203 E Branch Dr · Huger, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.2/15.0
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Appreciation +4.4/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
$459,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Cainhoy Preserve by Ryan Homes, the only new homes 20 minutes to Mount Pleasant from the $400s. Everyday life gets easier in this community with quick access to Point Hope, Mount Pleasant Town Center, and the Lowcountry's best beaches.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2026
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $460k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-505 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $387k (15.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $348k (24.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $348k (24.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.7% in Huger — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Berkeley 01 (suburban): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #30 of 80 in SC (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cainhoy Elementary (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #594 of 597 statewide, top 100%, 154 students, 100% FRL); Philip Simmons Middle (math 31% / reading 48%, grade F, #82 of 229 statewide, top 37%, 428 students, 35% FRL); Philip Simmons High (math 42% / reading 92%, grade B, #73 of 196 statewide, top 41%, 771 students, 21% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 3,183 units permitted in Berkeley County in 2024 (580 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,479/mo this rent would consume 80% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.1%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Berkeley County population projected at +48% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($405k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.71%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $489,783
- List price
- $459,990
- Delta
- -6.08%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 202 E Branch Dr | 0.02mi | 4/2.5 | 2,114 (+13%) | 3mo | $444,375 | $210 | 75 |
| 119 Royal Cainhoy Way | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,913 (+2%) | 7mo | $489,000 | $256 | 63 |
| 124 Royal Cainhoy Way | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,913 (+2%) | 10mo | $421,640 | $220 | 61 |
| 153 Royal Cainhoy Way | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,913 (+2%) | 10mo | $439,040 | $230 | 60 |
| 161 Royal Cainhoy Way | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,913 (+2%) | 14mo | $539,015 | $282 | 60 |
| 122 Royal Cainhoy Way | 0.40mi | 4/3.0 | 1,702 (-9%) | 10mo | $398,740 | $234 | 56 |
| 117 Royal Cainhoy Way | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,702 (-9%) | 6mo | $502,500 | $295 | 53 |
| 135 Royal Cainhoy Way | 0.47mi | 4/3.0 | 1,702 (-9%) | 10mo | $439,140 | $258 | 53 |
| 116 Royal Cainhoy Way | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,702 (-9%) | 12mo | $419,740 | $247 | 50 |
| 152 Royal Cainhoy Way | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,702 (-9%) | 12mo | $399,090 | $234 | 49 |
| 158 Royal Cainhoy Way | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,702 (-9%) | 14mo | $473,940 | $278 | 49 |
| 155 Royal Cainhoy Way | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,702 (-9%) | 13mo | $497,990 | $293 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.12% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-69,124
- Equity at exit
- $108,475
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-66,229
- Equity at exit
- $111,738
Cash invested: $128,797 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 9 active · 6 under contract
- Months of supply
- 54.0 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $469,990 ($246/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 148 d
- This list price
- 11% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +6.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 29450
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,479 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,412
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$575 /mo · $6,900/yr
- Insurance
- −$192
- HOA
- −$75
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$731
- Net cashflow
- $-505
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-187 | -5% $-346 | +0% $-505 | +5% $-664 | +10% $-823 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-780 | -5% $-643 | +0% $-505 | +5% $-368 | +10% $-230 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-274 | -0.5pp $-388 | base $-505 | +0.5pp $-624 | +1.0pp $-746 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $114,998
- Closing costs
- $13,800
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Annual association fee of 900Community features include walk/jog trails
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached 2-car garageOff-street parking
- Utilities
- Public sewerWater and sewer: BCW & SAElectric service: Berkeley Electric Cooperative
- Home design
- Single-family detachedResidential propertyTwo levels
- Construction
- Architectural-style roof
- Exterior features
- Architectural roofLot size under 0.5 acreNo other structuresSubdivision: Cainhoy Preserve
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherDisposalElectric rangeMicrowave
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedroomsOwner's suite located on upper level with walk-in closets
- Flooring
- CarpetLuxury vinyl
- Bathrooms
- 2.5 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heating
- Interior features
- Smooth ceilingsHigh ceilingsKitchen islandWalk-in closetsFamily roomLoft (can be converted to a 4th bedroom)Pantry
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry roomWasher hookupElectric dryer hookup
Listing history 37 events
-
2026-07-13days on market $459,990 Active 131 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $459,990 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $459,990 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $459,990 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $459,990 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $459,990 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $459,990 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $459,990 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $459,990 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $459,990 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $459,990 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $459,990 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $459,990 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $459,990 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $459,990 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $459,990 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $459,990 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $459,990 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $459,990 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $459,990 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $459,990 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $459,990 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $459,990 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $459,990 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $459,990 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $459,990 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $459,990 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $459,990 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $459,990 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $459,990 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $459,990 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $459,990 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $459,990 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $459,990 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-04-08price $459,990
-
2026-03-10price $469,990
-
2026-03-04$449,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,751
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,767
- − Property taxes
- −$6,900
- − Insurance
- −$2,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,340
- − Management
- −$3,340
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$13,382
- Taxable loss
- −$14,177
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,402
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,661/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 5 photos
This single-family home in Cainhoy Preserve by Ryan Homes is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a modern kitchen, well-maintained bathrooms, and a clean exterior, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can attract buyers and renters, increasing both value types. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berkeley 01
- NCES district ID
- 4501170
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,724
- Composite
- 35.95/100
- National rank
- #4799
- State rank
- #30 of 80 in SC
Livability — Huger
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Berkeley · 254,184 people
- Metro
- Charleston-North Charleston, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,124
- Household income
- $52,500
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Berkeley County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 254,184 people
- By 2030
- 279,677 · +10.0%
- By 2040
- 329,379 · +29.6%
- By 2050
- 375,557 · +47.8%
- By 2075
- 476,740 · +87.6%
- By 2100
- 535,945 · +110.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 25% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 7% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Berkeley
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.3) · D 41.1% · R 57.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -16.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.3 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+18.9 2008: R+13.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.12%
- Current HPI
- 462.4619
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+2.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $459,990 Charleston Trident MLS
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $469,990 Charleston Trident MLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $449,990 Charleston Trident MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…