2490 S Lakeview Dr · Crestview, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$244,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New carpets, paint, A/C, water tank ! Roof 2021! Dramatic 10-foot ceilings great you as your come home to this spacious beauty! The electric fireplace with the custom-built-in shelving creates the perfect focal point for cozy nights in, all set against stunning hand-hewn Virginia Hill Works hardwood floors. The kitchen blends style and function with stainless steel appliances, Uba Tuba granite countertop, a custom tile backsplash, Fresh paint and an efficient layout designed for everyday living and entertaining. The dining area offers classic chair rail detailing and a comfortable space to gather. Retreat to the primary suite featuring tray ceilings up to 10 feet, a spacious walk-in closet, and a primary bath with double sinks and linen storage. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered back patio Fully fenced Backyard is ideal for kids and pets. A long driveway offers plenty of parking. The large finished garage includes pull-down stairs for extra storage, and fiber optic high-speed internet is available for modern convenience. This home offers comfort, charm, and space to truly make it your own!
Key facts
- Electric fireplace
- Tray ceilings
- 0.24 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (17.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $203k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.4% in Crestview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,858 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.87%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $306,213
- List price
- $244,900
- Delta
- -20.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2488 S Lakeview Dr | 0.01mi | 3/2.5 | 1,690 (+1%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $160 | 94 |
| 2498 S Lakeview Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,690 (+1%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $104 | 89 |
| 2480 S Lakeview Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,834 (+9%) | 13mo | $275,000 | $150 | 72 |
| 2377 Lake Silver Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,710 (+2%) | 3mo | $349,000 | $204 | 72 |
| 6229 Flash Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,679 (-0%) | 8mo | $296,000 | $176 | 64 |
| 2450 Belmont Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,856 (+10%) | 4mo | $329,900 | $178 | 63 |
| 6206 Flash Ln | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,751 (+4%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $151 | 59 |
| 2354 Barberee Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,755 (+4%) | 7mo | $305,000 | $174 | 54 |
| 2518 Rutgers Rd | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,856 (+10%) | 12mo | $299,900 | $162 | 54 |
| 2458 Belmont Dr | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,856 (+10%) | 13mo | $331,900 | $179 | 51 |
| 2462 Belmont Dr | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,856 (+10%) | 14mo | $309,900 | $167 | 48 |
| 6200 Nanterre Cv | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,919 (+14%) | 0mo | $355,534 | $185 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-36,650
- Equity at exit
- $36,515
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-38,043
- Equity at exit
- $21,174
Cash invested: $68,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32536
- Home prices YoY
- -16.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 349
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,028 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,284
- Tax from tax record
- −$109 /mo · $1,313/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$426
- Net cashflow
- $107
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,225
- Closing costs
- $7,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6231 Flash Ln Crestview, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1673 | $1,900 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2609 Corner Creek Rd Crestview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2098 | $2,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2606 Saltgrass Way Crestview, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1387 | $1,850 | $1.33 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $244,900 Pending 112 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $244,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $244,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $244,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $244,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $244,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $244,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $244,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $244,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $244,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-05-18price $244,900 1108-char remark
Show marketing remark (1108 chars)
New carpets, paint, A/C, water tank ! Roof 2021! Dramatic 10-foot ceilings great you as your come home to this spacious beauty! The electric fireplace with the custom-built-in shelving creates the perfect focal point for cozy nights in, all set against stunning hand-hewn Virginia Hill Works hardwood floors. The kitchen blends style and function with stainless steel appliances, Uba Tuba granite countertop, a custom tile backsplash, Fresh paint and an efficient layout designed for everyday living and entertaining. The dining area offers classic chair rail detailing and a comfortable space to gather. Retreat to the primary suite featuring tray ceilings up to 10 feet, a spacious walk-in closet, and a primary bath with double sinks and linen storage. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered back patio Fully fenced Backyard is ideal for kids and pets. A long driveway offers plenty of parking. The large finished garage includes pull-down stairs for extra storage, and fiber optic high-speed internet is available for modern convenience. This home offers comfort, charm, and space to truly make it your own!
-
2026-03-12price $249,900 1108-char remark
Show marketing remark (1108 chars)
New carpets, paint, A/C, water tank ! Roof 2021! Dramatic 10-foot ceilings great you as your come home to this spacious beauty! The electric fireplace with the custom-built-in shelving creates the perfect focal point for cozy nights in, all set against stunning hand-hewn Virginia Hill Works hardwood floors. The kitchen blends style and function with stainless steel appliances, Uba Tuba granite countertop, a custom tile backsplash, Fresh paint and an efficient layout designed for everyday living and entertaining. The dining area offers classic chair rail detailing and a comfortable space to gather. Retreat to the primary suite featuring tray ceilings up to 10 feet, a spacious walk-in closet, and a primary bath with double sinks and linen storage. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered back patio Fully fenced Backyard is ideal for kids and pets. A long driveway offers plenty of parking. The large finished garage includes pull-down stairs for extra storage, and fiber optic high-speed internet is available for modern convenience. This home offers comfort, charm, and space to truly make it your own!
-
2026-02-18$252,500 Active 1108-char remark
Show marketing remark (1108 chars)
New carpets, paint, A/C, water tank ! Roof 2021! Dramatic 10-foot ceilings great you as your come home to this spacious beauty! The electric fireplace with the custom-built-in shelving creates the perfect focal point for cozy nights in, all set against stunning hand-hewn Virginia Hill Works hardwood floors. The kitchen blends style and function with stainless steel appliances, Uba Tuba granite countertop, a custom tile backsplash, Fresh paint and an efficient layout designed for everyday living and entertaining. The dining area offers classic chair rail detailing and a comfortable space to gather. Retreat to the primary suite featuring tray ceilings up to 10 feet, a spacious walk-in closet, and a primary bath with double sinks and linen storage. Enjoy morning coffee on the covered back patio Fully fenced Backyard is ideal for kids and pets. A long driveway offers plenty of parking. The large finished garage includes pull-down stairs for extra storage, and fiber optic high-speed internet is available for modern convenience. This home offers comfort, charm, and space to truly make it your own!
-
2026-01-25price $270,000
-
2025-12-01price $274,500
-
2025-09-19$275,000 Active
-
2021-10-28soldstatus $220,000
-
2021-10-26soldstatus $220,000
-
2021-10-26soldstatus $220,000 Sold
-
2021-09-19status Pending
-
2021-09-18$215,000 Active
-
2021-09-16$215,000
-
2011-03-31soldstatus $71,000
-
2010-09-23$74,900
-
2007-02-06historical
-
2005-12-05$189,999
-
2005-12-05$189,999
-
2005-11-14soldstatus $1,200,000
-
2005-11-14soldstatus $600,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,313 · $109/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,033 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- +$720/yr (+$60/mo · 54.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,339
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,718
- − Property taxes
- −$1,313
- − Insurance
- −$1,224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,947
- − Management
- −$1,947
- − Depreciation
- −$7,124
- Taxable loss
- −$2,934
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$704
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,984/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okaloosa
- NCES district ID
- 1201380
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,601
- Composite
- 51.62/100
- National rank
- #1705
- State rank
- #12 of 73 in FL
Livability — Crestview
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #3858
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
- City population
- 58,889
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,599
- Household income
- $78,119
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 634.0
Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 235,133 people
- By 2030
- 253,483 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 289,537 · +23.1%
- By 2050
- 322,954 · +37.3%
- By 2075
- 399,624 · +70.0%
- By 2100
- 425,311 · +80.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 16% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.48%
- Current HPI
- 265.9926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.17%
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-79.6% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Price Changed $244,900 ECAR
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $249,900 ECAR
- 2026-02-18 Listed $252,500 ECAR
- 2026-01-25 Price Changed $270,000 ECAR
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $274,500 ECAR
- 2025-09-19 Listed $275,000 ECAR
- 2021-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-26 Sold (MLS) $220,000 ECAR
- 2021-10-26 Sold (MLS) $220,000 NAMLS
- 2021-09-19 Pending — ECAR
- 2021-09-18 Listed $215,000 ECAR
- 2021-09-16 Listed $215,000 NAMLS
- 2011-03-31 Sold (MLS) $71,000 ECAR
- 2010-09-23 Listed $74,900 ECAR
- 2007-02-06 Listing Removed — NAMLS
- 2005-12-05 Listed $189,999 NAMLS
- 2005-12-05 Listed $189,999 ECAR
- 2005-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $600,000 Public Records
- 2005-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $1,200,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,313 · -13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…