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205 E State Rd
A- Composite 81.12
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$74,900

205 E State Rd · Fairview, OK 73737
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,626 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1961 10,019 sqft lot Est $135k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great curb appeal for this home located on a large corner lot with privacy fenced back yard. Semi-open floor plan, living room features a huge picture window overlooking the front yard. Dining room is spacious and open to the kitchen that features an island and built-in desk. Laundry room has tons of storage plus a shower and access to the covered patio. Down the central hallway there is a room that will probably be used for a bedroom, but it lacks a built-in closet and two bedrooms. One of the bedroom features two closets and the other has an entire wall of built-in storage. The hall bathroom has a jetted tub and single sink vanity. In the backyard is a 12 x 20 shop building with electrici

Key facts

  • Huge picture window
  • Built-in desk
  • Tons of storage

Tags

CORNER LOTPRIVACY FENCED BACK YARDHUGE PICTURE WINDOWISLANDBUILT-IN DESKTONS OF STORAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story; Faces south; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Composition roof; Built as a single-story home
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Wood fencing; Shed(s); In-ground pool; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Concrete flooring; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Entrance foyer; Insulated windows

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $376 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#22 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Fairview (rural): math 34% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #40 of 270 in OK (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Major County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $62 of equity ($518 loan paydown + $-456 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Major County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $74,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
12.31%
Cash-on-cash
21.49%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$134,958
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
515 N Eleventh Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,574 (-3%) 8mo $130,000 $83 72
20 Legion Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,448 (-11%) 10mo $110,000 $76 67
423 Park Ave 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-4%) 11mo $200,000 $128 49
507 W Beck 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,431 (-12%) 18mo $118,500 $83 45
123 N 3rd 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,713 (+5%) 23mo $109,000 $64 41
224 S 3rd St 0.69mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,704 (+5%) 18mo $30,000 $18 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
1.94×
Total profit
$19,619
Equity at exit
$19,494
10-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
3.64×
Total profit
$55,416
Equity at exit
$21,702

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73737

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,113 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$80 /mo · $957/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$376

Break-even live

Break-even rent $638
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-12
    listed $74,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$957 · $80/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$957 · $80/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,357
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$957
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,069
− Management
−$1,069
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$3,514
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$843
After-tax cash flow
$3,664/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fairview
NCES district ID
4011280
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$47,230
Composite
29.67/100
National rank
#6464
State rank
#40 of 270 in OK

Livability — Fairview

Score
72/100
State rank
#22
US rank
#5863

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fairview, OK
Population (ZIP)
3,618

Population outlook (Major County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,197 people
By 2030
8,447 · +3.0%
By 2040
9,030 · +10.2%
By 2050
9,753 · +19.0%
By 2075
12,114 · +47.8%
By 2100
13,913 · +69.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Romanian 4% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Major

2024 margin
Solid R (+79.4) · D 9.4% · R 88.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-9.0pp toward R · 2008: -70.3pp · 2024: -79.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+79.4 2020: R+79.7 2016: R+77.4 2012: R+71.6 2008: R+70.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.61%
Current HPI
180.6875
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+18.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $74,900 NWOAR
  • 2022-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
  • 2010-01-26 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $957 · -8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…