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4901 Lathrop #105 Rd
B- Composite 68.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

4901 Lathrop #105 Rd · Evansville, WY 82636
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Other · 14 Days on market
Built 2025

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this Updated 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom home! This 1216ft² Jessup Model Manufactured home built in 2022 is located a private cul-de-sac and offers an incredible view! Come enjoy the many amenities that Aspen Community has to offer while also being close to many restaurants, shopping and more! Contact the Michael Houck Real Estate Team today to line up your own private showing by calling/texting 307.462.2622

Key facts

  • Double vanity
  • Rich cabinetry
  • Large island

Tags

RICH CABINETRYTONS OF COUNTER SPACESTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESLARGE ISLANDSEPARATE DINING AREADOUBLE VANITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Aspen Community

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (manufactured detached)
  • Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher, Refrigerator, Microwave, Range/Oven, Disposal
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Dishwasher, Refrigerator, Microwave, Range/Oven, Disposal

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#51 in WY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Natrona County School District #1 (urban): math 44% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 41 in WY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 310 units permitted in Natrona County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Natrona County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 19 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 6% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
10.93%
Cash-on-cash
16.56%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.30×
Total profit
$7,585
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
17.0%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$35,202
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Wyoming
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+25
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable; small market.

ZIP-level market 82636

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
45
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,228 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax est. 1.5%
$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$348

Break-even live

Break-even rent $787
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $410 -5% $379 +0% $348 +5% $317 +10% $286
Rent -10% $251 -5% $299 +0% $348 +5% $396 +10% $445
Rate -1.0pp $393 -0.5pp $371 base $348 +0.5pp $324 +1.0pp $301

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $90,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $90,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $90,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $90,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $90,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $90,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $90,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $90,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $90,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $90,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $63,000 Active 3 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $63,000 Active 2 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on marketlisting id $63,000 Active 1 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,000 Active 53 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,000 Active 52 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $85,000 Active 51 DOM
  18. 2026-04-10
    listed $85,000 Active
  19. 2025-07-25
    soldstatus Closed 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Welcome to this Updated 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom home! This 1216ft² Jessup Model Manufactured home built in 2022 is located a private cul-de-sac and offers an incredible view! Come enjoy the many amenities that Aspen Community has to offer while also being close to many restaurants, shopping and more! Contact the Michael Houck Real Estate Team today to line up your own private showing by calling/texting 307.462.2622

  20. 2025-07-18
    soldstatus Closed 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    This 2022 Jessup mobile home is a spacious and inviting residence featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The primary bedroom is thoughtfully separated from the additional rooms, offering privacy and a peaceful retreat. The open floor plan enhances the sense of space, with a beautiful kitchen island that not only adds style but also provides seating, making it perfect for casual meals. The dining area offers ample space for family gatherings and entertaining. The living room is a cozy highlight of the home—ideal for unwinding. Bonus feature this home has insulated skirting for added protection during our cold months. This mobile home is perfect for those seeking comfort, privacy, and an inviting atmosphere. Call or text Talia Jongsma for your showing today (307)752-3454!!

  21. 2025-06-30
    soldstatus Closed
  22. 2025-05-30
    status Pending 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    This 2022 Jessup mobile home is a spacious and inviting residence featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The primary bedroom is thoughtfully separated from the additional rooms, offering privacy and a peaceful retreat. The open floor plan enhances the sense of space, with a beautiful kitchen island that not only adds style but also provides seating, making it perfect for casual meals. The dining area offers ample space for family gatherings and entertaining. The living room is a cozy highlight of the home—ideal for unwinding. Bonus feature this home has insulated skirting for added protection during our cold months. This mobile home is perfect for those seeking comfort, privacy, and an inviting atmosphere. Call or text Talia Jongsma for your showing today (307)752-3454!!

  23. 2025-05-26
    status Pending 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Welcome to this Updated 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom home! This 1216ft² Jessup Model Manufactured home built in 2022 is located a private cul-de-sac and offers an incredible view! Come enjoy the many amenities that Aspen Community has to offer while also being close to many restaurants, shopping and more! Contact the Michael Houck Real Estate Team today to line up your own private showing by calling/texting 307.462.2622

  24. 2025-05-23
    soldstatus Closed
  25. 2025-05-22
    status Pending
  26. 2025-05-02
    listed $65,000 Active
  27. 2025-04-26
    status Pending
  28. 2025-04-22
    listed $80,000 Active 421-char remark
    Show marketing remark (421 chars)

    Welcome to this Updated 3 Bedroom, 2 Bathroom home! This 1216ft² Jessup Model Manufactured home built in 2022 is located a private cul-de-sac and offers an incredible view! Come enjoy the many amenities that Aspen Community has to offer while also being close to many restaurants, shopping and more! Contact the Michael Houck Real Estate Team today to line up your own private showing by calling/texting 307.462.2622

  29. 2025-04-14
    listed $65,000 Active
  30. 2025-04-02
    listed $90,000 Active
  31. 2025-04-02
    price $90,000
  32. 2025-04-02
    price $98,000
  33. 2025-03-29
    status Active
  34. 2025-03-25
    listed $70,000 Active
  35. 2025-03-22
    listed $90,000 Active 786-char remark
    Show marketing remark (786 chars)

    This 2022 Jessup mobile home is a spacious and inviting residence featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms. The primary bedroom is thoughtfully separated from the additional rooms, offering privacy and a peaceful retreat. The open floor plan enhances the sense of space, with a beautiful kitchen island that not only adds style but also provides seating, making it perfect for casual meals. The dining area offers ample space for family gatherings and entertaining. The living room is a cozy highlight of the home—ideal for unwinding. Bonus feature this home has insulated skirting for added protection during our cold months. This mobile home is perfect for those seeking comfort, privacy, and an inviting atmosphere. Call or text Talia Jongsma for your showing today (307)752-3454!!

  36. 2025-03-21
    price $75,000
  37. 2025-02-28
    price $90,000
  38. 2025-02-26
    price $69,000
  39. 2025-01-04
    price $75,000
  40. 2024-12-18
    listed $98,000 Active
  41. 2024-11-26
    listed $79,000 Active
  42. 2024-11-19
    listed $77,250 Active
  43. 2024-09-18
    price $80,000
  44. 2024-07-24
    listed $86,500 Active
  45. 2024-05-17
    listed $69,000 Active
  46. 2024-03-11
    listed $93,000 Active
  47. 2024-01-19
    price $78,000
  48. 2024-01-03
    listed $90,000 Active
  49. 2023-10-05
    soldstatus
  50. 2023-09-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,730
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,350
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,178
− Management
−$1,178
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$2,914
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$699
After-tax cash flow
$3,474/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Natrona County School District #1
NCES district ID
5604510
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$55,217
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3437
State rank
#32 of 41 in WY

Livability — Evansville

Score
68/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#9711

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Evansville, WY
Population (ZIP)
3,856

Population outlook (Natrona County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
98,530 people
By 2030
107,084 · +8.7%
By 2040
124,838 · +26.7%
By 2050
143,617 · +45.8%
By 2075
192,378 · +95.2%
By 2100
228,435 · +131.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 10% Asian 2% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Natrona

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.6) · D 24.8% · R 73.5% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -34.4pp · 2024: -48.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.6 2020: R+47.6 2016: R+52.2 2012: R+41.1 2008: R+34.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.77%
Current HPI
195.2252
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+9.0% since first listed
40 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $85,000 WMLS
  • 2025-07-25 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2025-07-18 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2025-05-30 Pending WMLS
  • 2025-05-26 Pending WMLS
  • 2025-05-23 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2025-05-22 Pending WMLS
  • 2025-05-02 Listed $65,000 WMLS
  • 2025-04-26 Pending WMLS
  • 2025-04-22 Listed $80,000 WMLS
  • 2025-04-14 Listed $65,000 WMLS
  • 2025-04-02 Listed $90,000 WMLS
  • 2025-04-02 Price Changed $90,000 WMLS
  • 2025-04-02 Price Changed $98,000 WMLS
  • 2025-03-29 Relisted WMLS
  • 2025-03-25 Listed $70,000 WMLS
  • 2025-03-22 Listed $90,000 WMLS
  • 2025-03-21 Price Changed $75,000 WMLS
  • 2025-02-28 Price Changed $90,000 WMLS
  • 2025-02-26 Price Changed $69,000 WMLS
  • 2025-01-04 Price Changed $75,000 WMLS
  • 2024-12-18 Listed $98,000 WMLS
  • 2024-11-26 Listed $79,000 WMLS
  • 2024-11-19 Listed $77,250 WMLS
  • 2024-09-18 Price Changed $80,000 WMLS
  • 2024-07-24 Listed $86,500 WMLS
  • 2024-05-17 Listed $69,000 WMLS
  • 2024-03-11 Listed $93,000 WMLS
  • 2024-01-19 Price Changed $78,000 WMLS
  • 2024-01-03 Listed $90,000 WMLS
  • 2023-10-05 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2023-09-01 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2023-08-29 Listed $39,000 WMLS
  • 2023-08-07 Listed $44,000 WMLS
  • 2023-06-01 Sold (MLS) WMLS
  • 2023-04-08 Listed $89,900 WMLS
  • 2022-01-30 Listed $78,000 WMLS
  • 2021-01-07 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-10-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,497 · -17.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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