5312 Berry Bay Ave · Wimauma, FL 33598

$334,990

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,665 sqft · Land · 9 Days on market

Built 2026 6,399 sqft lot $8/mo HOA

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +11.4/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Appreciation +3.8/10.0
• DSCR +3.3/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• 1% rule +2.9/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +1.9/5.0

Listing remarks

The builder is offering buyers up to $25,000 towards closing costs with the use of a preferred lender and title company. Located off US-301 and showcasing new homes in Wimauma, Berry Bay is one of the newest communities in the area. Just minutes from I-75, providing quick access to St. Pete, Downtown Tampa, Sarasota, as well as the bay. Berry Bay will feature a new homes lineup of our Express and Preferred series throughout the community. Berry Bay features include extended luxury vinyl in the main living and dining area, a stainless-steel appliance package, quartz countertops in the kitchen, as well as all concrete block construction on the 1st and 2nd stories, and Smart Home system. Other

Key facts

• Quartz countertops
• Smart home system
• 6,399 sq ft lot

Tags

• EXTENDED LUXURY VINYL
• QUARTZ COUNTERTOPS
• CONCRETE BLOCK CONSTRUCTION
• SMART HOME SYSTEM

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Home warranty included; Lease restrictions apply
• Financial info: Other annual assessment: $2,490; Total annual fees: $96; total monthly fees: $8
• HOA & community: HOA managed by Inframark; monthly fee of $8 (association approval required); Community amenities include clubhouse, playground and pool; Deed restrictions apply; Pets allowed

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities; Community Development District (CDD) present
• Home design: Single family residence; One story; New construction; Faces southwest
• Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by D.R. Horton (Builder model: Harper)
• Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road access; Irrigation equipment

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Open floorplan; Blinds on windows; Home includes dishwasher, dryer, microwave, range, refrigerator and washer
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $335k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-117 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $314k (6.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (21.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $264k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.5% in Wimauma — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#699 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A, cost of living A-, crime B; Watch: amenities F, employment D-, health & safety F.
• Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Reddick Elementary School (math 34% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 794 students, 78% FRL); Jule F Sumner High School (math 43% / reading 43%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 3,827 students, 43% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 674 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $263,570 (21.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.79% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.87%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.50%
• DSCR: 0.93
• GRM: 10.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.35% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -17.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.36×
• Total profit: $-60,248
• Equity at exit: $59,787

10-year hold

• IRR: -15.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.11×
• Total profit: $-83,942
• Equity at exit: $46,150

Cash invested: $93,797 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33598

• Home prices YoY: -0.9%
• Rents YoY: -2.5%
• Active inventory: 674
• Price-to-rent: 10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,636 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,757
• Tax from tax record: −$295 /mo · $3,540/yr
• Insurance: −$140
• HOA: −$8
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$553
• Net cashflow: $-117

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,784

Max offer price $314,306

Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $73	-5% $-22	+0% $-117	+5% $-212	+10% $-307
Rent	-10% $-325	-5% $-221	+0% $-117	+5% $-13	+10% $91
Rate	-1.0pp $52	-0.5pp $-32	base $-117	+0.5pp $-204	+1.0pp $-292

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $83,748
• Closing costs: $10,050
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
5554 Blue Azure Dr Wimauma, FL	3.0	2.0	1484	$2,000	$1.35	25d	1	0.23mi
3160 Oyster Cove St Wimauma, FL	4.0	2.5	1925	$2,350	$1.22	24d	1	0.26mi
5517 Blue Azure Dr Wimauma, FL	4.0	2.0	1841	$2,450	$1.33	25d	1	0.33mi
5517 Blue Azure Dr Wimauma, FL	4.0	2.0	1841	$2,450	$1.33	15d	1	0.33mi
5514 Blue Azure Dr Wimauma, FL	3.0	2.0	1540	$2,199	$1.43	0d	1	0.34mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $8 · $96/yr

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-05-15
   listed $334,990 Active 1144-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $3,540 · $295/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $3,540 · $295/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $31,628
• − Mortgage interest: −$18,765
• − Property taxes: −$3,540
• − Insurance: −$1,675
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,530
• − Management: −$2,530
• − HOA: −$96
• − Depreciation: −$9,745
• Taxable loss: −$7,253
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,741
• After-tax cash flow: $336/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hillsborough
• NCES district ID: 1200870
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $50,622
• Composite: 41.6/100
• National rank: #3435
• State rank: #41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Wimauma

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #699
• US rank: #14659

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living A- Crime B Employment D- Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Wimauma, FL
• County: Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
• City population: 32,820
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 32,820
• Household income: $97,520
• Rent vs Own: 12.8% rent · 87.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 149.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,022 people
• By 2030: 1,733,968 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 1,979,565 · +23.2%
• By 2050: 2,203,427 · +37.1%
• By 2075: 2,667,893 · +66.0%
• By 2100: 2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
• Race & ethnicity: White 40% Hispanic / Latino 39% Black 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 23% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
• Languages at home: 62% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -2.35%
• Current HPI: 271.8552
• Rent YoY: ▼ -2.50%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-24 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-15 Listed $334,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid