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B- Composite 67.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.2/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

7152 EL Torro St · Pasadena Hills, FL 33541
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 864 sqft · Manufactured public records · 141 Days on market
Built 1984 3,346 sqft lot Est $102k · at est. $114/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move right in and start enjoying the Florida lifestyle in this fully furnished, move-in-ready home located in the active, gated 55+ Spanish Trails Village—where you own the land and enjoy low HOA fees. This well-maintained home also features a NEW HVAC system for added comfort and peace of mind. This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 864 square feet of comfortable living space with a practical layout and thoughtful storage throughout. A covered carport leads to an indoor laundry and storage room, adding everyday convenience. Inside, the eat-in kitchen features wood cabinetry, vinyl flooring, white appliances, and a cozy dining nook complete with a large built-in hutch—perfect for ex

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Covered carport
  • Natural light

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYINDOOR LAUNDRYCOVERED CARPORTEAT-IN KITCHENCOZY DINING NOOKNATURAL LIGHT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Total monthly fees listed as $114; Total annual fees listed as $1,368; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: HOA: Spanish Trails Village A Condo; Monthly HOA fee of $114 (includes pool and grounds maintenance); Community amenities: clubhouse, pool, shuffleboard court, spa/hot tub; Senior community; Pets allowed; Association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered carport (1 space)
  • Security: Gated community; Security gate; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); Single-story; Faces west
  • Construction: Membrane roof; Other construction materials; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered, front and screened porch; Covered patio; Rain gutters; Sidewalk; Sliding doors

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room/dining room combo; Solid wood cabinets; Walk-in closets; Window treatments
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $400 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.7% in Pasadena Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#723 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: West Zephyrhills Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,896 of 2,144 statewide, top 90%, 615 students, 81% FRL); Zephyrhills High School (math 35% / reading 37%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,656 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 856 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $105k implies a 162% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
10.86%
Cash-on-cash
16.32%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$101,952
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7133 EL Matador St 0.04mi 2/2.0 864 (0%) 11mo $79,000 $91 89
7117 EL Rancho Way #367 0.11mi 2/2.0 896 (+4%) 4mo $118,000 $132 86
37843 Barcelona Ave 0.18mi 2/2.0 840 (-3%) 3mo $99,000 $118 85
37648 Campo Ave 0.09mi 2/2.0 972 (+12%) 11mo $114,000 $117 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.7%
Equity multiple
1.14×
Total profit
$3,992
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
9.8%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$19,036
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33541

Home prices YoY
-15.2%
Rents YoY
-2.5%
Active inventory
856
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,553 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,421/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$114
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$400

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,047
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
37814 Daughtery Rd Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 1070 $1,395 $1.30 5d 1 0.22mi
38112 Townview Ave Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 24d 1 0.35mi
7660 Emerson Hill Cir Zephyrhills, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1077 $1,964 $1.82 1d 34 0.59mi
38350 Ironwood Pl #5 Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1094 $1,800 $1.65 24d 1 0.83mi
6788 Basswood Cir Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1067 $1,250 $1.17 24d 1 0.84mi
37732 Cecil Ln Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,800 $1.73 24d 1 0.90mi
38485 County Road 54 Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 24d 1 0.97mi
6302 Abbott Station Dr Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 1.0–2.5 855 $1,732 $2.02 1d 142 1.01mi
6052 10th St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 644 $1,200 $1.86 24d 1 1.26mi
38748 Calumet Ave Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 5d 1 1.32mi
8129 Cass Rd Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 540 $1,100 $2.04 24d 1 1.38mi
37812 15th Ave Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,850 $1.85 24d 1 1.43mi
38647 Rose Ln Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 814 $1,350 $1.66 24d 1 1.47mi
38010 14th Ave Apt 3 Zephyrhills, FL 1.0 1.0 537 $1,195 $2.23 24d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$114 · $1,368/yr
Likely covers
security

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 141 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 140 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 139 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 138 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 137 DOM
  6. 2026-03-16
    price $105,000
  7. 2026-01-14
    listed $110,000 Active
  8. 1995-02-13
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,421 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,421 · $118/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,634
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,421
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,491
− Management
−$1,491
− HOA
−$1,368
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$3,402
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$817
After-tax cash flow
$3,983/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pasadena Hills

Score
63/100
State rank
#723
US rank
#15499

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pasadena Hills, FL
County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
24,654
Household income
$56,579
Rent vs Own
14.0% rent · 86.0% own
Severe rent burden
393.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.21%
Current HPI
308.0619
Rent YoY
▼ -2.51%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+162.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $105,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $110,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1995-02-13 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,421 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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