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7515 Maryland Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 69.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

7515 Maryland Ave · Hudson, FL 34667
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · Manufactured public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1986 1.00 ac lot ↓ 34% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. Investment Property sitting on a rare and Beautiful 1 Acre of land also on a paved road! The home needs some tender loving care but has great potential. The original owner was strategic by placing this home at the top of a hill and attaching it to cinder blocks which raises the elevation even more. According to the tenant and owner, In the last storm, no water entered the home. According to the seller, The home has been here since 1992 and has endured every major storm and flooding since then and has never had water levels reach the inside of the home. Zoning is RMH for residential/mobile home park which could be a great long term opportunity. This pr

Key facts

  • Paved road
  • Cinder blocks
  • Top of a hill

Tags

1 ACRE OF LANDPAVED ROADTOP OF A HILLCINDER BLOCKSNEVER HAD WATER LEVELS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned RMH; Approximately 1 acre parcel (1 to less than 2 acres)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Phone service available
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; Faces south; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $65,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$147,000) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $779 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
  • Cap rate 28.5% vs local median 3.4% in Hudson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#289 in FL, #4,856 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, schools D-.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 790 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,092/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 946% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.22%
Cap rate
28.55%
Cash-on-cash
79.47%
DSCR
4.54
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$147,000
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7300 Cobia Ln 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,092 (+9%) 6mo $160,000 $147 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.7%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$33,232
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
48.9%
Equity multiple
4.86×
Total profit
$70,308
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34667

Rents YoY
-2.3%
Active inventory
790
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,092 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $948/yr
Insurance
$27
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$779

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,106
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7708 Maryland Ave Hudson, FL 3.0 2.0 1427 $2,100 $1.47 24d 1 0.23mi
14915 Old Dixie Hwy Hudson, FL 2.0 1.0 965 $1,950 $2.02 11d 1 0.28mi
7132 Wilcox Dr Hudson, FL 2.0 2.0 1238 $2,000 $1.62 24d 1 0.36mi
7841 Akron Ave Hudson, FL 3.0 2.0 1234 $1,655 $1.34 3d 1 0.43mi
7035 McCray Dr Hudson, FL 2.0 2.0 980 $2,100 $2.14 17d 1 0.44mi
7939 Cadillac Ave Unit 1 Hudson, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,900 $2.71 24d 1 0.56mi
14611 Ivy Chase Ln Hudson, FL 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1021 $1,450 $1.42 24d 4 1.19mi
13913 Berkowitz Ave Hudson, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,295 $1.77 24d 1 1.23mi
15902 Spyglass Ter Hudson, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1300 $1,910 $1.47 3d 20 1.24mi
13847 Maria Dr Hudson beach34674, FL 3.0 2.0 1448 $3,000 $2.07 24d 1 1.31mi
8316 Needles Dr Hudson, FL 2.0 2.0 1407 $1,900 $1.35 12d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-08
    listed $65,000 Active
  3. 2006-08-12
    listed $99,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$948 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$948 · $79/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,098
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$948
− Insurance
−$5,444
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,008
− Management
−$2,008
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$9,159
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,198
After-tax cash flow
$7,147/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Hudson

Score
74/100
State rank
#289
US rank
#4856

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hudson, FL
County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
City population
45,307
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
30,689
Household income
$51,280
Rent vs Own
23.0% rent · 77.0% own
Severe rent burden
946.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -183.96%
Current HPI
307.5552
Rent YoY
▼ -2.26%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-34.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-12 Listed $99,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $948 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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