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13 Juniper Ests
B Composite 71.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,950

13 Juniper Ests · Sequim, WA 98382
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1976

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming home in Juniper Mobile Estates, a 62+ community offering comfortable living, peek-a-boo mountain views, and a convenient location close to everyday amenities. Located toward the back of the park, this property offers added privacy, low-maintenance landscaping, and a fenced backyard. The covered deck provides a wonderful space for outdoor relaxation and entertaining. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, healthcare services, and other local amenities, this home offers comfort, convenience, and affordability in a desirable setting.

Key facts

  • Covered deck
  • Added privacy
  • Convenient location

Tags

PEEK-A-BOO MOUNTAIN VIEWSCONVENIENT LOCATIONADDED PRIVACYLOW-MAINTENANCE LANDSCAPINGFENCED BACKYARDCOVERED DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Bus line nearby
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash; Land lease payment applies
  • HOA & community: Located in Juniper Mobile Estates (park approved for sale); Approximately 58 homes in the park; Park allows cats and dogs; Senior community designation

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (storage located in carport)
  • Utilities: Public water (City of Sequim); Public sewer (City of Sequim); Electric service (PUD)
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One story; Faces south; Mobile home remains on site
  • Construction: Metal/vinyl siding; Metal skirting; Composition roof; Tie-down foundation; Manufactured after 6/15/1976 (PARAMT MA0239AB model)
  • Exterior features: Awnings; Landscaped yard; Patio/porch/deck; Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 bathtub, 2 showers
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heat pump; Has heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Electric water heater (located at back of home); Water heater included
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
  • Cap rate 26.3% vs local median 3.1% in Sequim — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#245 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: employment D, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Sequim School District (town): math 55% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #64 of 291 in WA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 605 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 166 units permitted in Clallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clallam County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $84,950

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.93%
Cap rate
26.33%
Cash-on-cash
71.58%
DSCR
4.18
GRM
2.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$191,232
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
50 Juniper Mobile Ests #50 0.03mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (0%) 4mo $80,000 $69 90
50 Juniper Mobile Ests 0.11mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (0%) 4mo $80,000 $69 87
610 W Spruce #124 0.26mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (0%) 9mo $66,000 $57 76
325 N 5th Ave #45 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,171 (+2%) 10mo $147,450 $126 74
325 N 5th Ave #40 Ave 0.32mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,056 (-8%) 2mo $90,773 $86 64
642 N 7th Ave 0.48mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,090 (-5%) 3mo $140,000 $128 61
621 N 7th Ave 0.40mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,056 (-8%) 6mo $215,000 $204 57
618 N 7th Ave 0.42mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,188 (+3%) 15mo $199,000 $168 56
325 N Fifth Ave #46 0.32mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,250 (+8%) 12mo $208,000 $166 55
713 W Heritage Loop 0.43mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,269 (+10%) 8mo $259,000 $204 51
545 N 7th Ave 0.37mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,268 (+10%) 14mo $242,500 $191 50
634 N 7th Ave 0.45mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,028 (-11%) 11mo $194,000 $189 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
71.2%
Equity multiple
4.22×
Total profit
$76,610
Equity at exit
$12,666
10-year hold
IRR
75.2%
Equity multiple
8.70×
Total profit
$183,117
Equity at exit
$7,345

Cash invested: $23,786 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98382

Active inventory
605
Price-to-rent
2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,486 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $772/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$522
Net cashflow
$1,419

Break-even live

Break-even rent $690
Max offer price $84,950
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,238
Closing costs
$2,548
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
850 Tommy Ct Sequim, WA 3.0 2.0 1350 $2,300 $1.70 43d 1 0.19mi
246 W Maple St Sequim, WA 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,300 $1.92 43d 1 0.69mi
1045 S 3rd Ave Unit 33 Sequim, WA 2.0 1.5 956 $2,100 $2.20 43d 1 0.89mi
522 W Evergreen Farm Way Sequim, WA 2.0 2.0 1336 $2,450 $1.83 43d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $84,950 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,950 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,950 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,950 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,950 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,950 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 566-char remark
  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $84,950 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$772 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$833 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$60/yr (+$5/mo · 7.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,834
− Mortgage interest
−$4,759
− Property taxes
−$772
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,387
− Management
−$2,387
− Depreciation
−$2,471
Taxable income
$16,633
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,992
After-tax cash flow
$13,034/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sequim School District
NCES district ID
5307830
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,969
Composite
52.77/100
National rank
#3312
State rank
#64 of 291 in WA

Livability — Sequim

Score
70/100
State rank
#245
US rank
#7845

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living B Crime B Employment D Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sequim, WA
County
Clallam County · 31,052 people
City population
31,052
Metro
Port Angeles, WA
Population (ZIP)
31,052
Household income
$74,189
Rent vs Own
18.9% rent · 81.1% own
Severe rent burden
666.0

Population outlook (Clallam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
76,817 people
By 2030
78,177 · +1.8%
By 2040
79,795 · +3.9%
By 2050
80,890 · +5.3%
By 2075
83,933 · +9.3%
By 2100
82,141 · +6.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Slovak 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clallam

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 52.6% · R 44.7% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+3.4 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+0.4 2008: D+3.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -225.89%
Current HPI
181.4372
Rent YoY
Metro
Port Angeles, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $84,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $772 · +20.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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