🏷️ Likely Rental
2414 NE Pursell Rd · Gladstone, MO
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
MULTIPLE OFFERS! BEST AND FINAL BY SUNDAY 10 AM TENANT OCCUPIED, TENT IS MONTH TO MONTH BUT WOULD LIKE TO STAY, TENANT HAS BEEN THEIR 5 YEARS. THE CURRENT RENT IS $820/MONTH
Key facts
- 0.32 acre lot
- Built 1952
- Listed 2 days
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax amount available (not included per instructions)
- HOA & community: No maintenance provided
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; Other parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Ranch style
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Built approximately 51–75 years ago
- Exterior features: Deck; Metal fencing; Lot approximately 13,939 square feet; Not in a flood plain
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with dining combo
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Electric cooling (has cooling)
- Interior features: Carpet flooring; Ranch floor plan; Slab basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located off the kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.5% in Gladstone — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#44 in MO, #3,612 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- North Kansas City 74 (urban): math 38% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #98 of 324 in MO (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 341 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 10% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.36%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $224,700
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2415 Pursell Rd | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 | 925 (-12%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $211 | 78 |
| 2208 NE 56th Ter | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,146 (+9%) | 1mo | $219,900 | $192 | 71 |
| 5818 N Garfield Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 977 (-7%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $225 | 67 |
| 5546 N Woodland Ave | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-9%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $141 | 66 |
| 5545 N Woodland Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,127 (+7%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $217 | 64 |
| 2403 NE 61st Ter | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,076 (+2%) | 1mo | $229,950 | $214 | 63 |
| 1601 55th Ter | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,143 (+9%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $197 | 61 |
| 6201 N Howard Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,030 (-2%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $223 | 61 |
| 5304 N Bales Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,032 (-2%) | 4mo | $179,900 | $174 | 59 |
| 5217 N Walrond Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,095 (+4%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $219 | 54 |
| 5709 N Woodland Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+14%) | 2mo | $199,999 | $167 | 54 |
| 5109 N Garfield Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-9%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $240 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-8,357
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $17,305
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64118
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 185
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,705 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,554/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $377 | -5% $330 | +0% $284 | +5% $237 | +10% $190 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $149 | -5% $216 | +0% $284 | +5% $351 | +10% $418 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $367 | -0.5pp $325 | base $284 | +0.5pp $241 | +1.0pp $197 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2813 A NE Kendallwood Pkwy Gladstone, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1079 | $1,895 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2307 NE 59th St Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,710 | $1.49 | 22d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5322 N Bales Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,495 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 6011 N Forest Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $1,595 | $1.62 | 8d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3207 NE 48th Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $1,800 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 4763 N Highland Ave Kansas City, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,195 | $1.26 | 3d | 13 | 1.16mi |
| 900 NE 62nd St Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $1,916 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2483 NE 68th St Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 928 | $1,325 | $1.43 | 5d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21status $165,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-19remarks 448-char remark
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 435-char remark
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 298-char remark
-
2026-06-16$165,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,554 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,600 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$46/yr (+$4/mo · 3.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,462
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,554
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,637
- − Management
- −$1,637
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $766
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$184
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,218/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Kansas City 74
- NCES district ID
- 2922800
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,444
- Composite
- 37.88/100
- National rank
- #4321
- State rank
- #98 of 324 in MO
Livability — Gladstone
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #44
- US rank
- #3612
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gladstone, MO
- County
- Clay County · 220,651 people
- City population
- 41,984
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,984
- Household income
- $74,740
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1629.0
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 266,022 people
- By 2030
- 280,057 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 306,153 · +15.1%
- By 2050
- 328,630 · +23.5%
- By 2075
- 375,182 · +41.0%
- By 2100
- 392,861 · +47.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.6) · D 46.4% · R 52.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.6 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+11.1 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -250.16%
- Current HPI
- 240.9626
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.20%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
+146.3% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Coming Soon $165,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-15 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-27 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-15 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-12 Relisted — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-08 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-09-03 Listed $149,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-08-30 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-16 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-12 Listed $100,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-31 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-08-22 Listed $61,700 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-07-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-06-27 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-06-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-05-15 Listed $47,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-27 Sold (MLS) — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-06-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-04-11 Listed $67,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,554 · +11.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…