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10544 Roundhill Dr
D+ Composite 45.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.2/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$320,000

10544 Roundhill Dr · Gulfport, MS 39503
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,422 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 2012 7,840 sqft lot Est $361k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful, one-of-a-kind home in the neighborhood featuring a double garage, grand foyer with high ceilings, formal dining area, and open-concept kitchen overlooking the living room with an upstairs overlook. Primary suite on the main floor with guest bedrooms upstairs, plus a flex space ideal for an office or playroom. Enjoy a peaceful, fully fenced backyard. No HOA! USDA eligible!

Key facts

  • Grand foyer
  • Double garage
  • Open-concept kitchen

Tags

DOUBLE GARAGEGRAND FOYEROPEN-CONCEPT KITCHENUPSTAIRS OVERLOOKPRIMARY SUITEFLEX SPACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); Two levels
  • Construction: Brick veneer and stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built in public records (year built source)
  • Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard; See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (3 total)
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Breakfast bar; Window treatments; Electric fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-798/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (3.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (26.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 770 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $234,648 (26.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
6.04%
Cash-on-cash
-0.89%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$360,878
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16487 Crestwood Ct 0.08mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,169 (-10%) 1mo $299,900 $138 69
16872 W Landon Green Dr 0.19mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,071 (-14%) 0mo $378,000 $183 58
10154 Patrick Dr 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,314 (-4%) 2mo $332,289 $144 55
10563 Steeplechase Dr 0.62mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,350 (-3%) 3mo $264,900 $113 53
10271 Patrick Dr 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,278 (-6%) 0mo $346,900 $152 48
10116 Patrick Dr 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,204 (-9%) 1mo $318,761 $145 48
10061 Patrick Dr 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,204 (-9%) 3mo $318,145 $144 48
10076 Patrick Dr 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,120 (-12%) 1mo $323,952 $153 47
10069 Patrick Dr 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,120 (-12%) 0mo $313,311 $148 44
10498 Glade Cv 0.59mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,219 (-8%) 3mo $330,990 $149 43
10546 Landon Meadows Dr 0.61mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,114 (-13%) 1mo $388,490 $184 40
10149 Patrick Dr 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,120 (-12%) 3mo $340,000 $160 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-46,433
Equity at exit
$47,713
10-year hold
IRR
-0.4%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-2,812
Equity at exit
$27,668

Cash invested: $89,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39503

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
770
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,346 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$109 /mo · $1,305/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$493
Net cashflow
$-66

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,431
Max offer price $308,258
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $115 -5% $24 +0% $-66 +5% $-157 +10% $-248
Rent -10% $-252 -5% $-159 +0% $-66 +5% $26 +10% $119
Rate -1.0pp $95 -0.5pp $15 base $-66 +0.5pp $-149 +1.0pp $-234

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$80,000
Closing costs
$9,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10667 Wren Grv Gulfport, MS 4.0 3.0 2076 $2,850 $1.37 45d 1 0.12mi
10749 Chapelwood Dr Gulfport, MS 4.0 2.5 2306 $2,250 $0.98 45d 1 0.36mi
16222 Saddle Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,600 $0.95 23d 1 0.64mi
10466 Steeplechase Dr Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1677 $1,800 $1.07 15d 1 0.68mi
11571 Caroline Ct Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1950 $2,000 $1.03 45d 1 1.31mi
11604 Caroline Ct Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1660 $1,850 $1.11 46d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    historical Active Under Contract
  2. 2026-04-08
    listed $320,000 Active
  3. 2021-10-01
    historical
  4. 2017-12-01
    listed $206,900
  5. 2012-10-09
    soldstatus
  6. 2012-07-17
    soldstatus
  7. 2012-07-01
    listed $202,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,305 · $109/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,528 · $211/mo
Expected delta
+$1,223/yr (+$102/mo · 93.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,158
− Mortgage interest
−$17,925
− Property taxes
−$1,305
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,253
− Management
−$2,253
− Depreciation
−$9,309
Taxable loss
−$6,486
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,557
After-tax cash flow
$759/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison County School District
NCES district ID
2801770
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,504
Composite
41.66/100
National rank
#3419
State rank
#14 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gulfport

Score
73/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#5010

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
55,059
Household income
$62,641
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
1686.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.39%
Current HPI
187.285
Rent YoY
▲ 6.99%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+57.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Contingent MLSU
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $320,000 MLSU
  • 2021-10-01 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2017-12-01 Listed $206,900 MLSU
  • 2012-10-09 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-07-17 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2012-07-01 Listed $202,900 MLSU

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,305 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…