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9617 E Shore Dr
D- Composite 36.94
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.8/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$315,000

9617 E Shore Dr · Oak Lawn, IL 60453
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,487 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1950 6,098 sqft lot Est $348k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

DESIRABLE 4 BEDROOM 1.5 BATH HOME.WOOD FLOORS UNDER MOST CARPETING. ROOF IS 6 YEARS OLD. VIEW OUT FRONT OF LAKE OAK LAWN. 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE WITH ALLEY ACCESS.VIEW OF LAKE OAK OUT YOUR FRONT WINDOW.CLOSE TO ALL AMMENITIES, SWARD SCHOOL DISTRICT, CHRIST HOSPITAL, METRA, LIBRARY, RESTAURANTS, DREAM CENTER AND CHILDRENS MUSEUM,QUICK ACCESS TO I-294, ACCROSS THE STREET IS LAKE SHORE PARK WHICH HAS BASKETBALL, TENNIS AND A LARGE PARK. THIS IS AN ESTATE SALE,BEING SOLD AS IS..

Key facts

  • Large soaking tub
  • Private yard
  • Waterfront living

Tags

WATERFRONT LIVINGWOOD CEILING BEAMSVINTAGE TILED BACKSPLASHSTEP-IN SHOWERLARGE SOAKING TUBPRIVATE YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is not currently leased; Property was rehabbed in 2024
  • HOA & community: No required master association fee; Community features include park, lake access, curbs, sidewalks, street lights and paved streets

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage owned; Asphalt driveway; Two garage parking spaces (two total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Lake Michigan water source; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Split-level / quad-level layout; Rehabilitated in 2024; Home is 71–80 years old; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and brick exterior; Asphalt roof; Estimated living area; Total finished/unfinsihed area approximately 3,912; Quad-level structure
  • Exterior features: Front porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Dishwasher; High-end refrigerator; Eating area / table space
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total; Master bedroom on the main level; Additional bedrooms on second and third levels
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living room, kitchen, dining room and several bedrooms; Carpet in some bedrooms and family room; Stone flooring in the lower-level laundry
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; Two half bathrooms; Soaking tub and separate shower
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall-mounted cooling units
  • Interior features: Finished partial basement; Dormer attic; Eight total rooms; Living and dining rooms combined; One fireplace in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Lower-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $315k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-676 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (37.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (23.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $196k (37.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#102 in IL, #1,614 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-.
  • Oak Lawn Chsd 229 (suburban): math 22% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #384 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Oak Lawn Comm High School (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,834 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $314/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $195,589 (37.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
4.91%
Cash-on-cash
-4.93%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$347,958
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9600 Central Ave 0.15mi 4/2.0 1,490 (+0%) 6mo $294,000 $197 86
5416 Franklin Ave 0.11mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,301 (-12%) 0mo $268,000 $206 67
5428 W 91st St 0.70mi 4/3.5 1,448 (-3%) 2mo $432,000 $298 57
9714 Mcvicker Ave 0.72mi 4/1.5 1,500 (+1%) 4mo $270,000 $180 57
5425 W 99th St 0.34mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,320 (-11%) 1mo $355,000 $269 56
9801 Washington Ave 0.22mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,697 (+14%) 5mo $295,000 $174 53
9342 Austin Ave 0.73mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,438 (-3%) 1mo $345,000 $240 51
9912 Austin Ave 0.75mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,531 (+3%) 6mo $346,000 $226 48
5712 W 102nd St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,375 (-8%) 1mo $321,500 $234 46
9402 Sproat Ave 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,658 (+12%) 3mo $350,000 $211 42
9221 Raymond Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,276 (-14%) 4mo $305,000 $239 39
10112 Cook Ave 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,269 (-15%) 1mo $390,000 $307 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-25.9%
Equity multiple
0.08×
Total profit
$-81,060
Equity at exit
$46,968
10-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-66,830
Equity at exit
$27,235

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60453

Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,413 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax from tax record
$485 /mo · $5,821/yr
Insurance
$131
Flood insurance flood zone
−$314 /mo · $3,765/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$507
Net cashflow
$-676

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,268
Max offer price $195,589
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,750
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10029 Harnew Rd E Oak Lawn, IL 4.0 2.0 1575 $2,600 $1.65 3d 1 0.98mi
10326 Mayfield Ave Unit 1N Oak Lawn, IL 4.0 2.0 1300 $2,400 $1.85 16d 1 1.01mi
5834 W 89th Pl Oak Lawn, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,150 $1.95 22d 1 1.01mi
9806 Marion Ave Oak Lawn, IL 3.0 1.0 897 $1,950 $2.17 24d 1 1.10mi
5217 W 87th St Unit 2 Oak Lawn, IL 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 7d 1 1.21mi
6135 Birmingham St Chicago Ridge, IL 3.0 2.0 1100 $2,800 $2.55 1d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $315,000 Pending 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $315,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $315,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $315,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $315,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $315,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $315,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 27 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $315,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $315,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $315,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 24 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $315,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 23 DOM
  13. 2026-05-19
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  14. 2026-05-08
    listed $315,000 Active
  15. 2026-04-28
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show
  16. 2026-04-28
    historical
  17. 2026-04-23
    listed Active
  18. 2023-12-04
    soldstatus $289,900 Closed 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    DESIRABLE 4 BEDROOM 1.5 BATH HOME.WOOD FLOORS UNDER MOST CARPETING. ROOF IS 6 YEARS OLD. VIEW OUT FRONT OF LAKE OAK LAWN. 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE WITH ALLEY ACCESS.VIEW OF LAKE OAK OUT YOUR FRONT WINDOW.CLOSE TO ALL AMMENITIES, SWARD SCHOOL DISTRICT, CHRIST HOSPITAL, METRA, LIBRARY, RESTAURANTS, DREAM CENTER AND CHILDRENS MUSEUM,QUICK ACCESS TO I-294, ACCROSS THE STREET IS LAKE SHORE PARK WHICH HAS BASKETBALL, TENNIS AND A LARGE PARK. THIS IS AN ESTATE SALE,BEING SOLD AS IS..

  19. 2023-10-20
    historical Contingent - Continue to Show 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    DESIRABLE 4 BEDROOM 1.5 BATH HOME.WOOD FLOORS UNDER MOST CARPETING. ROOF IS 6 YEARS OLD. VIEW OUT FRONT OF LAKE OAK LAWN. 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE WITH ALLEY ACCESS.VIEW OF LAKE OAK OUT YOUR FRONT WINDOW.CLOSE TO ALL AMMENITIES, SWARD SCHOOL DISTRICT, CHRIST HOSPITAL, METRA, LIBRARY, RESTAURANTS, DREAM CENTER AND CHILDRENS MUSEUM,QUICK ACCESS TO I-294, ACCROSS THE STREET IS LAKE SHORE PARK WHICH HAS BASKETBALL, TENNIS AND A LARGE PARK. THIS IS AN ESTATE SALE,BEING SOLD AS IS..

  20. 2023-10-11
    listed $289,900 Active 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    DESIRABLE 4 BEDROOM 1.5 BATH HOME.WOOD FLOORS UNDER MOST CARPETING. ROOF IS 6 YEARS OLD. VIEW OUT FRONT OF LAKE OAK LAWN. 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE WITH ALLEY ACCESS.VIEW OF LAKE OAK OUT YOUR FRONT WINDOW.CLOSE TO ALL AMMENITIES, SWARD SCHOOL DISTRICT, CHRIST HOSPITAL, METRA, LIBRARY, RESTAURANTS, DREAM CENTER AND CHILDRENS MUSEUM,QUICK ACCESS TO I-294, ACCROSS THE STREET IS LAKE SHORE PARK WHICH HAS BASKETBALL, TENNIS AND A LARGE PARK. THIS IS AN ESTATE SALE,BEING SOLD AS IS..

  21. 2023-10-11
    historical
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    DESIRABLE 4 BEDROOM 1.5 BATH HOME.WOOD FLOORS UNDER MOST CARPETING. ROOF IS 6 YEARS OLD. VIEW OUT FRONT OF LAKE OAK LAWN. 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE WITH ALLEY ACCESS.VIEW OF LAKE OAK OUT YOUR FRONT WINDOW.CLOSE TO ALL AMMENITIES, SWARD SCHOOL DISTRICT, CHRIST HOSPITAL, METRA, LIBRARY, RESTAURANTS, DREAM CENTER AND CHILDRENS MUSEUM,QUICK ACCESS TO I-294, ACCROSS THE STREET IS LAKE SHORE PARK WHICH HAS BASKETBALL, TENNIS AND A LARGE PARK. THIS IS AN ESTATE SALE,BEING SOLD AS IS..

  22. 2023-09-25
    price
  23. 2023-09-19
    listed Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,821 · $485/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,486 · $540/mo
Expected delta
+$665/yr (+$55/mo · 11.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone A · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,952
− Mortgage interest
−$17,645
− Property taxes
−$5,821
− Insurance
−$5,340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,316
− Management
−$2,316
− Depreciation
−$9,164
Taxable loss
−$13,650
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,276
After-tax cash flow
$-4,836/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oak Lawn Chsd 229
NCES district ID
1729220
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,505
Composite
19.41/100
National rank
#8777
State rank
#384 of 620 in IL

Livability — Oak Lawn

Score
80/100
State rank
#102
US rank
#1614

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime B Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oak Lawn, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
56,861
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
56,861
Household income
$83,911
Rent vs Own
17.5% rent · 82.5% own
Severe rent burden
827.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Iranian 1% Armenian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 17% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Arabic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -259.83%
Current HPI
214.6977
Rent YoY
▲ 8.23%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-08 Listed $315,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-28 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-23 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-04 Sold (MLS) $289,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-20 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-11 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-11 Listed $289,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-25 Price Changed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-09-19 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,821 · +38.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…