4977 Feliciana Dr · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Gentilly! Charming 3-bed, 1-bath home located in a well-established neighborhood. Property features a spacious living room, separate den, kitchen with indoor washer/dryer hookups, and an oversized backyard with patio--ideal for outdoor enjoyment. One-car garage plus additional off-street parking. Great opportunity for first-time homebuyers or investors. Property sold As-Is. Motivated seller!
Key facts
- One car garage
- Separate den
- Patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Benjamin Franklin Elem. Math And Science (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #479 of 646 statewide, top 75%, 747 students, 98% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 68% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,735/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 1767% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 10592% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.65%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $207,264
- List price
- $139,000
- Delta
- -32.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4951 Feliciana Dr | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,118 (-4%) | 4mo | $102,268 | $91 | 89 |
| 5108 Feliciana Dr | 0.04mi | 3/1.5 | 1,147 (-1%) | 13mo | $129,000 | $112 | 83 |
| 5012 Stephen Girard Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,150 (-1%) | 2mo | $130,000 | $113 | 72 |
| 2757 Dreux Ave | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,140 (-2%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $127 | 66 |
| 4008 Prentiss Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,225 (+6%) | 4mo | $114,000 | $93 | 64 |
| 4033 Odin St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,124 (-3%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $178 | 63 |
| 4712 Lafaye St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,157 (-0%) | 9mo | $217,500 | $188 | 60 |
| 5817 Providence Pl | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,225 (+6%) | 6mo | $235,900 | $193 | 53 |
| 4842 Pauline Dr | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,236 (+7%) | 12mo | $223,500 | $181 | 51 |
| 2769 Pressburg St | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,202 (+4%) | 8mo | $200,000 | $166 | 45 |
| 4915 Painters St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,331 (+15%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $240 | 36 |
| 4472 Demontluzin St | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,296 (+12%) | 10mo | $295,000 | $228 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-5,643
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $3,905
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70126
- Home prices YoY
- -17.0%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,735 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $344
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $440 | -5% $392 | +0% $344 | +5% $296 | +10% $248 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $207 | -5% $275 | +0% $344 | +5% $412 | +10% $481 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $414 | -0.5pp $379 | base $344 | +0.5pp $308 | +1.0pp $271 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4722 Mithra St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1295 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4951 Eastern St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4681 Eastern St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 17d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 4936 Baccich St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,700 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4767 Lafaye St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $2,000 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4926 Venus St Unit 4926 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5747 Pauline Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2844 Hiawatha St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,475 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2754 Jasmine St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,750 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5905 Lafaye St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $1,700 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2671 Gladiolus St Unit 2669 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,250 | $1.51 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4023 Franklin Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,700 | $1.70 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2650 Gladiolus St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 6036 Franklin Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 898 | $1,200 | $1.34 | 18d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 6226 Lafaye St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1137 | $2,600 | $2.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 6226 Lafaye St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1137 | $2,600 | $2.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2700 Clover St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2702 Clover St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,300 | $1.48 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5519 Mandeville St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,650 | $1.47 | 5d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5925 Saint Roch Ave New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 18d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4211 Downman Rd New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4616 Marigny St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,750 | $1.72 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4618 Marigny St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2647 Myrtle St Unit 2647 New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $2,550 | $1.76 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2425 Jonquil St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1038 | $1,500 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 6530 Peoples Ave New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2512 Mexico St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,550 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 6222 Arts St Unit 6226 New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5920 Boeing St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1340 | $1,400 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2558 Acacia St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2646 Elder St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1284 | $2,200 | $1.71 | 18d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2644 Elder St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1284 | $2,200 | $1.71 | 18d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4441 Cessna Ct New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2739 Bay St Unit B New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2312 Madrid St New Orleans, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,475 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2701 03 Frankfort St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 3316 Metropolitan St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,700 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2509 Sage St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,650 | $1.32 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4522 Shalimar Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,850 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4527 Shalimar Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1174 | $1,550 | $1.32 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-03-18historical $1,300
-
2026-02-20$1,300
-
2025-12-07price $139,000 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Welcome to Gentilly! Charming 3-bed, 1-bath home located in a well-established neighborhood. Property features a spacious living room, separate den, kitchen with indoor washer/dryer hookups, and an oversized backyard with patio—ideal for outdoor enjoyment. One-car garage plus additional off-street parking. Great opportunity for first-time homebuyers or investors. Property sold As-Is. Motivated seller!
-
2025-12-07price $139,000 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Welcome to Gentilly! Charming 3-bed, 1-bath home located in a well-established neighborhood. Property features a spacious living room, separate den, kitchen with indoor washer/dryer hookups, and an oversized backyard with patio—ideal for outdoor enjoyment. One-car garage plus additional off-street parking. Great opportunity for first-time homebuyers or investors. Property sold As-Is. Motivated seller!
-
2025-11-01$179,000 Active 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Welcome to Gentilly! Charming 3-bed, 1-bath home located in a well-established neighborhood. Property features a spacious living room, separate den, kitchen with indoor washer/dryer hookups, and an oversized backyard with patio—ideal for outdoor enjoyment. One-car garage plus additional off-street parking. Great opportunity for first-time homebuyers or investors. Property sold As-Is. Motivated seller!
-
2025-11-01$179,000 Active 410-char remark
Show marketing remark (410 chars)
Welcome to Gentilly! Charming 3-bed, 1-bath home located in a well-established neighborhood. Property features a spacious living room, separate den, kitchen with indoor washer/dryer hookups, and an oversized backyard with patio—ideal for outdoor enjoyment. One-car garage plus additional off-street parking. Great opportunity for first-time homebuyers or investors. Property sold As-Is. Motivated seller!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,824
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,085
- − Insurance
- −$1,492
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,666
- − Management
- −$1,666
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $2,085
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$500
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,626/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,047
- Household income
- $41,709
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1767.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% White 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.35%
- Current HPI
- 177.355
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.24%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-99.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Rental Removed $1,300 GSREIN
- 2026-02-20 Listed for Rent $1,300 GSREIN
- 2025-12-07 Price Changed $139,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-12-07 Price Changed $139,000 GSREIN
- 2025-11-01 Listed $179,000 GSREIN
- 2025-11-01 Listed $179,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2026): $161 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…