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11238 Route 9 Duplex
A Composite 85.75
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$109,000

11238 Route 9 · Champlain, NY 12919
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,939 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 511 Days on market
Built 1875 Fair condition 8,712 sqft lot $56/sqft · 49% below area Est $216k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained duplex located in the Village of Champlain and priced to sell. Both the upper and lower units offer 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Property features a mix of detached and attached garages, providing ample storage for tenants or owner use. Recent improvements include new electric water heaters (2024), a natural gas furnace (approximately 3 years old), numerous new windows and doors, and updated plumbing and water lines. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors seeking a solid income-producing property.

Key facts

  • Numerous new windows
  • Village of champlain
  • Natural gas furnace

Tags

VILLAGE OF CHAMPLAINDETACHED AND ATTACHED GARAGESNEW ELECTRIC WATER HEATERSNATURAL GAS FURNACENUMEROUS NEW WINDOWSNEW PLUMBING AND WATER LINES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $109k. Condition is rated fair.
  • This rent per unit is only 16% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $280/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#623 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Northeastern Clinton Central School District (rural): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #203 of 590 in NY (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Northeastern Clinton Middle School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade D-, #379 of 729 statewide, top 54%, 277 students, 50% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 63% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Northeastern Clinton Central School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 511 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $95,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 511 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  5. Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  6. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  7. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  8. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.85%
Cap rate
12.47%
Cash-on-cash
22.04%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
4.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$215,568
List price
$109,000
Delta
-49.44%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17 Oak St 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,795 (-7%) 19mo $340,000 $189 51
39 Spruce St. St 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,458 (-25%) 11mo $130,000 $89 45
45 Church St 0.46mi 4/2.0 2,100 (+8%) 31mo $237,500 $113 45
556 Prospect St 1.23mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,811 (-7%) 3mo $165,000 $91 44
25 Butternut St 0.43mi 4/1.5 1,595 (-18%) 12mo $123,000 $77 43
79 Elm St 0.92mi 4/1.5 1,906 (-2%) 33mo $140,000 $73 40
37 Ashline Dr 0.64mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,700 (-12%) 7mo $242,500 $143 37
661 Prospect St 0.78mi 4/1.0 2,006 (+4%) 35mo $153,000 $76 35
113 Elm Street St 0.76mi 4/1.5 2,228 (+15%) 10mo $227,000 $102 29
23 Spruce St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,664 (-14%) 23mo $211,300 $127 29
102 Tallman Rd 1.41mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,364 (+22%) 8mo $280,000 $118 28
516 Prospect St 1.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,612 (-17%) 20mo $215,000 $133 15

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.71% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.6%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$59,219
Equity at exit
$59,837
10-year hold
IRR
30.5%
Equity multiple
5.90×
Total profit
$149,446
Equity at exit
$101,707

Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12919

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,021 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$572
Tax from tax record
$419 /mo · $5,027/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$424
Net cashflow
$561

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,021

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,311
Max offer price $109,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $919 -5% $592 +0% $561 +5% $530 +10% $499
Rent -10% $401 -5% $481 +0% $561 +5% $640 +10% $720
Rate -1.0pp $616 -0.5pp $588 base $561 +0.5pp $532 +1.0pp $504

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,250
Closing costs
$3,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $109,000 Active 511 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $109,000 Active 510 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $109,000 Active 509 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $109,000 Active 508 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $109,000 Active 507 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $109,000 Active 506 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $109,000 Active 503 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $109,000 Active 502 DOM
  9. 2026-07-29
    days on market $109,000 Active 501 DOM
  10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $109,000 Active 499 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $109,000 Active 497 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $109,000 Active 496 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    days on market $109,000 Active 495 DOM
  14. 2026-07-22
    days on market $109,000 Active 494 DOM
  15. 2026-07-21
    days on market $109,000 Active 493 DOM
  16. 2026-07-20
    days on market $109,000 Active 492 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $109,000 Active 490 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $109,000 Active 488 DOM
  19. 2026-07-15
    days on market $109,000 Active 487 DOM
  20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $109,000 Active 486 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $109,000 Active 485 DOM
  22. 2026-07-12
    days on market $109,000 Active 484 DOM
  23. 2026-07-12
    days on market $109,000 Active 483 DOM
  24. 2026-07-10
    days on market $109,000 Active 482 DOM
  25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $109,000 Active 481 DOM
  26. 2026-07-08
    days on market $109,000 Active 479 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $109,000 Active 478 DOM
  28. 2026-07-05
    days on market $109,000 Active 477 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $109,000 Active 476 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $109,000 Active 475 DOM
  31. 2026-07-03
    days on market $109,000 Active 474 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $109,000 Active 473 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $109,000 Active 472 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $109,000 Active 471 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $109,000 Active 470 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $109,000 Active 469 DOM
  37. 2026-06-26
    days on market $109,000 Active 468 DOM
  38. 2026-06-22
    days on market $109,000 Active 464 DOM
  39. 2026-06-21
    days on market $109,000 Active 463 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $109,000 Active 462 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,000 Active 460 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,000 Active 459 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,000 Active 458 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,000 Active 457 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,000 Active 455 DOM
  46. 2026-06-12
    days on market $129,000 Active 454 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,000 Active 451 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,000 Active 450 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 449 DOM
  50. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,000 Active 448 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$5,027 · $419/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,027 · $419/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,252
− Mortgage interest
−$6,106
− Property taxes
−$5,027
− Insurance
−$545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,940
− Management
−$1,940
− Depreciation
−$3,171
Taxable income
$5,523
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,326
After-tax cash flow
$5,402/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $48,475–$87,255 screening

This two-unit property requires moderate renovations to update the kitchens and bathrooms, and to address exterior and interior wear. The home is well-maintained but could benefit from a fresh coat of paint and updated fixtures to increase its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
  • Moderate bathroom fixtures — outdated and possibly in need of replacement
  • Minor exterior siding — some discoloration

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters
  • Both paint interior walls — fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance
  • Both repair and replace flooring — new flooring can improve both the home's appearance and functionality

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northeastern Clinton Central School District
NCES district ID
3621250
Math proficiency
63% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
63% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$48,921
Composite
53.46/100
National rank
#1461
State rank
#203 of 590 in NY
C Composite livability gradescore 66/100

Livability — Champlain

Score
66/100
State rank
#623
US rank
#11356

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D- Housing B Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Champlain, NY
County
Clinton · 78,791 people
Population (ZIP)
2,789
Household income
$77,072
Rent vs Own
25.7% rent · 74.3% own
Severe rent burden
9% of renters

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
78,791 people
By 2030
76,848 · -2.5%
By 2040
71,579 · -9.2%
By 2050
66,471 · -15.6%
By 2075
57,361 · -27.2%
By 2100
47,232 · -40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% German 8% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.9% · R 51.1%
2008→2024 swing
-25.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: -2.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.2 2020: D+5.2 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+25.6 2008: D+22.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+67.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-08 Relisted ACVMLS
  • 2026-01-01 Delisted ACVMLS
  • 2025-08-21 Price Changed $129,000 ACVMLS
  • 2025-07-10 Price Changed $155,000 ACVMLS
  • 2025-03-06 Listed $169,000 ACVMLS
  • 2011-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $103,500 Public Records
  • 2005-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $77,250 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,027 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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