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305 E 17th St
D Composite 44.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1

305 E 17th St · Ellis, KS 67637
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,552 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1976 0.37 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 0.37 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1976

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Residential property; Zoned NC.2 / R-2
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Deck; Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Window coverings; Partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $849 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#46 in KS, #3,343 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ellis (rural): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #77 of 280 in KS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Ellis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ellis County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
114493.00%
Cap rate
1085391.64%
Cash-on-cash
3876376.24%
DSCR
172477.93
GRM
0.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
193290.56×
Total profit
$54,121
Equity at exit
$0
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
417715.54×
Total profit
$116,960
Equity at exit
$0

Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kansas
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 67637

Home prices YoY
-12.3%
Active inventory
21

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,145 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$0
Tax est. 1.5%
$0 /mo · $0/yr
Insurance
$0
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$240
Net cashflow
$849

Break-even live

Break-even rent $70
Max offer price $1
Occupancy floor 21%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $849 -5% $849 +0% $849 +5% $849 +10% $849
Rent -10% $758 -5% $804 +0% $849 +5% $894 +10% $939
Rate -1.0pp $849 -0.5pp $849 base $849 +0.5pp $849 +1.0pp $849

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$0
Closing costs
$0
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $1 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $1 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $1 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    listed $1 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,739
− Mortgage interest
−$0
− Property taxes
−$0
− Insurance
−$667
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,099
− Management
−$1,099
− Depreciation
−$0
Taxable income
$10,874
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,610
After-tax cash flow
$7,578/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ellis
NCES district ID
2005850
Math proficiency
37% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Median HH income
$48,783
Composite
36.01/100
National rank
#9529
State rank
#77 of 280 in KS

Livability — Ellis

Score
76/100
State rank
#46
US rank
#3343

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ellis, KS
Population (ZIP)
2,809

Population outlook (Ellis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
30,414 people
By 2030
31,166 · +2.5%
By 2040
32,361 · +6.4%
By 2050
33,598 · +10.5%
By 2075
36,890 · +21.3%
By 2100
39,282 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 4% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, China
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ellis

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.0% · R 72.1% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-12.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -46.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.1 2020: R+44.0 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+43.8 2008: R+33.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -21.10%
Current HPI
149.8314
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+30.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $1 Hays MLS
  • 2005-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
  • 2000-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 1997-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,949 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…