5831 S Danieli Dr · Lake Park, GA 31636

$189,900

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,164 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market

Built 2009 0.25 ac lot Est $171k · 11% over

---

Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +19.5/30.0
• DSCR +6.2/10.0
• Schools +4.7/10.0
• 1% rule +4.4/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• ARV discount +2.6/15.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Lake Park, Georgia, where this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home awaits, offering the ideal combination of modern updates and convenience. With a brand new roof, this residence is not only stylish but also equipped for long-term comfort. Step inside, and you'll be drawn to the inviting open floor plan that encourages effortless living and entertaining. The heart of the home is the kitchen, featuring an island with butcher block counters. This addition not only enhances the aesthetics but also offers a practical space for meal preparation, serving, and gathering with loved ones. One of the standout features of this home is the convenience of a half bath downstairs. Perfect for guests, this thoughtful addition ensures that everyone feels at ease and welcomed in your home. From the interior, step outside onto the deck, where you can bask in the outdoors and enjoy the fresh air. Whether it's a morning coffee or an evening barbecue, this outdoor space is an extension of your living area and a perfect spot for relaxation. Lake Park's charm and beauty surround this home, and the new roof ensures that you're well-prepared for the elements. With the comfort of a modern, open floor plan and the practicality of a half bath for guests, this property is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Don't miss the opportunity to make this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house your new home. Contact us today to schedule a viewing and experience the lifestyle and convenience it offers.

Key facts

• Vinyl floors
• Large lot
• Open to kitchen

Tags

• VINYL FLOORS
• OPEN TO KITCHEN
• SEPARATE LAUNDRY ROOM
• LARGE LOT
• DECK
• COVERED BACK PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: Single-family home; 2 stories; Residential property
• Construction: Cement siding and frame construction; Shingle roof
• Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Fenced yard; Irregular lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Heat pump
• Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Carpet and vinyl flooring
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (6.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $178k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.9% in Lake Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#119 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Lowndes County (rural): math 59% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #8 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 896 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lowndes County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $160k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $178,360 (6.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.94% ✗
• Cap rate: 7.65%
• Cash-on-cash: 4.84%
• DSCR: 1.22
• GRM: 8.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $171,108
• Comps found: 6

Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
5522 Danieli Pl	0.07mi	3/2.0	1,223 (+5%)	8mo	$179,900	$147	80
5469 Old US Hwy. 41 South	0.10mi	3/2.0	1,146 (-2%)	15mo	$220,000	$192	79
5530 Danieli Pl	0.10mi	3/2.0	1,237 (+6%)	14mo	$154,900	$125	71
5514 Danieli Pl	0.05mi	3/2.0	1,261 (+8%)	22mo	$172,900	$137	64
5214 Field Dr	0.42mi	2/2.0 (-1)	1,096 (-6%)	11mo	$160,000	$146	54
5217 Anastasia St	0.50mi	3/1.0	1,040 (-11%)	2mo	$170,000	$163	51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -11.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.60×
• Total profit: $-21,345
• Equity at exit: $28,315

10-year hold

• IRR: -1.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.88×
• Total profit: $-6,461
• Equity at exit: $16,419

Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31636

• Home prices YoY: -13.6%
• Active inventory: 83
• Price-to-rent: 8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,784 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$996
• Tax from tax record: −$120 /mo · $1,434/yr
• Insurance: −$79
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$66 /mo · $798/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$375
• Net cashflow: $148

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,596

Max offer price $189,900

Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $47,475
• Closing costs: $5,697
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 27 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $189,900 Active 24 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $189,900 Active 23 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $189,900 Active 22 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $189,900 Active 21 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $189,900 Active 20 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $189,900 Active 18 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $189,900 Active 17 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $189,900 Active 15 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $189,900 Active 14 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,900 Active 13 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $189,900 Active 12 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $189,900 Active 9 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $189,900 Active 8 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $189,900 Active 7 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $189,900 Active 6 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $189,900 Active 5 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $189,900 Active 4 DOM
18. 2026-05-22
    listed $189,900 Active
19. 2023-12-01
    soldstatus $160,500
20. 2023-11-29
    soldstatus $160,500 Closed 1502-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1502 chars)

    Welcome to Lake Park, Georgia, where this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home awaits, offering the ideal combination of modern updates and convenience. With a brand new roof, this residence is not only stylish but also equipped for long-term comfort. Step inside, and you'll be drawn to the inviting open floor plan that encourages effortless living and entertaining. The heart of the home is the kitchen, featuring an island with butcher block counters. This addition not only enhances the aesthetics but also offers a practical space for meal preparation, serving, and gathering with loved ones. One of the standout features of this home is the convenience of a half bath downstairs. Perfect for guests, this thoughtful addition ensures that everyone feels at ease and welcomed in your home. From the interior, step outside onto the deck, where you can bask in the outdoors and enjoy the fresh air. Whether it's a morning coffee or an evening barbecue, this outdoor space is an extension of your living area and a perfect spot for relaxation. Lake Park's charm and beauty surround this home, and the new roof ensures that you're well-prepared for the elements. With the comfort of a modern, open floor plan and the practicality of a half bath for guests, this property is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Don't miss the opportunity to make this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house your new home. Contact us today to schedule a viewing and experience the lifestyle and convenience it offers.

21. 2023-11-10
    status Pending 1502-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1502 chars)

    Welcome to Lake Park, Georgia, where this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home awaits, offering the ideal combination of modern updates and convenience. With a brand new roof, this residence is not only stylish but also equipped for long-term comfort. Step inside, and you'll be drawn to the inviting open floor plan that encourages effortless living and entertaining. The heart of the home is the kitchen, featuring an island with butcher block counters. This addition not only enhances the aesthetics but also offers a practical space for meal preparation, serving, and gathering with loved ones. One of the standout features of this home is the convenience of a half bath downstairs. Perfect for guests, this thoughtful addition ensures that everyone feels at ease and welcomed in your home. From the interior, step outside onto the deck, where you can bask in the outdoors and enjoy the fresh air. Whether it's a morning coffee or an evening barbecue, this outdoor space is an extension of your living area and a perfect spot for relaxation. Lake Park's charm and beauty surround this home, and the new roof ensures that you're well-prepared for the elements. With the comfort of a modern, open floor plan and the practicality of a half bath for guests, this property is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Don't miss the opportunity to make this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house your new home. Contact us today to schedule a viewing and experience the lifestyle and convenience it offers.

22. 2023-11-09
    status Active 1502-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1502 chars)

    Welcome to Lake Park, Georgia, where this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home awaits, offering the ideal combination of modern updates and convenience. With a brand new roof, this residence is not only stylish but also equipped for long-term comfort. Step inside, and you'll be drawn to the inviting open floor plan that encourages effortless living and entertaining. The heart of the home is the kitchen, featuring an island with butcher block counters. This addition not only enhances the aesthetics but also offers a practical space for meal preparation, serving, and gathering with loved ones. One of the standout features of this home is the convenience of a half bath downstairs. Perfect for guests, this thoughtful addition ensures that everyone feels at ease and welcomed in your home. From the interior, step outside onto the deck, where you can bask in the outdoors and enjoy the fresh air. Whether it's a morning coffee or an evening barbecue, this outdoor space is an extension of your living area and a perfect spot for relaxation. Lake Park's charm and beauty surround this home, and the new roof ensures that you're well-prepared for the elements. With the comfort of a modern, open floor plan and the practicality of a half bath for guests, this property is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Don't miss the opportunity to make this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house your new home. Contact us today to schedule a viewing and experience the lifestyle and convenience it offers.

23. 2023-11-08
    status Pending 1502-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1502 chars)

    Welcome to Lake Park, Georgia, where this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home awaits, offering the ideal combination of modern updates and convenience. With a brand new roof, this residence is not only stylish but also equipped for long-term comfort. Step inside, and you'll be drawn to the inviting open floor plan that encourages effortless living and entertaining. The heart of the home is the kitchen, featuring an island with butcher block counters. This addition not only enhances the aesthetics but also offers a practical space for meal preparation, serving, and gathering with loved ones. One of the standout features of this home is the convenience of a half bath downstairs. Perfect for guests, this thoughtful addition ensures that everyone feels at ease and welcomed in your home. From the interior, step outside onto the deck, where you can bask in the outdoors and enjoy the fresh air. Whether it's a morning coffee or an evening barbecue, this outdoor space is an extension of your living area and a perfect spot for relaxation. Lake Park's charm and beauty surround this home, and the new roof ensures that you're well-prepared for the elements. With the comfort of a modern, open floor plan and the practicality of a half bath for guests, this property is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Don't miss the opportunity to make this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house your new home. Contact us today to schedule a viewing and experience the lifestyle and convenience it offers.

24. 2023-11-07
    listed $157,000 Active 1502-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1502 chars)

    Welcome to Lake Park, Georgia, where this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home awaits, offering the ideal combination of modern updates and convenience. With a brand new roof, this residence is not only stylish but also equipped for long-term comfort. Step inside, and you'll be drawn to the inviting open floor plan that encourages effortless living and entertaining. The heart of the home is the kitchen, featuring an island with butcher block counters. This addition not only enhances the aesthetics but also offers a practical space for meal preparation, serving, and gathering with loved ones. One of the standout features of this home is the convenience of a half bath downstairs. Perfect for guests, this thoughtful addition ensures that everyone feels at ease and welcomed in your home. From the interior, step outside onto the deck, where you can bask in the outdoors and enjoy the fresh air. Whether it's a morning coffee or an evening barbecue, this outdoor space is an extension of your living area and a perfect spot for relaxation. Lake Park's charm and beauty surround this home, and the new roof ensures that you're well-prepared for the elements. With the comfort of a modern, open floor plan and the practicality of a half bath for guests, this property is perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. Don't miss the opportunity to make this 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom house your new home. Contact us today to schedule a viewing and experience the lifestyle and convenience it offers.

25. 2021-08-09
    soldstatus $129,900
26. 2021-08-04
    soldstatus $129,900
27. 2021-07-02
    listed $129,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,434 · $120/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,747 · $146/mo
• Expected delta: +$313/yr (+$26/mo · 21.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,403
• − Mortgage interest: −$10,637
• − Property taxes: −$1,434
• − Insurance: −$1,747
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,712
• − Management: −$1,712
• − Depreciation: −$5,524
• Taxable loss: −$1,364
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$327
• After-tax cash flow: $2,104/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lowndes County
• NCES district ID: 1303390
• Math proficiency: 59% ▼ -1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 52% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $48,221
• Composite: 47.21/100
• National rank: #2317
• State rank: #8 of 174 in GA

Livability — Lake Park

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #119
• US rank: #8632

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 11,184

Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 120,348 people
• By 2030: 123,469 · +2.6%
• By 2040: 128,482 · +6.8%
• By 2050: 131,907 · +9.6%
• By 2075: 139,080 · +15.6%
• By 2100: 133,649 · +11.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (65%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 65% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes

• 2024 margin: R (+18.0) · D 40.8% · R 58.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -8.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: -18.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+18.0 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+18.2 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -32.27%
• Current HPI: 205.6279
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+46.2% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-22 Listed $189,900 SGMLS
• 2023-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $160,500 Public Records
• 2023-11-29 Sold (MLS) $160,500 SGMLS
• 2023-11-10 Pending — SGMLS
• 2023-11-09 Relisted — SGMLS
• 2023-11-08 Pending — SGMLS
• 2023-11-07 Listed $157,000 SGMLS
• 2021-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
• 2021-08-04 Sold (MLS) $129,900 SGMLS
• 2021-07-02 Listed $129,900 SGMLS

Property tax history

+9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,434 · -7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.