600 E 15th St · Littlefield, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Value in a Friendly Neighborhood. Welcome to this inviting 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family home that offers comfort, practicality, and exceptional value! Whether you're a first-time homebuyer, investor, or looking to downsize, this property is a fantastic opportunity. Step inside to find a freshly painted interior, creating a clean and welcoming space ready for your personal touch. The exterior has also been recently painted, giving the home great curb appeal and a well-maintained feel from the moment you arrive. Enjoy the convenience of a large carport, providing ample covered parking and protection from the elements. The roof was replaced in 2025, offering peace of mind for year
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Storage shed
- Large carport
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-space carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Updated/remodeled
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition roof; Built with above-grade living area of 1,205
- Exterior features: Storage; Fenced yard with wood fencing and gate; Paved, public-maintained city street access
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($418/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#658 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Littlefield ISD (town): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #527 of 826 in TX (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Littlefield J H (math 37% / reading 34%, grade F, #827 of 1,662 statewide, top 51%, 275 students, 74% FRL); Littlefield H S (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #730 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 364 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lamb County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.49%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,137
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -23.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311 E 18th St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,254 (+4%) | 23mo | $126,262 | $101 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-13,976
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-9,341
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79336
- Active inventory
- 120
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $877 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$92 /mo · $1,105/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$184
- Net cashflow
- $35
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $91 | -5% $63 | +0% $35 | +5% $7 | +10% $-22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-34 | -5% $0 | +0% $35 | +5% $69 | +10% $104 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $85 | -0.5pp $60 | base $35 | +0.5pp $9 | +1.0pp $-17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 E 22nd St Littlefield, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1143 | $950 | $0.83 | 45d | 2 | 0.41mi |
| 1100 S Wicker Ave Unit OT-10 Littlefield, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $725 | $0.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 517 W 5th St Littlefield, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $850 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.76mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $99,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-04price $99,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$105,000 Active 1377-char remark
-
2022-01-31soldstatus
-
2005-07-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,105 · $92/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,828 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$723/yr (+$60/mo · 65.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,518
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,105
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$841
- − Management
- −$841
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable loss
- −$1,272
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$305
- After-tax cash flow
- $723/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Littlefield ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4827750
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,900
- Composite
- 29.51/100
- National rank
- #6503
- State rank
- #527 of 826 in TX
Livability — Littlefield
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #658
- US rank
- #12392
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Littlefield, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,265
Population outlook (Lamb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,357 people
- By 2030
- 11,878 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 10,950 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 9,929 · -19.6%
- By 2075
- 7,355 · -40.5%
- By 2100
- 4,603 · -62.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (53%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% White 42% Two or more races 24% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 27%
Political lean MEDSL · Lamb
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.3) · D 17.6% · R 81.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.9pp toward R · 2008: -48.4pp · 2024: -64.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.3 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+58.1 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+48.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -169.34%
- Current HPI
- 154.0713
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-4.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $99,900 LARMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $105,000 LARMLS
- 2022-01-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-07-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,105 · +7.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…