2445 La Vista Rd · Sulphur, OK
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- Appreciation +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Escape to your affordable weekend getaway! Enjoy leisure time close to Arbuckle Lake. With 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and both a living room and a spacious family room addition, there's plenty of space for relaxation. All appliances are included for your convenience. Step outside to enjoy the covered deck, storage building, and expansive corner yard, perfect for outdoor activities like horseshoes and gathering around the firepit. Don't miss out on this getaway opportunity! Court records states 720 sq ft but that does not include the 14x14 family room addition.
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Firepit
- Storage building
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Sidewalks
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detector(s); No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Water available (rural); Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces east; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Deck; Fire pit; Exterior storage; Corner lot; Mature trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Electric oven; Electric range; Stove; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (with propane); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Laminate counters; Aluminum window frames; Electric oven and range connections
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($420/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (7.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.4% in Sulphur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#60 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Sulphur (town): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #56 of 270 in OK (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Murray County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Murray County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.58%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $52,212
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2855 Arapaho St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (+10%) | 18mo | $57,000 | $57 | 42 |
| 1746 Cooley | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 784 (-14%) | 21mo | $45,000 | $57 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.9% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.09×
- Total profit
- $29,111
- Equity at exit
- $59,127
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $84,060
- Equity at exit
- $106,715
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73086
- Home prices YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $875 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-19days on market $95,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $95,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $95,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $95,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-03-13$95,000 Active
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2025-09-22historical
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2025-03-01price $99,950
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2024-09-23$109,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,425
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$840
- − Management
- −$840
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable loss
- −$1,162
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$279
- After-tax cash flow
- $699/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sulphur
- NCES district ID
- 4029160
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,116
- Composite
- 26.47/100
- National rank
- #7214
- State rank
- #56 of 270 in OK
Livability — Sulphur
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #9249
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 8,504
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,504
Population outlook (Murray County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,976 people
- By 2030
- 15,487 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 16,455 · +9.9%
- By 2050
- 17,308 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 19,421 · +29.7%
- By 2100
- 20,335 · +35.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Two or more races 14% Native American 12% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Portuguese 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Murray
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.3) · D 18.4% · R 79.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.4pp · 2024: -61.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.3 2020: R+58.6 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+40.1 2008: R+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.90%
- Current HPI
- 331.8646
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
-13.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Listed $95,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-09-22 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-03-01 Price Changed $99,950 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2024-09-23 Listed $109,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…