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600 E 15th St
D+ Composite 49.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

600 E 15th St · Littlefield, TX 79336
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,204 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1950 7,000 sqft lot $83/sqft · 23% below area Est $130k · 23% under ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great Value in a Friendly Neighborhood. Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family home that offers comfort, practicality, and exceptional value! Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, investor, or looking to downsize, this property is a fantastic opportunity. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior, creating a clean and welcoming space ready for your personal touch. The exterior has also been recently painted, giving the home great curb appeal and a well-maintained feel from the moment you arrive. Enjoy the convenience of a large carport, providing ample covered parking and protection from the elements. The roof was replaced in 2025, offering peace of mind for year

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Storage shed
  • Large carport

Tags

FRESHLY PAINTED INTERIORRECENTLY PAINTED OUTSIDELARGE CARPORTSPACIOUS BACKYARDSTORAGE SHEDFRIENDLY NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-space carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Updated/remodeled
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition roof; Built with above-grade living area of 1,205
  • Exterior features: Storage; Fenced yard with wood fencing and gate; Paved, public-maintained city street access

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($418/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (12.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#658 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Littlefield ISD (town): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #527 of 826 in TX (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Littlefield J H (math 37% / reading 34%, grade F, #827 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 275 students, 74% FRL); Littlefield H S (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 364 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lamb County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $87,652 (12.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.71%
Cash-on-cash
1.49%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$130,137
List price
$99,900
Delta
-23.23%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
311 E 18th St 0.19mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,254 (+4%) 23mo $126,262 $101 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-13,976
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-9,341
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79336

Active inventory
120
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$877 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,105/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$184
Net cashflow
$35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $832
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $91 -5% $63 +0% $35 +5% $7 +10% $-22
Rent -10% $-34 -5% $0 +0% $35 +5% $69 +10% $104
Rate -1.0pp $85 -0.5pp $60 base $35 +0.5pp $9 +1.0pp $-17

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
400 E 22nd St Littlefield, TX 2.0–3.0 1.5 1143 $950 $0.83 45d 2 0.41mi
1100 S Wicker Ave Unit OT-10 Littlefield, TX 2.0 1.0 740 $725 $0.98 45d 1 0.65mi
517 W 5th St Littlefield, TX 3.0 1.0 912 $850 $0.93 45d 1 0.76mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,900 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    price $99,900 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 31 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 30 DOM
  18. 2026-05-01
    listed $105,000 Active 1377-char remark
  19. 2022-01-31
    soldstatus
  20. 2005-07-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,105 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,828 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$723/yr (+$60/mo · 65.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,518
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,105
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$841
− Management
−$841
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable loss
−$1,272
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$305
After-tax cash flow
$723/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Littlefield ISD
NCES district ID
4827750
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$36,900
Composite
29.51/100
National rank
#6503
State rank
#527 of 826 in TX

Livability — Littlefield

Score
65/100
State rank
#658
US rank
#12392

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Littlefield, TX
Population (ZIP)
15,265

Population outlook (Lamb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,357 people
By 2030
11,878 · -3.9%
By 2040
10,950 · -11.4%
By 2050
9,929 · -19.6%
By 2075
7,355 · -40.5%
By 2100
4,603 · -62.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (53%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 53% White 42% Two or more races 24% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 48%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 27%

Political lean MEDSL · Lamb

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.3) · D 17.6% · R 81.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.4pp · 2024: -64.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.3 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+58.1 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+48.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -169.34%
Current HPI
154.0713
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $99,900 LARMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $105,000 LARMLS
  • 2022-01-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-07-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,105 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…