7100 Airline · Midland, TX
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Cute 2 bedroom, 2 bath manufactured home located in a mobile home community. Home is personal property and sits on a leased lot. Buyer will need to contact the mobile home park directly for current lot-lease pricing and park requirements. Great opportunity for affordable living with easy access to town conveniences.
Key facts
- Built 2022
- Listed 41 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric range; Electric water heater; Ceiling fan(s); Central air; Central electric heating
- Laundry & utility: Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $474 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.7% in Midland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#57 in TX, #2,192 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, commute D+, amenities D.
- Midland ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #477 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Scharbauer El (math 25% / reading 24%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 696 students, 69% FRL); Alamo J H (math 23% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,156 of 1,662 statewide, top 71%, 865 students, 62% FRL); Legacy H S (math 37% / reading 3%, grade F, #1,397 of 1,632 statewide, top 87%, 2,504 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,504 units permitted in Midland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Midland County population projected at +83% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.47%
- DSCR
- 1.82
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $43,473
- Equity at exit
- $49,461
- IRR
- 25.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.65×
- Total profit
- $112,488
- Equity at exit
- $76,225
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79712
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,562 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$328
- Net cashflow
- $474
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $550 | -5% $512 | +0% $474 | +5% $436 | +10% $398 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $351 | -5% $412 | +0% $474 | +5% $536 | +10% $598 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $530 | -0.5pp $502 | base $474 | +0.5pp $446 | +1.0pp $417 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1808 Tradewinds Blvd Midland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1126 | $1,730 | $1.54 | 14d | 13 | 1.36mi |
| 1811 Tradewinds Blvd Midland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $1,400 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-08$110,000 Active 317-char remark
-
2023-01-24price $45,000
-
2023-01-04price $56,000
-
2022-11-29price $57,150
-
2022-11-03price $57,250
-
2022-10-14price $57,500
-
2022-10-08price $58,000
-
2014-07-23soldstatus
-
2014-07-02$34,000
-
2010-01-28soldstatus
-
2009-12-23$30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 4 d/yr ≥102°F today · 11 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,749
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,650
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,500
- − Management
- −$1,500
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $4,188
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,005
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,685/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
A mobile home with average condition, requiring minor repairs and maintenance. Paint and carpet updates would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor exterior siding — Light discoloration
- Minor interior walls — Some paint wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior siding · Light discoloration | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| interior walls · Some paint wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Midland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830570
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,457
- Composite
- 31.63/100
- National rank
- #5938
- State rank
- #477 of 826 in TX
Livability — Midland
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #2192
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+266.7% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Listed $110,000 PBBOR
- 2023-01-24 Price Changed $45,000 PBBOR
- 2023-01-04 Price Changed $56,000 PBBOR
- 2022-11-29 Price Changed $57,150 PBBOR
- 2022-11-03 Price Changed $57,250 PBBOR
- 2022-10-14 Price Changed $57,500 PBBOR
- 2022-10-08 Price Changed $58,000 PBBOR
- 2014-07-23 Sold (MLS) — ODMLS
- 2014-07-02 Listed $34,000 ODMLS
- 2010-01-28 Sold (MLS) — ODMLS
- 2009-12-23 Listed $30,000 ODMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…