950 NE 199th St Unit 2H · Ives Estates, FL 33179

$149,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,192 sqft · Condo public records · 39 Days on market

Built 1969 $602/mo HOA · 25% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +23.6/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +7.6/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

55+ Community. Spacious 2-bedroom, 2-bath, 1,192 sqft unit located on the second floor of a gated, lakefront community. Features include tile flooring, stainless steel appliances, a large living/dining area, an enclosed balcony with garden views, and one assigned parking space and storage space. The laundry room is just steps from the unit. Low maintenance fee includes water, internet, and cable. Conveniently located near I-95, Aventura Mall, and shopping centers. Easy access to public transportation, dining, and daily essentials.

Key facts

• Gated community
• Lakefront community
• Enclosed balcony

Tags

• GATED COMMUNITY
• LAKEFRONT COMMUNITY
• ENCLOSED BALCONY
• GARDEN VIEWS
• ASSIGNED PARKING SPACE
• STORAGE SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Lease considered; Pets not allowed
• HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association fee covers cable TV, insurance, sewer, trash, water; Association amenities: clubhouse, laundry, pool; Senior community

Exterior

• Parking: One parking space
• Security: Complex fenced; Smoke detector(s)
• Home design: Attached property; 4-story building; Entry on level 2; Resale unit
• Construction: Block construction
• Exterior features: Balcony; Screened balcony; Association pool; Complex fenced; Smoke detector(s)

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Disposal; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Storage room
• Flooring: Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Accessible elevator installed; Dual sinks; Living/dining room; Walk-in closet(s); Other
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Common area laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.6% in Ives Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#191 in FL, #3,061 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
• Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 572 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $20k; list at $150k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $145,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
8. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
9. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.62% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.56%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.11%
• DSCR: 1.36
• GRM: 5.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.70×
• Total profit: $-12,437
• Equity at exit: $22,351

10-year hold

• IRR: -5.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.72×
• Total profit: $-11,593
• Equity at exit: $12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33179

• Rents YoY: 0.2%
• Active inventory: 572
• Price-to-rent: 5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,430 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$786
• Tax from tax record: −$185 /mo · $2,223/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$602
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$510
• Net cashflow: $284

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,071

Max offer price $149,900

Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,475
• Closing costs: $4,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 25 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4410 SW 39th St Unit 4410 West Park, FL	2.0	1.0	1135	$2,700	$2.38	1d	1	1.19mi
5100 SW 41st St Pembroke Park, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	815	$1,750	$2.15	19d	3	1.24mi
5100 SW 41st St Pembroke Park, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	815	$1,799	$2.21	3d	4	1.24mi
3610 SW 39th Ave Unit 3610 West Park, FL	3.0	2.0	1157	$3,600	$3.11	7d	1	1.26mi
3610 SW 39th Ave West Park, FL	3.0	2.0	1157	$3,600	$3.11	16d	1	1.26mi
3874 SW 48th Ave #3874 Pembroke Park, FL	2.0	2.0	950	$2,150	$2.26	7d	1	1.32mi
3830 SW 31st Dr West Park, FL	3.0	1.0	1419	$2,900	$2.04	24d	1	1.34mi
3856 SW 48th Ave #3856 Pembroke Park, FL	2.0	2.0	950	$2,150	$2.26	16d	1	1.34mi
3826 SW 48th Ave Unit 3826 Pembroke Park, FL	2.0	2.0	950	$2,200	$2.32	14d	1	1.34mi
3826 SW 48th Ave Unit 3826 Pembroke Park, FL	2.0	2.0	950	$2,200	$2.32	5d	1	1.34mi
3828 SW 48th Ave Unit D27 Hollywood, FL	2.0	2.0	950	$2,300	$2.42	24d	1	1.35mi
3842 SW 48th Ave Hollywood, FL	2.0	2.0	966	$2,000	$2.07	24d	1	1.36mi
3838 SW 48th Ave Unit 3838 Pembroke Park, FL	2.0	2.0	966	$2,200	$2.28	24d	1	1.37mi
5525 SW 41st St Hollywood, FL	2.0	2.0	1031	$2,145	$2.08	3d	1	1.37mi
3926 SW 52nd Ave Unit E5 Hollywood, FL	3.0	2.5	1335	$2,500	$1.87	24d	1	1.39mi
4141 SW 32nd Dr West Park, FL	3.0	1.0	1048	$2,700	$2.58	24d	1	1.40mi
4141 SW 32nd Dr West Park, FL	3.0	1.0	1048	$2,700	$2.58	7d	1	1.40mi
3840 SW 52nd Ave Hollywood, FL	3.0	2.5	1264	$2,650	$2.10	24d	1	1.43mi
5085 SW 37th St West Park, FL	3.0	2.5	1276	$3,200	$2.51	5d	1	1.43mi
5085 SW 37th St Unit 5085 West Park, FL	3.0	2.5	1276	$3,200	$2.51	14d	1	1.43mi
5440 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL	2.0	1.0	768	$1,900	$2.47	24d	1	1.47mi
5440 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL	2.0	1.0	768	$1,900	$2.47	7d	1	1.47mi
5460 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL	2.0	1.0	890	$2,350	$2.64	24d	1	1.48mi
3700 SW 52nd Ave Hollywood, FL	2.0	2.0	850	$1,446	$1.70	24d	1	1.49mi
5540 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL	2.0	1.0	768	$2,000	$2.60	10d	1	1.49mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $602 · $7,224/yr
• Likely covers: waterinternetcablesecurityparking
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 19 events

1. 2026-06-13
   statusdays on market $149,900 Pending 39 DOM
2. 2026-06-09
   days on market $149,900 Active 37 DOM
3. 2026-06-08
   days on market $149,900 Active 36 DOM
4. 2026-06-07
   days on market $149,900 Active 35 DOM
5. 2026-06-04
   days on market $149,900 Active 32 DOM
6. 2026-06-03
   days on market $149,900 Active 31 DOM
7. 2026-06-02
   days on market $149,900 Active 30 DOM
8. 2026-06-01
   days on market $149,900 Active 29 DOM
9. 2026-05-31
   days on market $149,900 Active 28 DOM
10. 2026-05-03
    listed $149,900 Active
11. 2026-03-31
    historical
12. 2026-03-29
    price $1,600
13. 2026-02-25
    listed $1,700
14. 2026-01-23
    listed $169,500 Active
15. 2025-09-30
    historical
16. 2025-06-11
    listed $179,500 Active
17. 1992-03-06
    soldstatus $20,000
18. 1992-03-06
    soldstatus $20,000
19. 1992-02-01
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,223 · $185/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,223 · $185/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $29,155
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,397
• − Property taxes: −$2,223
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,332
• − Management: −$2,332
• − HOA: −$7,224
• − Depreciation: −$4,361
• Taxable income: $1,536
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$369
• After-tax cash flow: $3,034/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Miami-Dade
• NCES district ID: 1200390
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $43,928
• Composite: 41.76/100
• National rank: #3397
• State rank: #40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ives Estates

• Score: 77/100
• State rank: #191
• US rank: #3061

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Ives Estates, FL
• County: Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• Population (ZIP): 51,591
• Household income: $65,211
• Rent vs Own: 43.3% rent · 56.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 3123.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,126,439 people
• By 2030: 3,325,765 · +6.4%
• By 2040: 3,697,561 · +18.3%
• By 2050: 4,012,134 · +28.3%
• By 2075: 4,605,612 · +47.3%
• By 2100: 4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% White 19% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 48% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 42% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

• 2024 margin: R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -608.34%
• Current HPI: 328.1733
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.22%
• Metro: Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+274.8% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-03 Listed $149,900 MARMLS
• 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2026-03-29 Price Changed $1,600 MARMLS
• 2026-02-25 Listed for Rent $1,700 MARMLS
• 2026-01-23 Listed $169,500 MARMLS
• 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — MARMLS
• 2025-06-11 Listed $179,500 MARMLS
• 1992-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
• 1992-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
• 1992-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+19.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,223 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.