🌊 Lakefront
147 Harrison Rd #1 · Naples, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Location! Location, ! Location! Stunning water and golf course views abundant with bird life and panoramic sunsets. High impact glass Master bedroom on suite. and has sliders to the lanai to step out and enjoy the fresh air. Updated bathroom and glass shower. Walk in closet. Guest bedroom and bath offer privacy for guests. Fully remodeled kitchen. Walk to resort style amenities including Clubhouse, hard and grass tennis courts, 9 pools, bocce, shuffle board, Pro-Shop and 19th Hole restaurant. Pickleball courts are amazing and are lit at night. Only 3 miles to 10 miles of Gulf beaches and Old Naples. Private Country Club membership with 2 newly reconstructed 18-hole bundled golf courses.
Key facts
- Water views
- Glass shower
- High impact glass
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No RV allowed (restriction)
- Financial info: Details not provided
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA (Condo management); Monthly condo fee; Community amenities include clubhouse, community pool, golf course (golf-bundled), bocce court, pickleball, tennis, shuffleboard, putting green, restaurant, library, and streetlights; HOA covers cable, golf course, insurance, irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, legal/accounting, manager, exterior and interior pest control, recreation facilities, reserves, sewer, street lights, trash removal and water; Total annual recurring HOA fees listed; One-time fee applies
Exterior
- Parking: Details not provided
- Security: Impact-resistant doors; Impact-resistant windows
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Residential end-unit in a low-rise building (1–3 stories); Rear exposure facing north; Zero lot line
- Construction: Concrete block construction; Stucco exterior finish; Built-up/flat and shingle roof; Built in 1972
- Exterior features: Decorative shutters; Pond and water feature/view; Water display
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range (self-cleaning oven); Refrigerator / Refrigerator-Freezer
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (split bedroom floor plan)
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with dual sinks and shower-only configuration
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in cabinets; Foyer; Smoke detectors; Window coverings; Dining area (in living room); Glass porch; Screened lanai/porch; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-234 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (20.1% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $205k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#126 in FL, #1,903 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute D+, cost of living F.
- Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Shadowlawn Elementary School (math 44% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,403 of 2,144 statewide, top 67%, 457 students, 72% FRL); Lely High School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #304 of 667 statewide, top 47%, 1,504 students, 54% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 41% at this address vs 58% district-wide (-17 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Collier average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 771 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,236/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 980% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($180k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $205k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 35% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
- What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
- Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.03%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.01×
- Total profit
- $-56,693
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- -90.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.77×
- Total profit
- $-101,556
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34112
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 771
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,236 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $675/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$1,147
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$680
- Net cashflow
- $-234
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-118 | -5% $-176 | +0% $-234 | +5% $-292 | +10% $-350 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-489 | -5% $-362 | +0% $-234 | +5% $-106 | +10% $22 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-130 | -0.5pp $-182 | base $-234 | +0.5pp $-287 | +1.0pp $-341 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 159 Teryl Rd #2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $5,200 | $4.81 | 14d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 131 Teryl Rd Unit C3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $3,495 | $3.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 131 Teryl Rd Unit 3UNIT 3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,750 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 195 Peppermint Ln #2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 195 Peppermint Ln Unit 881 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $5,000 | $3.75 | 14d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 195 Peppermint Ln Unit 884 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $3,800 | $2.85 | 14d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 195 Peppermint Ln Unit 4 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $2,500 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 202 Peppermint Ln #2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $5,000 | $3.75 | 14d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 162 Teryl Rd Unit 6-2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $2,500 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 209 Palm Dr #1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $5,000 | $4.12 | 14d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 146 Lollypop Ln #851 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1335 | $3,750 | $2.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 229 Palm Dr Unit 229-2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $4,400 | $3.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 239 Palm Dr #2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $4,000 | $3.29 | 14d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 200 Palm Dr #7 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $1,600 | $1.58 | 14d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 216 Palm Dr #5 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $4,500 | $4.46 | 14d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 190 Palm Dr Unit 3085 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1251 | $1,850 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 232 Palm Dr Unit 47-5 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $2,500 | $2.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 149 Palm Dr Unit 8617 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 981 | $2,000 | $2.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 240 Palm Dr Unit 48-1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 265 Palm Dr Unit 265-2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $1,499 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 256 Palm Dr #6 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1010 | $4,500 | $4.46 | 14d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 135 Palm Dr #12 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $2,200 | $1.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 581 Teryl Rd #5 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1403 | $4,500 | $3.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 154 Palm Dr Unit 1049699P Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,732 | $2.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 432 Teryl Rd Unit 1546319P Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $1,561 | $1.04 | 14d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 306 Palm Dr #2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $5,200 | $4.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 4472 Beechwood Lake Dr Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1352 | $3,050 | $2.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 348 Tern Dr #2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 348 Tern Dr Unit 4 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $5,000 | $3.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 364 Tern Dr #4 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 96 Glades Blvd Unit 513 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $4,500 | $3.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2155 Great Blue Dr Naples, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $1,910 | $2.13 | 14d | 43 | 0.55mi |
| 3350 Putney Ct Naples, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1038 | $2,986 | $2.88 | 14d | 26 | 0.55mi |
| 83 Glades Blvd #3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $5,200 | $4.32 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1814 Kings Lake Blvd #204 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,450 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3005 Gordon St Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 967 | $2,275 | $2.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3005 Gordon St Naples, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 967 | $2,275 | $2.35 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3608 Arctic Cir #514 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $4,200 | $3.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4010 Ice Castle Way #7 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $3,200 | $2.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2103 Tama Cir Unit 2 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $4,000 | $2.92 | 22d | 1 | 0.67mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,147 · $13,764/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $205,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $205,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $205,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $205,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $205,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $205,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $205,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $205,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $205,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $205,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 697-char remark
-
2026-06-03$205,000 Active 140 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $675 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,702 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,026/yr (+$86/mo · 152.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,834
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$675
- − Insurance
- −$6,144
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,107
- − Management
- −$3,107
- − HOA
- −$13,764
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$5,409
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,298
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,506/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Collier
- NCES district ID
- 1200330
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,275
- Composite
- 50.23/100
- National rank
- #1892
- State rank
- #16 of 73 in FL
Livability — Naples
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #1903
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- City population
- 344,941
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,193
- Household income
- $69,842
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 980.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Romanian 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -235.10%
- Current HPI
- 256.9182
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.69%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+171.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-13 Listed $205,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2000-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
- 1991-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $675 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…