2553 Radcliff Ave · New York, NY 10469

$1,249,998

28 bd · 16.0 ba · 2,268 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 225 Days on market

Built 1928 2,500 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.8/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +7.3/10.0
• 1% rule +5.6/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +3.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

* * Investment Opportunity in Allerton, Bronx! * * Step into a fantastic investment with this well-maintained 4-family property located in the desirable Allerton neighborhood. Each of the four spacious units offers comfortable living, making it an attractive option for potential renters. The property is ideally situated near local shops, restaurants, and parks, with convenient access to public transportation. Allerton’s vibrant community and growing popularity promise a strong rental market, ensuring a reliable income stream. With its charm and excellent location, this property is perfect for both seasoned investors and newcomers to the real estate scene. Don’t miss your chan

Key facts

• restaurants
• 4-family property
• parks

Tags

• 4-FAMILY PROPERTY
• ALLERTON NEIGHBORHOOD
• SPACIOUS UNITS
• LOCAL SHOPS
• RESTAURANTS
• PARKS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4 × 7-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.25M.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive. Per door: $541/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $1.25M).
• Recommended offer: $1.10M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $13,310/mo this rent would consume 210% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 3706% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $38k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 225 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.10M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $235k; list at $1.25M implies a 432% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $1,099,998 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 225 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.06% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.37%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.42%
• DSCR: 1.33
• GRM: 7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -3.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.87×
• Total profit: $-46,631
• Equity at exit: $186,379

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.61×
• Total profit: $213,087
• Equity at exit: $108,077

Cash invested: $349,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10469

• Rents YoY: 4.3%
• Active inventory: 200
• Price-to-rent: 31.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $13,310 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$6,555
• Tax from tax record: −$1,275 /mo · $15,295/yr
• Insurance: −$521
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$2,795
• Net cashflow: $2,164

Break-even live

Break-even rent $10,570

Max offer price $1,249,998

Occupancy floor 79%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 4× units	7	—	$13,308
Total (4 units)			$13,310

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $312,500
• Closing costs: $37,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 11 events

1. 2025-06-13
   status Pending
2. 2025-05-10
   status Active
3. 2025-05-10
   historical
4. 2025-05-09
   price $1,249,998
5. 2025-05-09
   price $124,998
6. 2025-05-09
   status Active
7. 2025-04-27
   historical
8. 2025-04-10
   price $1,298,000
9. 2024-10-18
   listed $1,350,000 Active
10. 1998-12-02
    soldstatus $235,000
11. 1993-04-27
    soldstatus $183,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $15,295 · $1,275/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $18,210 · $1,517/mo
• Expected delta: +$2,915/yr (+$243/mo · 19.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $159,720
• − Mortgage interest: −$70,019
• − Property taxes: −$15,295
• − Insurance: −$6,250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$12,778
• − Management: −$12,778
• − Depreciation: −$36,364
• Taxable income: $6,237
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,497
• After-tax cash flow: $24,476/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 68,521
• Household income: $76,020
• Rent vs Own: 49.3% rent · 50.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 3706.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,353 people
• By 2030: 1,681,852 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,824,421 · +13.5%
• By 2050: 1,945,470 · +21.0%
• By 2075: 2,187,887 · +36.1%
• By 2100: 2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 54% Hispanic / Latino 27% White 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 9%
• Foreign-born: 37% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 62% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -524.76%
• Current HPI: 321.9213
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.33%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+583.1% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2025-06-13 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-10 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-10 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-09 Price Changed $1,249,998 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-09 Price Changed $124,998 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-05-09 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-04-27 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-04-10 Price Changed $1,298,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2024-10-18 Listed $1,350,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1998-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $235,000 Public Records
• 1993-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $183,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $15,295 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.