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8 Chestnut Rd
C- Composite 53.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +6.7/10.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$369,000

8 Chestnut Rd · Portsmouth, NH 03862
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · Manufactured public records · 4 Days on market
Built 2026

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NOW ACCEPTING PETS!!! Welcome to Maple Leaf Village, one of North Hampton's most desirable manufactured home communities. This brand-new home offers stylish design, thoughtful upgrades, and comfortable single-level living just minutes from the Seacoast's beaches, shopping, and dining. This beautifully designed home features 2 bedrooms plus a versatile bonus room-perfect for a home office, guest room, or hobby space-and 2 full bathrooms across approximately 1,422 square feet of living space. The open-concept layout creates a bright and welcoming atmosphere, with a spacious living room flowing into the kitchen and dining area, ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen is designe

Key facts

  • Large center island
  • Single level living
  • Upgraded appliances

Tags

SINGLE LEVEL LIVINGVERSATILE BONUS ROOMUPGRADED APPLIANCESLARGE CENTER ISLANDPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITEWALK IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot number 038
  • Financial info: Taxes to be determined
  • HOA & community: Located in Granite Post Green mobile park (park approved)

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway; Private road frontage
  • Utilities: Public water; Private sewer; 100 amp service with circuit breaker(s); Cable available; High-speed internet available; Telephone available; LP/bottle gas available
  • Home design: Manufactured / Mobile home; New construction; Shingle (asphalt) roof
  • Construction: Built in 2026; Other construction materials
  • Exterior features: Landscaped grounds; Leased lot; Near golf course, paths, shopping, hospital, and schools; Neighborhood setting

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher (Energy Star); Gas range; Energy Star refrigerator; Exhaust fan
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Five total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Energy Star washer; Energy Star dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $369k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $334k (9.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $334k (9.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 2.0% in Portsmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#5 in NH, #354 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • North Hampton School District (rural): math 66% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #14 of 171 in NH (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1,276 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (593 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $334,388 (9.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.63%
Cash-on-cash
4.79%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$227,424
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7 Granite Dr 0.34mi 2/1.5 1,019 (-8%) 2mo $177,000 $174 68
56 Oak Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,064 (-4%) 11mo $219,000 $206 68
4 Aspen Way 0.27mi 2/2.0 1,180 (+7%) 6mo $360,000 $305 67
30 Greystone Way 0.27mi 2/2.0 1,188 (+8%) 7mo $464,000 $391 64
39 Hickory Ave 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,064 (-4%) 19mo $215,000 $202 61
39 Oak Dr 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,216 (+10%) 23mo $199,000 $164 50
16 Granite Dr 0.40mi 2/2.0 1,220 (+10%) 12mo $265,000 $217 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-33,694
Equity at exit
$55,019
10-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.04×
Total profit
$3,861
Equity at exit
$31,904

Cash invested: $103,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Hampshire
56 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+1
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Has just-cause statute; 30-day notice; landlord-leaning vs. neighbors.

ZIP-level market 03862

Home prices YoY
-17.5%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,344 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,935
Tax from tax record
$141 /mo · $1,689/yr
Insurance
$154
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$702
Net cashflow
$412

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,822
Max offer price $369,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $621 -5% $517 +0% $412 +5% $308 +10% $203
Rent -10% $148 -5% $280 +0% $412 +5% $544 +10% $676
Rate -1.0pp $598 -0.5pp $506 base $412 +0.5pp $316 +1.0pp $219

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$92,250
Closing costs
$11,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $369,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    listed $369,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,689 · $141/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,867 · $406/mo
Expected delta
+$3,178/yr (+$265/mo · 188.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,127
− Mortgage interest
−$20,670
− Property taxes
−$1,689
− Insurance
−$1,845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,210
− Management
−$3,210
− Depreciation
−$10,735
Taxable loss
−$1,232
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$296
After-tax cash flow
$5,241/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Hampton School District
NCES district ID
3305370
Math proficiency
66% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
82% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$83,171
Composite
66.85/100
National rank
#883
State rank
#14 of 171 in NH

Livability — Portsmouth

Score
86/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#354

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
23,484
Population (ZIP)
4,563

Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
316,118 people
By 2030
320,929 · +1.5%
By 2040
323,358 · +2.3%
By 2050
314,977 · -0.4%
By 2075
297,686 · -5.8%
By 2100
256,363 · -18.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Scotch-Irish 4% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
5% · China, Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.8%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -2.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.4 2020: D+2.1 2016: R+5.8 2012: R+4.5 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.37%
Current HPI
384.1561
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $369,000 PrimeMLS

Property tax history

+7.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,689 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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