5735 Fitzgerald St · Eastman, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +9.4/10.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This lovely 1804 sq.ft. brick home is just waiting for you to make it your own. With 3 bedrooms, and possibly a 4th bedroom, this home has endless possibilities. It has 2 full baths, an open kitchen and dining area, living room, and a large room with a fireplace that could be a 4th bedroom or a wonderful family room, great for family gatherings, depending on your preference. There is also a separate laundry room. Step into the backyard where you will find a nice storage building as well as a small shed. There is also a cemented drive which continues into the backyard area. This home is located in a quiet neighborhood and is close to schools and shopping. Come take a look before someone grabs it!
Key facts
- Large room
- Storage building
- Brick home
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $377 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 6.3% in Eastman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#333 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Dodge County (rural): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #139 of 174 in GA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Dodge County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
- Dodge County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.98%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $171,269
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -21.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 811 9th Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,666 (-8%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $54 | 67 |
| 5841 Fitzgerald St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,556 (-14%) | 11mo | $160,000 | $103 | 57 |
| 715 8th Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,887 (+5%) | 23mo | $190,000 | $101 | 52 |
| 5841 Creighton St | 0.11mi | 3/3.0 | 2,062 (+14%) | 19mo | $210,000 | $102 | 49 |
| 6402 Oak St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,740 (-4%) | 21mo | $140,000 | $80 | 45 |
| 918 7th Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,536 (-15%) | 10mo | $141,000 | $92 | 42 |
| 667 Hawkinsville Hwy | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (-15%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $123 | 42 |
| 124 Creighton St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 2,068 (+15%) | 4mo | $187,000 | $90 | 39 |
| 832 3rd Ave | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,932 (+7%) | 12mo | $210,000 | $109 | 37 |
| 822 3rd Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,575 (-13%) | 15mo | $245,000 | $156 | 32 |
| 5307 Forest Lake Rd | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 2,040 (+13%) | 23mo | $230,000 | $113 | 22 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.79% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $86,570
- Equity at exit
- $109,940
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.19×
- Total profit
- $233,918
- Equity at exit
- $225,668
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31023
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,579 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,269/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $377
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $135,000 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
This lovely 1804 sq.ft. brick home is just waiting for you to make it your own. With 3 bedrooms, and possibly a 4th bedroom, this home has endless possibilities. It has 2 full baths, an open kitchen and dining area, living room, and a large room with a fireplace that could be a 4th bedroom or a wonderful family room, great for family gatherings, depending on your preference. There is also a separate laundry room. Step into the backyard where you will find a nice storage building as well as a small shed. There is also a cemented drive which continues into the backyard area. This home is located in a quiet neighborhood and is close to schools and shopping. Come take a look before someone grabs it!
-
2026-03-31$149,000 New 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
This lovely 1804 sq.ft. brick home is just waiting for you to make it your own. With 3 bedrooms, and possibly a 4th bedroom, this home has endless possibilities. It has 2 full baths, an open kitchen and dining area, living room, and a large room with a fireplace that could be a 4th bedroom or a wonderful family room, great for family gatherings, depending on your preference. There is also a separate laundry room. Step into the backyard where you will find a nice storage building as well as a small shed. There is also a cemented drive which continues into the backyard area. This home is located in a quiet neighborhood and is close to schools and shopping. Come take a look before someone grabs it!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,269 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,269 · $106/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,947
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,269
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,516
- − Management
- −$1,516
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $2,483
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$596
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,933/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dodge County
- NCES district ID
- 1301770
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,856
- Composite
- 18.1/100
- National rank
- #8971
- State rank
- #139 of 174 in GA
Livability — Eastman
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #17509
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eastman, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,257
Population outlook (Dodge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 19,669 people
- By 2030
- 18,784 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 16,878 · -14.2%
- By 2050
- 14,837 · -24.6%
- By 2075
- 9,804 · -50.2%
- By 2100
- 5,885 · -70.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Dodge
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+49.9) · D 24.9% · R 74.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.0pp toward R · 2008: -35.9pp · 2024: -49.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+49.9 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+45.5 2012: R+35.9 2008: R+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.79%
- Current HPI
- 216.6501
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-9.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $135,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $149,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,269 · +23.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…