305 E 17th St · Ellis, KS
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.37 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1976
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Residential property; Zoned NC.2 / R-2
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Deck; Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Window coverings; Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $849 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#46 in KS, #3,343 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Ellis (rural): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #77 of 280 in KS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Ellis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $0 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $0 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ellis County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $0 cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 114493.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 1085391.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3876376.24%
- DSCR
- 172477.93
- GRM
- 0.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 193290.56×
- Total profit
- $54,121
- Equity at exit
- $0
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 417715.54×
- Total profit
- $116,960
- Equity at exit
- $0
Cash invested: $0 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67637
- Home prices YoY
- -12.3%
- Active inventory
- 21
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,145 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$0
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$0 /mo · $0/yr
- Insurance
- −$0
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$240
- Net cashflow
- $849
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $849 | -5% $849 | +0% $849 | +5% $849 | +10% $849 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $758 | -5% $804 | +0% $849 | +5% $894 | +10% $939 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $849 | -0.5pp $849 | base $849 | +0.5pp $849 | +1.0pp $849 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $0
- Closing costs
- $0
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $1 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $1 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $1 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $1 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05$1 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,739
- − Mortgage interest
- −$0
- − Property taxes
- −$0
- − Insurance
- −$667
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,099
- − Management
- −$1,099
- − Depreciation
- −$0
- Taxable income
- $10,874
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,610
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,578/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ellis
- NCES district ID
- 2005850
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,783
- Composite
- 36.01/100
- National rank
- #9529
- State rank
- #77 of 280 in KS
Livability — Ellis
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #46
- US rank
- #3343
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ellis, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,809
Population outlook (Ellis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 30,414 people
- By 2030
- 31,166 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 32,361 · +6.4%
- By 2050
- 33,598 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 36,890 · +21.3%
- By 2100
- 39,282 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ellis
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.1) · D 26.0% · R 72.1% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.1 2020: R+44.0 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+43.8 2008: R+33.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.10%
- Current HPI
- 149.8314
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+30.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $1 Hays MLS
- 2005-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
- 2000-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 1997-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,949 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…