Triplex
104 Bates St · Pawtucket, RI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $835 – $1,551
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- ARV discount +3.8/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$699,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
* * OPEN HOUSES CANCELED * * This well-maintained multi-family features generously sized units with strong rental appeal 9+ bedrooms and 4 bathrooms across 4,514 square feet of living space. Oversized floor plans with 3 beds, 1 bath, and double parlors give tenants the room they expect, setting this property apart from the competition and supporting premium rents. The basement and first floor feature newer high-efficiency Navien heating/hot water systems with natural gas space heaters on the 2nd and 3rd floor. Sale includes an additional adjoining lot, offering flexibility to expand, develop, or simply enjoy the current use of added privacy, green space, and your own fruit trees (peach
Key facts
- Green space
- Added privacy
- Access to transit
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Tenant is responsible for hot water; One 3-bedroom unit currently shows actual rent of $2,200 (same for three similar units listed)
- HOA & community: Community provides highway access, nearby schools, public transportation, recreation area, restaurants, and shopping
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; Total of 3 parking spaces
- Utilities: Sewer connected; Water connected; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Three-story building; Above-grade finished area approximately 5,282
- Construction: Vinyl siding with drywall and plaster interior finishes; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Porch; Fenced yard; Multiple lots
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchens present in units (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Four units total: one 1-bedroom unit (finished basement area); Three 3-bedroom units (each will be vacant at closing)
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms in the building; Each unit includes at least one full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating present; Heating systems include baseboard, forced air, and gas
- Interior features: Bathtub and tub/shower combinations; Stall shower; Full basement with interior entry, partially finished; Total of 23 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $699k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $585 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $195/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $644k (7.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $644k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.8% in Pawtucket — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#16 in RI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
- Pawtucket (suburban): math 7% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #33 of 39 in RI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,440/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 891% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.59%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $646,236
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 John St | 0.21mi | 9/3.0 | 4,161 (+12%) | 3mo | $660,000 | $159 | 64 |
| 29 31 Stearns St | 0.33mi | 9/3.0 | 3,336 (-10%) | 5mo | $725,000 | $217 | 59 |
| 133 Sabin St | 0.44mi | 9/3.0 | 3,813 (+3%) | 21mo | $665,000 | $174 | 53 |
| 95 97 Benefit St | 0.09mi | 8/4.0 (-1) | 3,297 (-11%) | 23mo | $680,000 | $206 | 53 |
| 86 Webster St | 0.22mi | 10/4.0 (+1) | 4,251 (+14%) | 10mo | $715,000 | $168 | 52 |
| 116 Coyle Ave | 0.19mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 3,300 (-11%) | 20mo | $575,000 | $174 | 47 |
| 5 Stearns St | 0.28mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 3,192 (-14%) | 10mo | $700,000 | $219 | 46 |
| 88 90 Darlingdale Ave | 0.54mi | 8/3.0 (-1) | 4,006 (+8%) | 11mo | $629,000 | $157 | 44 |
| 9 Makin St | 0.72mi | 9/3.0 | 3,264 (-12%) | 4mo | $647,000 | $198 | 39 |
| 21 Locust St | 0.48mi | 9/3.0 | 3,204 (-14%) | 21mo | $720,000 | $225 | 34 |
| 179 Woodbine St | 0.52mi | 9/3.0 | 3,174 (-14%) | 18mo | $465,000 | $147 | 32 |
| 120 122 East St | 0.57mi | 10/3.0 (+1) | 4,064 (+9%) | 20mo | $635,000 | $156 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-59,025
- Equity at exit
- $104,223
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $70,046
- Equity at exit
- $60,437
Cash invested: $195,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 31 Tenant-Leaning
- State Rhode Island
- 31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 02861
- Rents YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 27.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,440 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,666
- Tax from tax record
- −$546 /mo · $6,547/yr
- Insurance
- −$291
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,352
- Net cashflow
- $585
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $981 | -5% $783 | +0% $585 | +5% $387 | +10% $189 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $76 | -5% $331 | +0% $585 | +5% $840 | +10% $1,094 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $937 | -0.5pp $763 | base $585 | +0.5pp $404 | +1.0pp $220 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1.3 | $6,441 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.3 | $2,147 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.3 | $2,147 |
| #3 | 3 | 1.3 | $2,147 |
| Total (3 units) | $6,440 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $174,750
- Closing costs
- $20,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $699,000 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-05$699,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,547 · $546/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,970 · $748/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,423/yr (+$202/mo · 37.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $77,280
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,155
- − Property taxes
- −$6,547
- − Insurance
- −$3,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,182
- − Management
- −$6,182
- − Depreciation
- −$20,335
- Taxable loss
- −$4,616
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,108
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,130/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pawtucket
- NCES district ID
- 4400840
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,838
- Composite
- 11.29/100
- National rank
- #9718
- State rank
- #33 of 39 in RI
Livability — Pawtucket
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #7037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pawtucket, RI
- County
- Providence County · 548,917 people
- City population
- 75,942
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,124
- Household income
- $83,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 891.0
Population outlook (Providence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 653,469 people
- By 2030
- 660,819 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 672,747 · +3.0%
- By 2050
- 683,741 · +4.6%
- By 2075
- 720,435 · +10.2%
- By 2100
- 741,582 · +13.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 11% Lithuanian 10% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Providence
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.4) · D 56.1% · R 41.7% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.4pp · 2024: 14.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.4 2020: D+22.9 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -469.15%
- Current HPI
- 313.2295
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.57%
- Metro
- Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.25%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $373B |
|
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| Food Distribution | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $699,000 RIS
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $6,547 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…