340 Co Rd 479 · Haleyville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- DSCR +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$123,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Clean 3 bedroom 2.5 bath fixer-upper with solid bones and great potential. This home offers a spacious layout and sturdy structure for investors or buyers looking to add their personal touch. Ideal opportunity in a desirable area.
Key facts
- 0.9 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1954
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $123k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (7.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $108k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.5% in Haleyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#287 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Haleyville City (rural): math 23% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #50 of 129 in AL (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Winston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($850 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
- Winston County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.09%
- DSCR
- 1.23
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,549
- List price
- $123,000
- Delta
- -20.93%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1215 County Road 19 | 0.72mi | 3/3.5 | 2,184 (+13%) | 13mo | $278,000 | $127 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.62% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $34,992
- Equity at exit
- $66,908
- IRR
- 16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.87×
- Total profit
- $98,971
- Equity at exit
- $113,227
Cash invested: $34,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35565
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,140 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$645
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $697/yr
- Insurance
- −$51
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $146
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,750
- Closing costs
- $3,690
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-12statusdays on market $123,000 Pending 182 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $123,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $123,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $123,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $123,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $123,000 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $123,000 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $123,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $123,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $123,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2025-12-10$123,000 Active 230-char remark
Show marketing remark (230 chars)
Clean 3 bedroom 2.5 bath fixer-upper with solid bones and great potential. This home offers a spacious layout and sturdy structure for investors or buyers looking to add their personal touch. Ideal opportunity in a desirable area.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $697 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $697 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,679
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,890
- − Property taxes
- −$697
- − Insurance
- −$615
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,094
- − Management
- −$1,094
- − Depreciation
- −$3,578
- Taxable loss
- −$290
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$70
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,824/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Haleyville City
- NCES district ID
- 0101720
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,581
- Composite
- 28.3/100
- National rank
- #6787
- State rank
- #50 of 129 in AL
Livability — Haleyville
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #287
- US rank
- #18676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,815
Population outlook (Winston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 22,474 people
- By 2030
- 21,568 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 19,710 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 17,950 · -20.1%
- By 2075
- 14,468 · -35.6%
- By 2100
- 11,554 · -48.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Winston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+83.6) · D 7.9% · R 91.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.4pp toward R · 2008: -63.3pp · 2024: -83.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+83.6 2020: R+81.7 2016: R+81.5 2012: R+72.3 2008: R+63.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.62%
- Current HPI
- 137.486
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-12-10 Listed $123,000 SAARMLS
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $697 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…