None · Tampa, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Prime fix and flip opportunity in sought after Ybor City! 3- Bedroom, 1- bath home ready for renovation and upside potential. Located just minutes from downtown Tampa, this property sits high in a demand area experiencing continued growth and redevelopment. Perfect for investors looking to renovate and resale or hold as a rental. No HOA! Sold as is. Bring your vision and unlock the value!
Key facts
- 5,076 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 41 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property zoned RM-16; Lot approximately 0.12 acre (about 472 m²)
- HOA & community: No HOA association indicated
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces south
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Shingle roof; Built on crawlspace
- Exterior features: Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances included
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Crawlspace foundation (utility access noted)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $574 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#142 in FL, #2,135 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D+.
- Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 190 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,197/mo this rent would consume 71% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1374% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.67%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $129,350
- Equity at exit
- $162,158
- IRR
- 27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.80×
- Total profit
- $342,546
- Equity at exit
- $349,700
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33605
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,197 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,710/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$461
- Net cashflow
- $574
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $676 | -5% $625 | +0% $574 | +5% $523 | +10% $472 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $400 | -5% $487 | +0% $574 | +5% $661 | +10% $748 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $665 | -0.5pp $620 | base $574 | +0.5pp $527 | +1.0pp $480 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2205 Chipco St Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2610 E Lake Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1698 | $2,250 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2607 Lindell Ave Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,395 | $1.65 | 3d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2108 E 22nd Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1308 | $2,100 | $1.61 | 6d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2108 E 22nd Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1308 | $2,100 | $1.61 | 4d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1515 E 31st Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 6d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3716 N 31st St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,895 | $1.58 | 6d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3210 N 16th St Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,875 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3210 N 16th St Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,875 | $1.36 | 0d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3210 N 16th St Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,995 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4204 N 29th St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,800 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3107 Chipco St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1268 | $1,799 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1504 E 33rd Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $2,900 | $2.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1807 E 20th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $2,900 | $2.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2214 E 18th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $2,295 | $1.93 | 6d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3021 Sanchez St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $2,195 | $1.69 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2002 E 18th Ave Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1084 | $2,400 | $2.21 | 6d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1709 E Chelsea St Unit F Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,625 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1602 E North Bay St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1520 E 21st Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1671 | $2,350 | $1.41 | 17d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3002 E 38th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $2,600 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3114 E 21st Ave Unit 1328494P Tampa, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1614 | $4,781 | $2.96 | 0d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2104 E Columbus Dr Unit 301 Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1083 | $2,050 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2104 E Columbus Dr Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1231 | $1,995 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2703 N 24th St Unit 1 Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1164 | $2,295 | $1.97 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2703 N 24th St Unit 1 Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1164 | $2,295 | $1.97 | 0d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 3601 N 13th St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,550 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1305 E Louise Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $2,700 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2708 N 19th St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $2,200 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2006 E Columbus Dr Unit A Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,495 | $1.67 | 2d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3411 N 13th St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 978 | $1,895 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4303 N 30th St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1260 | $3,200 | $2.54 | 2d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1808 E Columbus Dr #5 Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1620 | $1,900 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2308 E 15th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,895 | $2.02 | 15d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2810 N 16th St Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $2,550 | $2.39 | 13d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2907 N 15th St Unit D Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,850 | $2.08 | 6d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1716 E Columbus Dr Unit A Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,800 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1212 E 25th Ave Tampa, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $1,490 | $1.44 | 20d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2615 E Curtis St Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $1,850 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3101 E 18th Ave Tampa, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,750 | $1.67 | 4d | 1 | 0.80mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $180,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-19status $180,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 431-char remark
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $180,000 Pending 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $180,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30$180,000 Active 391-char remark
-
2023-09-18status Pending
-
2023-09-01status Active
-
2023-08-28status Pending
-
2023-08-07status Active
-
2023-07-27status Pending
-
2023-07-13status Active
-
2023-07-11status Pending
-
2023-06-30$190,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,710 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,710 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,361
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$1,710
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,109
- − Management
- −$2,109
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable income
- $4,214
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,011
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,876/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This property presents a moderate renovation opportunity with significant potential for resale and rental value. The home requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to current standards.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exterior siding — Severe weathering and damage
- Major Electrical box — Exposed and in poor condition
- Major Interior walls — Exposed beams and general disrepair
- Major Kitchen cabinets — Outdated and worn
- Major Bathroom fixtures — Outdated and worn
- Major Flooring — Worn and in poor condition
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and appearance
- Both Replace outdated kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the kitchen and increases value
- Both Replace outdated bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the bathroom and increases value
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and attracts potential buyers
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Severe weathering and damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Electrical box · Exposed and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior walls · Exposed beams and general disrepair | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Kitchen cabinets · Outdated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Outdated and worn | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Worn and in poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace carpet — Improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Both Replace outdated kitchen cabinets — Modernizes the kitchen and increases value ↑
- Both Replace outdated bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the bathroom and increases value ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances curb appeal and attracts potential buyers ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hillsborough
- NCES district ID
- 1200870
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,622
- Composite
- 41.6/100
- National rank
- #3435
- State rank
- #41 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tampa
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2135
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tampa, FL
- County
- Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
- City population
- 523,346
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,030
- Household income
- $36,975
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1374.0
Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,607,022 people
- By 2030
- 1,733,968 · +7.9%
- By 2040
- 1,979,565 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 2,203,427 · +37.1%
- By 2075
- 2,667,893 · +66.0%
- By 2100
- 2,891,558 · +79.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 18% White 17% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 6% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.43%
- Current HPI
- 494.1871
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.58%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-5.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-08 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listed $180,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-18 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-09-01 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-28 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-07 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-27 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-13 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-11 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-30 Listed $190,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,710 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…