Duplex
11238 Route 9 · Champlain, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.4/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained duplex located in the Village of Champlain and priced to sell. Both the upper and lower units offer 2 bedrooms and 1 full bathroom. Property features a mix of detached and attached garages, providing ample storage for tenants or owner use. Recent improvements include new electric water heaters (2024), a natural gas furnace (approximately 3 years old), numerous new windows and doors, and updated plumbing and water lines. A great opportunity for owner-occupants or investors seeking a solid income-producing property.
Key facts
- Numerous new windows
- Village of champlain
- Natural gas furnace
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $109k. Condition is rated fair.
- This rent per unit is only 16% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $561 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $280/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#623 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Northeastern Clinton Central School District (rural): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #203 of 590 in NY (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Northeastern Clinton Middle School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade D-, #379 of 729 statewide, top 54%, 277 students, 50% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 63% district-wide (-21 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Northeastern Clinton Central School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 192 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (64 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Clinton County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 511 days — a 12% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1875 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 511 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1875 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.04%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $215,568
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -49.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oak St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,795 (-7%) | 19mo | $340,000 | $189 | 51 |
| 39 Spruce St. St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,458 (-25%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $89 | 45 |
| 45 Church St | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 | 2,100 (+8%) | 31mo | $237,500 | $113 | 45 |
| 556 Prospect St | 1.23mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,811 (-7%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $91 | 44 |
| 25 Butternut St | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 | 1,595 (-18%) | 12mo | $123,000 | $77 | 43 |
| 79 Elm St | 0.92mi | 4/1.5 | 1,906 (-2%) | 33mo | $140,000 | $73 | 40 |
| 37 Ashline Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,700 (-12%) | 7mo | $242,500 | $143 | 37 |
| 661 Prospect St | 0.78mi | 4/1.0 | 2,006 (+4%) | 35mo | $153,000 | $76 | 35 |
| 113 Elm Street St | 0.76mi | 4/1.5 | 2,228 (+15%) | 10mo | $227,000 | $102 | 29 |
| 23 Spruce St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,664 (-14%) | 23mo | $211,300 | $127 | 29 |
| 102 Tallman Rd | 1.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,364 (+22%) | 8mo | $280,000 | $118 | 28 |
| 516 Prospect St | 1.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,612 (-17%) | 20mo | $215,000 | $133 | 15 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.71% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $59,219
- Equity at exit
- $59,837
- IRR
- 30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.90×
- Total profit
- $149,446
- Equity at exit
- $101,707
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12919
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 33
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,021 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax from tax record
- −$419 /mo · $5,027/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $561
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,020 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,010 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,010 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,021 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $919 | -5% $592 | +0% $561 | +5% $530 | +10% $499 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $401 | -5% $481 | +0% $561 | +5% $640 | +10% $720 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $616 | -0.5pp $588 | base $561 | +0.5pp $532 | +1.0pp $504 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $109,000 Active 511 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $109,000 Active 510 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $109,000 Active 509 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $109,000 Active 508 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $109,000 Active 507 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $109,000 Active 506 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $109,000 Active 503 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $109,000 Active 502 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $109,000 Active 501 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $109,000 Active 499 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $109,000 Active 497 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $109,000 Active 496 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $109,000 Active 495 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $109,000 Active 494 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $109,000 Active 493 DOM
-
2026-07-20days on market $109,000 Active 492 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $109,000 Active 490 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $109,000 Active 488 DOM
-
2026-07-15days on market $109,000 Active 487 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $109,000 Active 486 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $109,000 Active 485 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $109,000 Active 484 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $109,000 Active 483 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $109,000 Active 482 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $109,000 Active 481 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $109,000 Active 479 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $109,000 Active 478 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $109,000 Active 477 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $109,000 Active 476 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $109,000 Active 475 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $109,000 Active 474 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $109,000 Active 473 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $109,000 Active 472 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $109,000 Active 471 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $109,000 Active 470 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $109,000 Active 469 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $109,000 Active 468 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $109,000 Active 464 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $109,000 Active 463 DOM
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2026-06-21pricedays on market $109,000 Active 462 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $129,000 Active 460 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $129,000 Active 459 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,000 Active 458 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,000 Active 457 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,000 Active 455 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,000 Active 454 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,000 Active 451 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,000 Active 450 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 449 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,000 Active 448 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,027 · $419/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,027 · $419/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,252
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$5,027
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,940
- − Management
- −$1,940
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $5,523
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,326
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,402/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This two-unit property requires moderate renovations to update the kitchens and bathrooms, and to address exterior and interior wear. The home is well-maintained but could benefit from a fresh coat of paint and updated fixtures to increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and in need of updating
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — outdated and possibly in need of replacement
- Minor exterior siding — some discoloration
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and countertops — modernizing the kitchen would appeal to both buyers and renters ↑
- Both paint interior walls — fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance ↑
- Both repair and replace flooring — new flooring can improve both the home's appearance and functionality ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northeastern Clinton Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621250
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,921
- Composite
- 53.46/100
- National rank
- #1461
- State rank
- #203 of 590 in NY
Livability — Champlain
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #623
- US rank
- #11356
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Champlain, NY
- County
- Clinton · 78,791 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,789
- Household income
- $77,072
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9% of renters
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 78,791 people
- By 2030
- 76,848 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 71,579 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 66,471 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 57,361 · -27.2%
- By 2100
- 47,232 · -40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 15% German 8% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.9% · R 51.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: -2.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.2 2020: D+5.2 2016: D+0.9 2012: D+25.6 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.71%
- Current HPI
- 281.0541
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+67.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-08 Relisted — ACVMLS
- 2026-01-01 Delisted — ACVMLS
- 2025-08-21 Price Changed $129,000 ACVMLS
- 2025-07-10 Price Changed $155,000 ACVMLS
- 2025-03-06 Listed $169,000 ACVMLS
- 2011-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $103,500 Public Records
- 2005-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $77,250 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,027 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…