Electric fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-798/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (3.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (26.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $235k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 770 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.89%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $360,878
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16487 Crestwood Ct | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,169 (-10%) | 1mo | $299,900 | $138 | 69 |
| 16872 W Landon Green Dr | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,071 (-14%) | 0mo | $378,000 | $183 | 58 |
| 10154 Patrick Dr | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,314 (-4%) | 2mo | $332,289 | $144 | 55 |
| 10563 Steeplechase Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,350 (-3%) | 3mo | $264,900 | $113 | 53 |
| 10271 Patrick Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,278 (-6%) | 0mo | $346,900 | $152 | 48 |
| 10116 Patrick Dr | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,204 (-9%) | 1mo | $318,761 | $145 | 48 |
| 10061 Patrick Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,204 (-9%) | 3mo | $318,145 | $144 | 48 |
| 10076 Patrick Dr | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,120 (-12%) | 1mo | $323,952 | $153 | 47 |
| 10069 Patrick Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,120 (-12%) | 0mo | $313,311 | $148 | 44 |
| 10498 Glade Cv | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,219 (-8%) | 3mo | $330,990 | $149 | 43 |
| 10546 Landon Meadows Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,114 (-13%) | 1mo | $388,490 | $184 | 40 |
| 10149 Patrick Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,120 (-12%) | 3mo | $340,000 | $160 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-46,433
- Equity at exit
- $47,713
- IRR
- -0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-2,812
- Equity at exit
- $27,668
Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39503
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 770
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,346 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,305/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$493
- Net cashflow
- $-66
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $115 | -5% $24 | +0% $-66 | +5% $-157 | +10% $-248 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-252 | -5% $-159 | +0% $-66 | +5% $26 | +10% $119 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $95 | -0.5pp $15 | base $-66 | +0.5pp $-149 | +1.0pp $-234 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,000
- Closing costs
- $9,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10667 Wren Grv Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2076 | $2,850 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 10749 Chapelwood Dr Gulfport, MS | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2306 | $2,250 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 16222 Saddle Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,600 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 10466 Steeplechase Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1677 | $1,800 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 11571 Caroline Ct Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $2,000 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 11604 Caroline Ct Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $1,850 | $1.11 | 46d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-27historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-08$320,000 Active
-
2021-10-01historical
-
2017-12-01$206,900
-
2012-10-09soldstatus
-
2012-07-17soldstatus
-
2012-07-01$202,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,305 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,528 · $211/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,223/yr (+$102/mo · 93.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,158
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,925
- − Property taxes
- −$1,305
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,253
- − Management
- −$2,253
- − Depreciation
- −$9,309
- Taxable loss
- −$6,486
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,557
- After-tax cash flow
- $759/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801770
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,504
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3419
- State rank
- #14 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,059
- Household income
- $62,641
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1686.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.39%
- Current HPI
- 187.285
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.99%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+57.7% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Contingent — MLSU
- 2026-04-08 Listed $320,000 MLSU
- 2021-10-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2017-12-01 Listed $206,900 MLSU
- 2012-10-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-07-17 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2012-07-01 Listed $202,900 MLSU
Property tax history
-3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,305 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…