1225 N Dixie Downs Rd #70 · St. George, UT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy easy living in this charming 1-bedroom mobile home offering a comfortable layout, bright living spaces, and low-maintenance living perfect for a full-time residence or seasonal retreat. This well-maintained home is located in a welcoming community with fantastic amenities including a clubhouse, swimming pool, and tennis courts, making it easy to relax and stay active year-round. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday essentials.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Swimming pool
- Tennis courts
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $105; HOA covers sewer, trash and water; Community amenities include clubhouse and pool; Located in a senior community (DIXIE DOWNS RV RESORT 1)
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Public sewer (connected); Water connected (culinary)
- Home design: Mobile home; Built/standing condition; Single-family use
- Construction: Aluminum construction; Aluminum roof
- Exterior features: Open porch; Storage shed(s); Landscaping: full
Interior
- Kitchen: Portable dishwasher; Range hood; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on 1st floor; 1 main-level bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Free standing range/oven; Open porch
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $286 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Washington District (urban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 80 in UT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Red Mountain School (math 32% / reading 33%, grade F, #416 of 585 statewide, top 71%, 434 students, 59% FRL); Lava Ridge Intermediate (math 43% / reading 40%, grade F, #61 of 138 statewide, top 47%, 815 students, 42% FRL); Snow Canyon High (math 32% / reading 48%, grade F, #62 of 171 statewide, top 36%, 1,266 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 777 active listings in the ZIP; 3,140 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.79%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $3,173
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $23,628
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84770
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 777
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,174 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $388/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$105
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $286
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $337 | -5% $312 | +0% $286 | +5% $261 | +10% $236 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $194 | -5% $240 | +0% $286 | +5% $333 | +10% $379 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $331 | -0.5pp $309 | base $286 | +0.5pp $263 | +1.0pp $240 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $105 · $1,260/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-15status $89,000 Under Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03status $89,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-19$89,000 Active
-
2026-05-11$89,000 Active 456-char remark
Show marketing remark (456 chars)
Enjoy easy living in this charming 1-bedroom mobile home offering a comfortable layout, bright living spaces, and low-maintenance living perfect for a full-time residence or seasonal retreat. This well-maintained home is located in a welcoming community with fantastic amenities including a clubhouse, swimming pool, and tennis courts, making it easy to relax and stay active year-round. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday essentials.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast UT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $388 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $587 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- +$199/yr (+$17/mo · 51.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,090
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$388
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,127
- − Management
- −$1,127
- − HOA
- −$1,260
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $2,168
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$520
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,917/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington District
- NCES district ID
- 4901140
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,861
- Composite
- 37.47/100
- National rank
- #4408
- State rank
- #37 of 80 in UT
Livability — St. George
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. George, UT
- County
- Washington County · 179,216 people
- City population
- 101,579
- Metro
- St. George, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,397
- Household income
- $70,024
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1605.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 193,324 people
- By 2030
- 211,699 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 246,449 · +27.5%
- By 2050
- 278,447 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 342,734 · +77.3%
- By 2100
- 382,815 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 8% Slovak 4% Scottish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.0% · R 75.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.2pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -52.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.3 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+52.1 2012: R+67.0 2008: R+53.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -356.86%
- Current HPI
- 234.9418
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.42%
- Metro
- St. George, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $89,000 WFRMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $89,000 WCBOR
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $388 · -6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…