2986 Kenville Ln · Panthersville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.2/30.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained and move-in ready townhome priced to sell. A great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors looking for value and long-term potential. Functional layout, low maintenance, and conveniently located with easy access to major roads, shopping, and dining.
Key facts
- Move-in ready
- Easy access
- Functional layout
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned R3 residential (single-family); Directions: use GPS; County: Dekalb, GA
- HOA & community: Community contains 2 units
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Open parking
- Utilities: Private water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Water service available
- Home design: Two levels; Resale property; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Cedar and wood siding exterior; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Patio; Concrete road frontage on a private road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas oven; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen laundry area
- Bedrooms: Two upper-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High-speed internet available; End unit; One fireplace; Open concept dining area; Family room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $386 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 5.3% in Panthersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#180 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Cedar Grove Middle School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #433 of 470 statewide, top 93%, 777 students, 100% FRL); Cedar Grove High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #336 of 424 statewide, top 80%, 1,123 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 11% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Dekalb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 353 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $135k implies a 265% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.25%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $121,884
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- 10.76%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2992 Kenville Ln | 0.02mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,052 (+4%) | 15mo | $117,000 | $111 | 75 |
| 3785 Soapstone Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 | 1,069 (+6%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $131 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,321
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $27,206
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30034
- Home prices YoY
- -27.4%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 353
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,818 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$286 /mo · $3,436/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$382
- Net cashflow
- $386
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $462 | -5% $424 | +0% $386 | +5% $348 | +10% $310 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $242 | -5% $314 | +0% $386 | +5% $458 | +10% $530 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $454 | -0.5pp $420 | base $386 | +0.5pp $351 | +1.0pp $315 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3833 Conley Downs Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1248 | $1,713 | $1.37 | 0d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2945 Woody Ct Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,850 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 3830 Riverside Pkwy Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1286 | $1,865 | $1.45 | 0d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 3868 Leyland Dr Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1312 | $1,923 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3575 Oakvale Rd Decatur, GA | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $1,095 | $0.80 | 16d | 4 | 0.52mi |
| 3763 Soapstone Rd Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 3574 Saratoga Cir Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,103 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3575 Oakvale Rd #402 Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $1,623 | $1.14 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 6303 Waldrop Pl Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $1,900 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 6201 Waldrop Pl Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 19d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3489 Waldrop Trl Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 11101 Waldrop Pl Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1293 | $1,550 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3474 Waldrop Trl Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $800 | $0.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 3189 Kingswood Gln Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1152 | $2,100 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 17301 Waldrop Cv Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $1,550 | $1.20 | 19d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 17301 Waldrop Cv Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $1,550 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3101 Waldrop Pl Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,395 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3516 Kingswood Run Unit 1 Decatur, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,500 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3804 Waldrop Ln Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $1,850 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3798 Waldrop Ln Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $1,680 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3364 Waldrop Trl Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4029 Flat Shoals Pkwy Decatur, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 755 | $2,053 | $2.72 | 4d | 17 | 1.17mi |
| 4210 Waldrop Hills Ter Decatur, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,666 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3821 River Rd Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $2,195 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4035 Flat Shoals Pkwy Decatur, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 893 | $1,679 | $1.88 | 0d | 28 | 1.33mi |
| 3342 Crestview Ct Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,601 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3335 Crestview Ct Ellenwood, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1492 | $1,650 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 33 DOM
Show marketing remark (272 chars)
Well-maintained and move-in ready townhome priced to sell. A great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors looking for value and long-term potential. Functional layout, low maintenance, and conveniently located with easy access to major roads, shopping, and dining.
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-04-30$135,000 New 272-char remark
Show marketing remark (272 chars)
Well-maintained and move-in ready townhome priced to sell. A great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors looking for value and long-term potential. Functional layout, low maintenance, and conveniently located with easy access to major roads, shopping, and dining.
-
2026-04-30$135,000 Active 272-char remark
Show marketing remark (272 chars)
Well-maintained and move-in ready townhome priced to sell. A great opportunity for first-time buyers or investors looking for value and long-term potential. Functional layout, low maintenance, and conveniently located with easy access to major roads, shopping, and dining.
-
2008-04-08soldstatus $36,999
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
TWO STORY DUPLEX, FIREPLACE IN FAMILY ROOM, KITCHEN WITH BREAKFAST AREA AND LAUNDRY CLOSET, 2 BEDRMS ON UPPER LEVEL. PRIVATE PATIO OVERLKS BACKYARD. NO SELLERS DISCLOSURE, BEING SOLD AS IS. REQ ADDENDUMS, REQ PREQUAL LTR W/OFFER.
-
2007-12-15$39,999
Show marketing remark (229 chars)
TWO STORY DUPLEX, FIREPLACE IN FAMILY ROOM, KITCHEN WITH BREAKFAST AREA AND LAUNDRY CLOSET, 2 BEDRMS ON UPPER LEVEL. PRIVATE PATIO OVERLKS BACKYARD. NO SELLERS DISCLOSURE, BEING SOLD AS IS. REQ ADDENDUMS, REQ PREQUAL LTR W/OFFER.
-
1989-06-02soldstatus $49,200
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,436 · $286/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,436 · $286/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,821
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$3,436
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,746
- − Management
- −$1,746
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $2,729
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$655
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,977/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dekalb County
- NCES district ID
- 1301740
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,448
- Composite
- 20.92/100
- National rank
- #8482
- State rank
- #125 of 174 in GA
Livability — Panthersville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #180
- US rank
- #11244
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Dekalb County · 782,738 people
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,847
- Household income
- $63,517
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1659.0
Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 839,977 people
- By 2030
- 891,768 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 988,894 · +17.7%
- By 2050
- 1,074,583 · +27.9%
- By 2075
- 1,245,026 · +48.2%
- By 2100
- 1,303,135 · +55.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.92%
- Current HPI
- 209.5638
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.18%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+174.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $135,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $135,000 GAMLS
- 2008-04-08 Sold (MLS) $36,999 FMLS
- 2007-12-15 Listed $39,999 FMLS
- 1989-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $49,200 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,436 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…