20012 Twin Oaks Dr · Hammond, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a generous 0.7-acre lot in a peaceful, one-road neighborhood in Hammond. Thoughtfully maintained, this home features an open floor plan with stained concrete and laminate flooring throughout for low-maintenance living. The inviting living room boasts a cozy wood-burning fireplace--great for quiet nights in. The kitchen includes a center island and flows seamlessly into the dining area, great for everyday meals or entertaining. Spacious primary bedrooms and well-appointed bathrooms offer comfort and practicality, while the primary suite includes dual closets and a private en-suite bath. Step outside to enjoy the large fenced yard great for relaxing or outdoor fun. Conveniently located not far from schools, shopping, and I-12. Roof allowance being offered. Don't miss your chance to see this one--schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 0.7 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 2004
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing last updated May 7, 2026; Listing broker: NextHome Real Estate Professionals
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with two spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story home; Shingle roof
- Construction: Brick, stucco, and vinyl siding exterior; Slab foundation; Very good condition
- Exterior features: Porch (covered); Concrete porch/patio; Fence; Corner lot; Rectangular lot; Located outside city limits; Lot dimensions approximately 216 x 149 x 215 x 157
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Has heating and cooling
- Interior features: Tray ceilings; Vaulted and cathedral ceilings; High ceilings; Ceiling fans; Granite counters; Pantry
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $238k (2.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $238k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.0% in Hammond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#77 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute D+, schools D.
- Tangipahoa Parish (rural): math 18% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #63 of 98 in LA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 329 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,085 units permitted in Tangipahoa Parish in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,379/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 1201% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tangipahoa County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.93%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $305,636
- List price
- $245,000
- Delta
- -19.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20049 Old Covington Hwy | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,784 (+13%) | 10mo | $212,000 | $119 | 66 |
| 20097 Twin Oaks Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,457 (-8%) | 21mo | $234,000 | $161 | 61 |
| 19183 Branchside Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (-8%) | 19mo | $250,000 | $173 | 37 |
| 44087 Vicki Ln | 0.58mi | 3/3.0 | 1,790 (+14%) | 15mo | $220,000 | $123 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-24,392
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-17,887
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70403
- Home prices YoY
- -34.1%
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 329
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,379 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$154 /mo · $1,842/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$500
- Net cashflow
- $339
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $478 | -5% $408 | +0% $339 | +5% $270 | +10% $200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $151 | -5% $245 | +0% $339 | +5% $433 | +10% $527 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $462 | -0.5pp $401 | base $339 | +0.5pp $276 | +1.0pp $211 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44243 Kendalwood Dr Hammond, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1826 | $2,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 43293 Quiet Lake Dr Hammond, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $3,840 | $2.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 19216 Dr John Lambert Dr Hammond, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,808 | $1.82 | 15d | 10 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $245,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $245,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $245,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $245,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $245,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $245,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $245,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $245,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $245,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $245,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $245,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $245,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $245,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $245,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $245,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $245,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $245,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$245,000 Active 909-char remark
Show marketing remark (893 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a generous 0.7-acre lot in a peaceful, one-road neighborhood in Hammond. Thoughtfully maintained, this home features an open floor plan with stained concrete and laminate flooring throughout for low-maintenance living. The inviting living room boasts a cozy wood-burning fireplace--great for quiet nights in. The kitchen includes a center island and flows seamlessly into the dining area, great for everyday meals or entertaining. Spacious primary bedrooms and well-appointed bathrooms offer comfort and practicality, while the primary suite includes dual closets and a private en-suite bath. Step outside to enjoy the large fenced yard great for relaxing or outdoor fun. Conveniently located not far from schools, shopping, and I-12. Roof allowance being offered. Don't miss your chance to see this one--schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-07$245,000 Active 893-char remark
Show marketing remark (893 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home situated on a generous 0.7-acre lot in a peaceful, one-road neighborhood in Hammond. Thoughtfully maintained, this home features an open floor plan with stained concrete and laminate flooring throughout for low-maintenance living. The inviting living room boasts a cozy wood-burning fireplace--great for quiet nights in. The kitchen includes a center island and flows seamlessly into the dining area, great for everyday meals or entertaining. Spacious primary bedrooms and well-appointed bathrooms offer comfort and practicality, while the primary suite includes dual closets and a private en-suite bath. Step outside to enjoy the large fenced yard great for relaxing or outdoor fun. Conveniently located not far from schools, shopping, and I-12. Roof allowance being offered. Don't miss your chance to see this one--schedule your showing today!
-
2025-07-22$265,000 Active
-
2013-10-22$172,999
-
2013-10-22$172,999
-
2008-12-02soldstatus $175,000
-
2008-11-26soldstatus $175,000
-
2008-10-15$174,900
-
2008-10-15$174,900
-
2008-04-08$179,900
-
2008-04-08$179,900
-
2004-03-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,842 · $154/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,842 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,548
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$1,842
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,284
- − Management
- −$2,284
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable income
- $62
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$15
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,053/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tangipahoa Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201680
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,283
- Composite
- 19.94/100
- National rank
- #8676
- State rank
- #63 of 98 in LA
Livability — Hammond
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #77
- US rank
- #8868
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Tangipahoa Parish · 85,958 people
- City population
- 51,394
- Metro
- Hammond, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,173
- Household income
- $50,976
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1201.0
Population outlook (Tangipahoa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 144,204 people
- By 2030
- 151,413 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 164,374 · +14.0%
- By 2050
- 175,427 · +21.7%
- By 2075
- 195,165 · +35.3%
- By 2100
- 201,641 · +39.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 37% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tangipahoa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.4) · D 30.6% · R 68.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.5pp toward R · 2008: -30.9pp · 2024: -37.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.4 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+32.6 2012: R+27.7 2008: R+30.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.04%
- Current HPI
- 127.4535
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.33%
- Metro
- Hammond, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+36.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $245,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $245,000 GSREIN
- 2025-07-22 Listed $265,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2013-10-22 Listed $172,999 GSREIN
- 2013-10-22 Listed $172,999 AcadianaMLS
- 2008-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2008-11-26 Sold (MLS) $175,000 GSREIN
- 2008-10-15 Listed $174,900 GSREIN
- 2008-10-15 Listed $174,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2008-04-08 Listed $179,900 GSREIN
- 2008-04-08 Listed $179,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2004-03-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,842 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…