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13899 Locust St
B- Composite 65.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$108,900

13899 Locust St · Murray City, OH 43144
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured public records · 234 Days on market
Built 1988 3,485 sqft lot $87/sqft · 23% above area Est $119k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Garden area
  • Fenced in backyard

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANFENCED IN BACKYARDGARDEN AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-206 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $73k (33.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (33.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,068 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Nelsonville-York City (rural): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #572 of 656 in OH (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Nelsonville-York Elementary School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,055 of 1,584 statewide, top 68%, 511 students, 0% FRL); Nelsonville-York Junior High School (math 22% / reading 31%, grade F, #586 of 654 statewide, top 90%, 254 students, 0% FRL); Nelsonville-York High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #582 of 781 statewide, top 76%, 289 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 11 units permitted in Hocking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($753 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Hocking County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $94k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,511 (33.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.72%
Cash-on-cash
8.68%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$119,169
List price
$108,900
Delta
-8.62%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.01×
Total profit
$254
Equity at exit
$48,966
10-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.64×
Total profit
$19,657
Equity at exit
$75,463

Cash invested: $30,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43144

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,180 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$571
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,141/yr
Insurance
$45
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$-206

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,441
Max offer price $72,511
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-144 -5% $-175 +0% $-206 +5% $-237 +10% $-268
Rent -10% $-299 -5% $-253 +0% $-206 +5% $-159 +10% $-113
Rate -1.0pp $-151 -0.5pp $-178 base $-206 +0.5pp $-234 +1.0pp $-263

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,225
Closing costs
$3,267
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $108,900 Active 234 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $108,900 Active 233 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $108,900 Active 231 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $108,900 Active 230 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $108,900 Active 229 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $108,900 Active 228 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $108,900 Active 227 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $108,900 Active 225 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $108,900 Active 224 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $108,900 Active 221 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $108,900 Active 220 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $108,900 Active 219 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $108,900 Active 214 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $108,900 Active 213 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $108,900 Active 212 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $108,900 Active 211 DOM
  17. 2026-05-17
    price $108,900 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.

  18. 2026-04-15
    status Active 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.

  19. 2026-04-07
    historical Active Under Contract 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.

  20. 2026-02-24
    price $109,900 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.

  21. 2026-02-16
    price $115,900 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.

  22. 2026-02-02
    status Active 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.

  23. 2026-01-09
    price $117,900 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.

  24. 2025-11-09
    price $119,900 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.

  25. 2025-10-31
    listed $124,900 Active 684-char remark
    Show marketing remark (684 chars)

    Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.

  26. 2025-06-05
    historical Active Under Contract
  27. 2025-05-27
    price $118,000
  28. 2025-05-20
    status Active
  29. 2025-04-22
    status Pending
  30. 2025-04-16
    status Active
  31. 2025-03-31
    historical Active Under Contract
  32. 2025-03-26
    listed $120,000 Active
  33. 2022-12-21
    soldstatus $94,000
  34. 2022-12-16
    soldstatus $94,000
  35. 2022-09-15
    listed $114,900
  36. 2009-02-25
    soldstatus $32,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,141 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,420 · $118/mo
Expected delta
+$279/yr (+$23/mo · 24.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,159
− Mortgage interest
−$6,100
− Property taxes
−$1,141
− Insurance
−$5,663
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,133
− Management
−$1,133
− Depreciation
−$3,168
Taxable loss
−$4,179
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,003
After-tax cash flow
$-1,469/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Nelsonville-York City
NCES district ID
3904444
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$29,199
Composite
26.7/100
National rank
#7155
State rank
#572 of 656 in OH

Livability — Murray City

Score
58/100
State rank
#1068
US rank
#21326

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Murray City, OH
County
Hocking · 26,658 people
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
326
Household income
$38,409
Rent vs Own
19.5% rent · 80.5% own

Population outlook (Hocking County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,807 people
By 2030
25,723 · -4.0%
By 2040
23,370 · -12.8%
By 2050
20,947 · -21.9%
By 2075
15,624 · -41.7%
By 2100
11,134 · -58.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (99%)
Race & ethnicity
White 99%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Iranian 4% Italian 1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hocking

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.3) · D 27.5% · R 71.8%
2008→2024 swing
-43.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.8pp · 2024: -44.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.3 2020: R+42.4 2016: R+36.5 2012: R+1.1 2008: R+0.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+240.3% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $108,900 ACBOR
  • 2026-04-15 Relisted ACBOR
  • 2026-04-07 Contingent ACBOR
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $109,900 ACBOR
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $115,900 ACBOR
  • 2026-02-02 Relisted ACBOR
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $117,900 ACBOR
  • 2025-11-09 Price Changed $119,900 ACBOR
  • 2025-10-31 Listed $124,900 ACBOR
  • 2025-06-05 Contingent ACBOR
  • 2025-05-27 Price Changed $118,000 ACBOR
  • 2025-05-20 Relisted ACBOR
  • 2025-04-22 Pending ACBOR
  • 2025-04-16 Relisted ACBOR
  • 2025-03-31 Contingent ACBOR
  • 2025-03-26 Listed $120,000 ACBOR
  • 2022-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
  • 2022-12-16 Sold (MLS) $94,000 ACBOR
  • 2022-09-15 Listed $114,900 ACBOR
  • 2009-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,141 · +11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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