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200 Mason St
B- Composite 69.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,000

200 Mason St · Hot Springs, AR 71913
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1932 0.31 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

When opportunity calls, you put on a new roof and make a move! Other than that, this home is move in ready. It would make a great investment for a rental property or someone just needing their own little affordable place in the city to call home. Front yard is fenced in. ?? Wonderful flat useful backyard. Window units. ?? 1152 sq ft. 1 bedroom 1 bath. ?? Laundry room Priced to sell at $49,000.

Key facts

  • Laundry room
  • Fenced in front yard
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFFENCED IN FRONT YARDFLAT USEFUL BACKYARDLAUNDRY ROOMDETACHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking pads for 2 cars
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Public water; Municipal electric service (Entergy)
  • Home design: Property in Metes & Bounds subdivision
  • Construction: Rock and frame exterior; Wood exterior; Crawl space foundation; Other roof (see remarks)
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot is a mix of sloped and level terrain; Located inside city limits

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing stove
  • Flooring: Wood flooring; Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window units
  • Interior features: Wood and laminate flooring; Laundry room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($948 rent vs $49k).
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 2.8% in Hot Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#140 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Hot Springs School District (urban): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #195 of 238 in AR (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 981 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 117 units permitted in Garland County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Garland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $49k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.93%
Cap rate
17.13%
Cash-on-cash
38.71%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,632
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
140 Cooper St Unit 2-D 0.11mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,045 (-9%) 4mo $121,000 $116 71
140 Cooper St Unit B2 0.11mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,027 (-11%) 2mo $127,000 $124 70
160 Cooper St Unit 17B 0.13mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,268 (+10%) 1mo $138,500 $109 67
100 Wisteria Pl 0.50mi 2/1.5 (+1) 1,190 (+3%) 5mo $100,000 $84 60
335 Mason St 0.23mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,065 (-8%) 10mo $80,000 $75 59
121 Mccafferty St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,098 (-5%) 12mo $152,000 $138 57
102 Chitwood St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,036 (-10%) 1mo $120,000 $116 55
1230 Garland Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 (+1) 1,084 (-6%) 2mo $70,000 $65 54
111 Dahlia St 0.29mi 2/1.5 (+1) 1,314 (+14%) 9mo $177,500 $135 49
117 Cash St 0.70mi 2/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (-5%) 11mo $138,000 $126 40
110 Marigold 0.63mi 2/1.5 (+1) 1,288 (+12%) 5mo $199,500 $155 40
305 Beard St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (+1) 992 (-14%) 4mo $85,000 $86 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.43% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.6%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$23,625
Equity at exit
$7,306
10-year hold
IRR
46.6%
Equity multiple
6.23×
Total profit
$71,748
Equity at exit
$4,237

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71913

Home prices YoY
-33.9%
Rents YoY
6.4%
Active inventory
981
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$948 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $348/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$199
Net cashflow
$443

Break-even live

Break-even rent $388
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $470 -5% $456 +0% $443 +5% $429 +10% $415
Rent -10% $368 -5% $405 +0% $443 +5% $480 +10% $517
Rate -1.0pp $467 -0.5pp $455 base $443 +0.5pp $430 +1.0pp $417

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1036 Garland Ave Hot Springs National Park, AR 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,150 $0.96 45d 1 0.78mi
410 Oakwood Ave Hot Springs, AR 2.0–3.0 2.0 1000 $999 $1.00 45d 6 1.10mi
951 Whittington Ave Hot Springs National Park, AR 2.0 1.0 950 $850 $0.89 45d 1 1.34mi
948 Whittington Ave Hot Springs, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 800 $775 $0.97 24d 6 1.37mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $49,000 Under Contract 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,000 New Listing 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    remarks 388-char remark
  4. 2026-06-09
    listed $49,000 New Listing 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$348 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$348 · $29/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,376
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$348
− Insurance
−$245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$910
− Management
−$910
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$4,793
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,150
After-tax cash flow
$4,160/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hot Springs School District
NCES district ID
0507890
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$28,817
Composite
19.62/100
National rank
#8746
State rank
#195 of 238 in AR

Livability — Hot Springs

Score
65/100
State rank
#140
US rank
#12498

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hot Springs, AR
County
Garland County · 76,414 people
City population
76,414
Metro
Hot Springs, AR
Population (ZIP)
47,477
Household income
$56,010
Rent vs Own
34.3% rent · 65.7% own
Severe rent burden
1442.0

Population outlook (Garland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
100,343 people
By 2030
101,880 · +1.5%
By 2040
104,804 · +4.4%
By 2050
107,292 · +6.9%
By 2075
113,182 · +12.8%
By 2100
112,247 · +11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Garland

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.2) · D 30.8% · R 67.0% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.3pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -36.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.2 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+29.9 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -137.67%
Current HPI
268.5228
Rent YoY
▲ 6.43%
Metro
Hot Springs, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+84.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $49,000 HSBOR
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $49,000 CARMLS
  • 2014-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $26,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $348 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…