75 Sturges St · Jamestown, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +8.8/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming and beautifully maintained two-bedroom home that blends comfort, style, and everyday convenience. With its attractive vinyl siding and warm, inviting curb appeal, this property immediately feels like home the moment you arrive. Step inside to find a thoughtfully designed interior, tastefully decorated with a cozy, modern touch that makes every room feel welcoming. The spacious full bathroom offers plenty of room to relax and unwind, while the convenience of first-floor laundry adds ease to your daily routine. The home features two comfortable bedrooms, perfect for restful nights or flexible use as a home office or guest space. Outside, you’ll love the fully fenced backyard—ideal for entertaining, pets, or simply enjoying your own private outdoor retreat. A one-car garage provides additional storage and protection from the elements. Whether you’re starting out, downsizing, or looking for a move-in ready home with charm and functionality, this delightful property checks all the boxes.
Key facts
- One-car garage
- Vinyl siding
- First-floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 16.8% in Jamestown — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
- Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 315 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $85k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.34%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $102,697
- List price
- $85,000
- Delta
- -17.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Bowen St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,548 (-0%) | 0mo | $72,500 | $47 | 84 |
| 48 Blanchard St | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,506 (-3%) | 8mo | $20,000 | $13 | 78 |
| 122 Weeks St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,556 (+0%) | 2mo | $131,000 | $84 | 78 |
| 154 Falconer St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,534 (-1%) | 8mo | $55,000 | $36 | 77 |
| 217 Newton Ave | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,536 (-1%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $81 | 77 |
| 133 Euclid Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-3%) | 3mo | $48,000 | $32 | 76 |
| 104 Falconer St | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,672 (+8%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $21 | 72 |
| 193 Bowen St | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,402 (-10%) | 5mo | $61,500 | $44 | 69 |
| 22 W 9th St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,542 (-1%) | 0mo | $30,000 | $19 | 64 |
| 81 Hotchkiss St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,451 (-6%) | 5mo | $150,900 | $104 | 57 |
| 115 Wilson Pl | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-13%) | 3mo | $119,000 | $89 | 50 |
| 241 Clyde Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,762 (+14%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $91 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $1,887
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.93×
- Total profit
- $22,020
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14701
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 315
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,173 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$201 /mo · $2,412/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $293 | -5% $269 | +0% $245 | +5% $221 | +10% $197 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $152 | -5% $198 | +0% $245 | +5% $291 | +10% $337 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $288 | -0.5pp $266 | base $245 | +0.5pp $223 | +1.0pp $200 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 148 Maple St Jamestown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,350 | $0.95 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-27price $85,000 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Welcome to this charming and beautifully maintained two-bedroom home that blends comfort, style, and everyday convenience. With its attractive vinyl siding and warm, inviting curb appeal, this property immediately feels like home the moment you arrive. Step inside to find a thoughtfully designed interior, tastefully decorated with a cozy, modern touch that makes every room feel welcoming. The spacious full bathroom offers plenty of room to relax and unwind, while the convenience of first-floor laundry adds ease to your daily routine. The home features two comfortable bedrooms, perfect for restful nights or flexible use as a home office or guest space. Outside, you’ll love the fully fenced backyard—ideal for entertaining, pets, or simply enjoying your own private outdoor retreat. A one-car garage provides additional storage and protection from the elements. Whether you’re starting out, downsizing, or looking for a move-in ready home with charm and functionality, this delightful property checks all the boxes.
-
2026-04-11$91,900 Active 1040-char remark
Show marketing remark (1040 chars)
Welcome to this charming and beautifully maintained two-bedroom home that blends comfort, style, and everyday convenience. With its attractive vinyl siding and warm, inviting curb appeal, this property immediately feels like home the moment you arrive. Step inside to find a thoughtfully designed interior, tastefully decorated with a cozy, modern touch that makes every room feel welcoming. The spacious full bathroom offers plenty of room to relax and unwind, while the convenience of first-floor laundry adds ease to your daily routine. The home features two comfortable bedrooms, perfect for restful nights or flexible use as a home office or guest space. Outside, you’ll love the fully fenced backyard—ideal for entertaining, pets, or simply enjoying your own private outdoor retreat. A one-car garage provides additional storage and protection from the elements. Whether you’re starting out, downsizing, or looking for a move-in ready home with charm and functionality, this delightful property checks all the boxes.
-
2021-11-18soldstatus $53,500 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2021-10-23status Pending Sale
-
2021-09-15$59,900 Active
-
2014-02-07soldstatus $34,000
-
2013-07-17$39,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,412 · $201/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,412 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,079
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$2,412
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,126
- − Management
- −$1,126
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $1,755
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$421
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,515/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jamestown City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615630
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,240
- Composite
- 30.69/100
- National rank
- #6176
- State rank
- #553 of 590 in NY
Livability — Jamestown
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #470
- US rank
- #8213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jamestown, NY
- County
- Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
- City population
- 38,461
- Metro
- Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,461
- Household income
- $49,685
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,454 people
- By 2030
- 118,509 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 107,311 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 96,703 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 76,757 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 60,984 · -50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.93%
- Current HPI
- 259.402
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+114.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $85,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-04-11 Listed $91,900 UNYREIS
- 2021-11-18 Sold (MLS) $53,500 UNYREIS
- 2021-10-23 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2021-09-15 Listed $59,900 UNYREIS
- 2014-02-07 Sold (MLS) $34,000 UNYREIS
- 2013-07-17 Listed $39,700 UNYREIS
Property tax history
-3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,412 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…