1068 Great Lakes Dr · Bonita Springs, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$118,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Coastal Living Meets Peaceful Coastal Living Meets Peaceful Preserve Views Landmark Naples Welcome to your private retreat in the sought-after 55+ community of Landmark Naples, ideally located just 2 miles from the Gulf beaches. Perfectly positioned backing to a protected natural preserve, this home offers a rare combination of tranquility, privacy, and convenience with no rear neighbors other than turtles, deer, and rabbits enjoying the quiet surroundings. Designed for relaxed Florida living, this charming residence features multiple outdoor spaces, including a spacious side lanai, a private rear patio, and a covered carport. Whether enjoying morning coffee or evening sunsets, the peace
Key facts
- Private retreat
- Private rear patio
- Spacious side lanai
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $118k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $118k).
- Cap rate 18.6% vs local median 1.7% in Bonita Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#428 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-, health & safety D.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 595 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $816 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.00%
- DSCR
- 2.96
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.40×
- Total profit
- $46,372
- Equity at exit
- $17,594
- IRR
- 39.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.19×
- Total profit
- $105,557
- Equity at exit
- $10,202
Cash invested: $33,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34110
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 595
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,566 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$619
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$148 /mo · $1,770/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$539
- Net cashflow
- $1,145
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,227 | -5% $1,186 | +0% $1,145 | +5% $1,104 | +10% $1,064 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $942 | -5% $1,044 | +0% $1,145 | +5% $1,246 | +10% $1,348 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,205 | -0.5pp $1,175 | base $1,145 | +0.5pp $1,115 | +1.0pp $1,083 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,500
- Closing costs
- $3,540
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 953 Bunker Hill Dr Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1130 Turtle Creek Blvd Naples, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $2,145 | $2.68 | 14d | 22 | 0.53mi |
| 830 Wiggins Pass Rd #10 Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 826 Wiggins Pass Rd #201 Naples, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $1,400 | $2.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 15985 Arbor View Blvd Naples, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,848 | $1.53 | 14d | 14 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $118,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $118,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $118,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $118,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $118,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $118,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $118,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$118,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,791
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,610
- − Property taxes
- −$1,770
- − Insurance
- −$1,388
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,463
- − Management
- −$2,463
- − Depreciation
- −$3,433
- Taxable income
- $12,664
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,039
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,702/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home is in good condition with a good condition score of 75. It has a cosmetic rehab level and requires minimal repairs and maintenance. The highest-ROI updates that would raise its resale or rental value include painting the exterior siding, replacing the outdoor carpet, installing new windows, upgrading the kitchen appliances, and installing a smart thermostat.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Both Replace the outdoor carpet with a durable, low-maintenance material — This will improve the appearance and functionality of the outdoor space.
- Both Install new, energy-efficient windows — New windows can improve energy efficiency and reduce utility costs, while also enhancing the home's curb appeal.
- Resale Upgrade the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to modern, energy-efficient appliances can significantly increase the home's resale value.
- Rental Install a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can help reduce energy costs and improve tenant satisfaction, making it a good rental investment.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Replace the outdoor carpet with a durable, low-maintenance material — This will improve the appearance and functionality of the outdoor space. ↑
- Both Install new, energy-efficient windows — New windows can improve energy efficiency and reduce utility costs, while also enhancing the home's curb appeal. ↑
- Resale Upgrade the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to modern, energy-efficient appliances can significantly increase the home's resale value. ↑
- Rental Install a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can help reduce energy costs and improve tenant satisfaction, making it a good rental investment. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bonita Springs
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #428
- US rank
- #7576
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- City population
- 64,727
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,630
- Household income
- $97,564
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1006.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -172.68%
- Current HPI
- 267.4644
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.06%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $118,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…