16 Cleveland Pl · Gloucester, MA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
TURN KEY condo for sale in Gloucester just in time for summer. Amazing walking location - walk to T station, downtown Gloucester, waterfront, beaches, RT 128 accessible. Everything is so close, but this condo is in a private, well manicured community, on a quiet dead end street, first floor corner unit with 3 walls of windows abutting the forest. Back door leads to wooded patio area in the back. 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. Washer dryer in unit included. All appliances included: stainless steel dishwasher, fridge, oven, stove, microwave All new windows and blinds included. Pets OK (breed restrictions). Includes 1 parking spot and all the benefits of Gloucester residency (beach stickers). HOA include
Key facts
- Wooded patio area
- Private community
- New windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $299k).
- Recommended offer: $290k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 2.5% in Gloucester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#119 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Gloucester (suburban): math 33% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #203 of 302 in MA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.3%/yr); 72 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,032 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (590 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,555/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($84k/yr) (locally 1500% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Essex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.81%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-16,767
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $88,601
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 01930
- Rents YoY
- 9.3%
- Active inventory
- 72
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,555 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$282 /mo · $3,381/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA est. from 5 same-building comps
- −$638
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$747
- Net cashflow
- $196
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78 Grove St #2 Gloucester, MA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1226 | $3,100 | $2.53 | 44d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 98 Maplewood Ave Unit 1 Gloucester, MA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,300 | $3.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 16 Poplar St Gloucester, MA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1283 | $3,500 | $2.73 | 18d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 68 Perkins St Gloucester, MA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $4,200 | $3.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 12 Hampden St Unit 12 Gloucester, MA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $3,000 | $1.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 80 Cherry St Unit 1 Gloucester, MA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1624 | $3,800 | $2.34 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 44 Ye Olde County Rd Gloucester, MA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1708 | $5,250 | $3.07 | 3d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $299,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $299,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $299,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $299,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $299,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $299,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $299,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $299,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $299,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $299,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $299,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $299,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-12$299,000 Active 805-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,381 · $282/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,529 · $294/mo
- Expected delta
- +$148/yr (+$12/mo · 4.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,663
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$3,381
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,413
- − Management
- −$3,413
- − HOA
- −$7,656
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable loss
- −$2,142
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$514
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,870/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gloucester
- NCES district ID
- 2505280
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,632
- Composite
- 35.14/100
- National rank
- #5011
- State rank
- #203 of 302 in MA
Livability — Gloucester
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #119
- US rank
- #6345
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gloucester, MA
- County
- Essex County · 632,995 people
- City population
- 30,075
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,075
- Household income
- $83,883
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1500.0
Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 840,920 people
- By 2030
- 872,201 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 927,918 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 970,206 · +15.4%
- By 2075
- 1,077,993 · +28.2%
- By 2100
- 1,103,053 · +31.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 7% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Essex
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.2% · R 38.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- 0.0pp no change · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -275.46%
- Current HPI
- 324.3107
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.27%
- Metro
- Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $299,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2023): $3,381 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…