13899 Locust St · Murray City, OH
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +11.4/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$108,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Garden area
- Fenced in backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-206 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $73k (33.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (33.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,068 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- Nelsonville-York City (rural): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #572 of 656 in OH (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Nelsonville-York Elementary School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,055 of 1,584 statewide, top 68%, 511 students, 0% FRL); Nelsonville-York Junior High School (math 22% / reading 31%, grade F, #586 of 654 statewide, top 90%, 254 students, 0% FRL); Nelsonville-York High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #582 of 781 statewide, top 76%, 289 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 11 units permitted in Hocking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($753 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Hocking County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $94k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.68%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $119,169
- List price
- $108,900
- Delta
- -8.62%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $254
- Equity at exit
- $48,966
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $19,657
- Equity at exit
- $75,463
Cash invested: $30,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43144
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,180 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$571
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,141/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$248
- Net cashflow
- $-206
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-144 | -5% $-175 | +0% $-206 | +5% $-237 | +10% $-268 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-299 | -5% $-253 | +0% $-206 | +5% $-159 | +10% $-113 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-151 | -0.5pp $-178 | base $-206 | +0.5pp $-234 | +1.0pp $-263 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,225
- Closing costs
- $3,267
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $108,900 Active 234 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $108,900 Active 233 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $108,900 Active 231 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $108,900 Active 230 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $108,900 Active 229 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $108,900 Active 228 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $108,900 Active 227 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $108,900 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $108,900 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $108,900 Active 221 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $108,900 Active 220 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $108,900 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $108,900 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $108,900 Active 213 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $108,900 Active 212 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $108,900 Active 211 DOM
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2026-05-17price $108,900 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.
-
2026-04-15status Active 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.
-
2026-04-07historical Active Under Contract 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.
-
2026-02-24price $109,900 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.
-
2026-02-16price $115,900 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.
-
2026-02-02status Active 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.
-
2026-01-09price $117,900 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.
-
2025-11-09price $119,900 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.
-
2025-10-31$124,900 Active 684-char remark
Show marketing remark (684 chars)
Welcome to this delightful one-level residence located in the heart of Murray City! Step inside this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom home to discover a bright and inviting open floor plan, featuring a large living room that seamlessly flows into the kitchen and dining area. The generously sized master bedroom is complete with an en-suite bathroom for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms provide versatile options for guest rooms, home offices, or play areas. The fenced-in backyard offers plenty of space for children and pets to play safely, as well as a garden area for green thumbs to cultivate their passion. Home does not meet FHA guidelines due to the flood elevation.
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2025-06-05historical Active Under Contract
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2025-05-27price $118,000
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2025-05-20status Active
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2025-04-22status Pending
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2025-04-16status Active
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2025-03-31historical Active Under Contract
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2025-03-26$120,000 Active
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2022-12-21soldstatus $94,000
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2022-12-16soldstatus $94,000
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2022-09-15$114,900
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2009-02-25soldstatus $32,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,141 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,420 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$279/yr (+$23/mo · 24.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,159
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,100
- − Property taxes
- −$1,141
- − Insurance
- −$5,663
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,133
- − Management
- −$1,133
- − Depreciation
- −$3,168
- Taxable loss
- −$4,179
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,003
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,469/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nelsonville-York City
- NCES district ID
- 3904444
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -15.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,199
- Composite
- 26.7/100
- National rank
- #7155
- State rank
- #572 of 656 in OH
Livability — Murray City
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1068
- US rank
- #21326
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Murray City, OH
- County
- Hocking · 26,658 people
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 326
- Household income
- $38,409
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Hocking County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,807 people
- By 2030
- 25,723 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 23,370 · -12.8%
- By 2050
- 20,947 · -21.9%
- By 2075
- 15,624 · -41.7%
- By 2100
- 11,134 · -58.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Iranian 4% Italian 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hocking
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.3) · D 27.5% · R 71.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.8pp · 2024: -44.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.3 2020: R+42.4 2016: R+36.5 2012: R+1.1 2008: R+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+240.3% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $108,900 ACBOR
- 2026-04-15 Relisted — ACBOR
- 2026-04-07 Contingent — ACBOR
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $109,900 ACBOR
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $115,900 ACBOR
- 2026-02-02 Relisted — ACBOR
- 2026-01-09 Price Changed $117,900 ACBOR
- 2025-11-09 Price Changed $119,900 ACBOR
- 2025-10-31 Listed $124,900 ACBOR
- 2025-06-05 Contingent — ACBOR
- 2025-05-27 Price Changed $118,000 ACBOR
- 2025-05-20 Relisted — ACBOR
- 2025-04-22 Pending — ACBOR
- 2025-04-16 Relisted — ACBOR
- 2025-03-31 Contingent — ACBOR
- 2025-03-26 Listed $120,000 ACBOR
- 2022-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
- 2022-12-16 Sold (MLS) $94,000 ACBOR
- 2022-09-15 Listed $114,900 ACBOR
- 2009-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,141 · +11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…