237 River Rest Rd · North, SC
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.72%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy a nice corner lot to raise your family! This is a 3-bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home is just what you need on . 61-acre lot. Newly renovated throughout to make sure that it's move-in ready. This open floor plan is spacious enough for your living room and dining room to entertain your guest. Appliances include refrigerator and electric range. New heat pump (heat/ac) with 1-year maintenance and 10-year warranty will be installed before closing. This home is close to local parks, stores, schools and community events. Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse vendors who may appear in listings. Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse v
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Close to schools
- Close to stores
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story living (rooms located on main level)
- Construction: Crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior finish; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Refrigerator; Stove exhaust vented to the exterior
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Great room on the main level; Family room on the main level; Kitchen on the main level; Washer and dryer located on the main level; Electric water heater; Stove exhaust vented to the exterior; Free-standing range; Refrigerator included
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on the main level; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $108 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (0.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#280 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Zoned schools: Dover Elementary (math 15%, 240 students, 100% FRL); North Middle/High (math 8%, 257 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 87 units permitted in Orangeburg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Orangeburg County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 275 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 275 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.23%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $66,239
- Equity at exit
- $98,196
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.22×
- Total profit
- $189,703
- Equity at exit
- $211,763
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29112
- Home prices YoY
- 11.7%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,090 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $108
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $183 | -5% $145 | +0% $108 | +5% $70 | +10% $32 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $22 | -5% $65 | +0% $108 | +5% $151 | +10% $194 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $163 | -0.5pp $135 | base $108 | +0.5pp $79 | +1.0pp $51 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $109,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 255 DOM
-
2025-11-04price $109,000
-
2025-09-17$110,000 Active
-
2025-08-28price $126,000
-
2025-07-19price $129,000
-
2025-05-13price $132,000
-
2025-04-17price $135,500
-
2025-04-13$135,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,078
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,635
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,046
- − Management
- −$1,046
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable loss
- −$471
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$113
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,405/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — North
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #280
- US rank
- #21976
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,718
Population outlook (Orangeburg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,698 people
- By 2030
- 78,615 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 69,308 · -16.2%
- By 2050
- 60,629 · -26.7%
- By 2075
- 42,678 · -48.4%
- By 2100
- 28,136 · -66.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (50%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 45% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orangeburg
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 61.8% · R 37.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 38.1pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+33.2 2016: D+37.0 2012: D+43.5 2008: D+38.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 24.57%
- Current HPI
- 234.04
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-19.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $109,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2025-09-17 Listed $110,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $126,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2025-07-19 Price Changed $129,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2025-05-13 Price Changed $132,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2025-04-17 Price Changed $135,500 Consolidated MLS
- 2025-04-13 Listed $135,000 Consolidated MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…