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104 Bates St Triplex
D Composite 42.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.9/30.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.8/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$699,000

104 Bates St · Pawtucket, RI 02861
9 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,714 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1930 4,356 sqft lot Est $646k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

* * OPEN HOUSES CANCELED * * This well-maintained multi-family features generously sized units with strong rental appeal 9+ bedrooms and 4 bathrooms across 4,514 square feet of living space. Oversized floor plans with 3 beds, 1 bath, and double parlors give tenants the room they expect, setting this property apart from the competition and supporting premium rents. The basement and first floor feature newer high-efficiency Navien heating/hot water systems with natural gas space heaters on the 2nd and 3rd floor. Sale includes an additional adjoining lot, offering flexibility to expand, develop, or simply enjoy the current use of added privacy, green space, and your own fruit trees (peach

Key facts

  • Green space
  • Added privacy
  • Access to transit

Tags

ADDITIONAL ADJOINING LOTADDED PRIVACYGREEN SPACEFRUIT TREESOFF-STREET PARKINGACCESS TO TRANSIT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Tenant is responsible for hot water; One 3-bedroom unit currently shows actual rent of $2,200 (same for three similar units listed)
  • HOA & community: Community provides highway access, nearby schools, public transportation, recreation area, restaurants, and shopping

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; Total of 3 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Sewer connected; Water connected; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Three-story building; Above-grade finished area approximately 5,282
  • Construction: Vinyl siding with drywall and plaster interior finishes; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Porch; Fenced yard; Multiple lots

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchens present in units (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Four units total: one 1-bedroom unit (finished basement area); Three 3-bedroom units (each will be vacant at closing)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms in the building; Each unit includes at least one full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heating present; Heating systems include baseboard, forced air, and gas
  • Interior features: Bathtub and tub/shower combinations; Stall shower; Full basement with interior entry, partially finished; Total of 23 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.3-bath units multifamily listed at $699k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $585 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $195/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $644k (7.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $644k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 3.8% in Pawtucket — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#16 in RI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
  • Pawtucket (suburban): math 7% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #33 of 39 in RI (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,440/mo this rent would consume 93% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 891% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $644,000 (7.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.30%
Cash-on-cash
3.59%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$646,236
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
39 John St 0.21mi 9/3.0 4,161 (+12%) 3mo $660,000 $159 64
29 31 Stearns St 0.33mi 9/3.0 3,336 (-10%) 5mo $725,000 $217 59
133 Sabin St 0.44mi 9/3.0 3,813 (+3%) 21mo $665,000 $174 53
95 97 Benefit St 0.09mi 8/4.0 (-1) 3,297 (-11%) 23mo $680,000 $206 53
86 Webster St 0.22mi 10/4.0 (+1) 4,251 (+14%) 10mo $715,000 $168 52
116 Coyle Ave 0.19mi 8/3.0 (-1) 3,300 (-11%) 20mo $575,000 $174 47
5 Stearns St 0.28mi 8/3.0 (-1) 3,192 (-14%) 10mo $700,000 $219 46
88 90 Darlingdale Ave 0.54mi 8/3.0 (-1) 4,006 (+8%) 11mo $629,000 $157 44
9 Makin St 0.72mi 9/3.0 3,264 (-12%) 4mo $647,000 $198 39
21 Locust St 0.48mi 9/3.0 3,204 (-14%) 21mo $720,000 $225 34
179 Woodbine St 0.52mi 9/3.0 3,174 (-14%) 18mo $465,000 $147 32
120 122 East St 0.57mi 10/3.0 (+1) 4,064 (+9%) 20mo $635,000 $156 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.57% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-59,025
Equity at exit
$104,223
10-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$70,046
Equity at exit
$60,437

Cash invested: $195,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
31 Tenant-Leaning
State Rhode Island
31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; strong tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 02861

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
95
Price-to-rent
27.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,440 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,666
Tax from tax record
$546 /mo · $6,547/yr
Insurance
$291
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,352
Net cashflow
$585

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,699
Max offer price $699,000
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $981 -5% $783 +0% $585 +5% $387 +10% $189
Rent -10% $76 -5% $331 +0% $585 +5% $840 +10% $1,094
Rate -1.0pp $937 -0.5pp $763 base $585 +0.5pp $404 +1.0pp $220

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $6,440

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$174,750
Closing costs
$20,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $699,000 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-05
    listed $699,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,547 · $546/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,970 · $748/mo
Expected delta
+$2,423/yr (+$202/mo · 37.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$77,280
− Mortgage interest
−$39,155
− Property taxes
−$6,547
− Insurance
−$3,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,182
− Management
−$6,182
− Depreciation
−$20,335
Taxable loss
−$4,616
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,108
After-tax cash flow
$8,130/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pawtucket
NCES district ID
4400840
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,838
Composite
11.29/100
National rank
#9718
State rank
#33 of 39 in RI

Livability — Pawtucket

Score
71/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#7037

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pawtucket, RI
County
Providence County · 548,917 people
City population
75,942
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
Population (ZIP)
28,124
Household income
$83,411
Rent vs Own
33.3% rent · 66.7% own
Severe rent burden
891.0

Population outlook (Providence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
653,469 people
By 2030
660,819 · +1.1%
By 2040
672,747 · +3.0%
By 2050
683,741 · +4.6%
By 2075
720,435 · +10.2%
By 2100
741,582 · +13.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Black 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Russian 11% Lithuanian 10% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Indo-European 9% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Providence

2024 margin
D (+14.4) · D 56.1% · R 41.7% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.4pp · 2024: 14.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.4 2020: D+22.9 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -469.15%
Current HPI
313.2295
Rent YoY
▲ 5.57%
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.25%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $699,000 RIS

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,547 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…