1421 21st St · Phenix City, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great investment Opportunity. 2 Bedroom 1 bathroom home would be a great add to your portfolio. Needs sheetrock work, paint, flooring, upgrades. New plumbing, and the sewage system from house to street is new as well. Home is sold As-Is.
Key facts
- Built 1940
- Listed 38 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No community features
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
- Home design: Residential townhouse; Single-story; Fixer condition; No common walls
- Construction: Wood siding construction; Built on crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Deck; Patio; Back yard fencing; Shingle roof; Has a view
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Has heating (other type); Has cooling (other type)
- Interior features: Other interior features; No fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with other features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $643 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 5.0% in Phenix City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#297 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Phenix City (suburban): math 22% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #59 of 129 in AL (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 183 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Russell County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.69%
- DSCR
- 3.08
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $70,720
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2103 14th Ct | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 825 (-1%) | 8mo | $70,000 | $85 | 89 |
| 2000 14th Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (+4%) | 24mo | $80,000 | $93 | 68 |
| 1700 14th Ct | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (+6%) | 12mo | $87,000 | $98 | 68 |
| 1804 16th Pl | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 910 (+9%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $137 | 63 |
| 1514 10th Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (-2%) | 10mo | $23,000 | $28 | 62 |
| 1704 14th Ct | 0.23mi | 2/— | 884 (+6%) | 23mo | $31,000 | $35 | 59 |
| 1000 N Railroad St | 0.52mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 802 (-4%) | 8mo | $9,500 | $12 | 58 |
| 1002 N Railroad St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 818 (-2%) | 19mo | $10,000 | $12 | 58 |
| 1506 14th Ct | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 916 (+10%) | 9mo | $63,000 | $69 | 54 |
| 1013 22nd St | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 895 (+8%) | 20mo | $110,000 | $123 | 49 |
| 1304 28th St | 0.49mi | 2/1.5 | 879 (+6%) | 21mo | $125,000 | $142 | 48 |
| 804 N Railroad St St | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 938 (+13%) | 3mo | $64,000 | $68 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 46.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $34,504
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 53.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.82×
- Total profit
- $96,201
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36867
- Home prices YoY
- -30.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 217
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,299 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $597/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $643
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2108 9th Ave Phenix City, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,150 | $1.11 | 20d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2702 N Railroad St Phenix City, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,200 | $1.56 | 20d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $59,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-03status $59,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-06$59,000 Active
-
2024-04-30soldstatus $45,000 Closed 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Great investment Opportunity. 2 Bedroom 1 bathroom home would be a great add to your portfolio. Needs sheetrock work, paint, flooring, upgrades. New plumbing, and the sewage system from house to street is new as well. Home is sold As-Is.
-
2024-04-19status Pending 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Great investment Opportunity. 2 Bedroom 1 bathroom home would be a great add to your portfolio. Needs sheetrock work, paint, flooring, upgrades. New plumbing, and the sewage system from house to street is new as well. Home is sold As-Is.
-
2024-04-15price $49,900 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Great investment Opportunity. 2 Bedroom 1 bathroom home would be a great add to your portfolio. Needs sheetrock work, paint, flooring, upgrades. New plumbing, and the sewage system from house to street is new as well. Home is sold As-Is.
-
2024-04-03$52,900 Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Great investment Opportunity. 2 Bedroom 1 bathroom home would be a great add to your portfolio. Needs sheetrock work, paint, flooring, upgrades. New plumbing, and the sewage system from house to street is new as well. Home is sold As-Is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $597 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $597 · $50/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,594
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$597
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,247
- − Management
- −$1,247
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $7,185
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,724
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,990/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Phenix City
- NCES district ID
- 0102700
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,228
- Composite
- 27.29/100
- National rank
- #7001
- State rank
- #59 of 129 in AL
Livability — Phenix City
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #19037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phenix City, AL
- County
- Russell County · 53,055 people
- City population
- 62,290
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,821
- Household income
- $48,026
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1399.0
Population outlook (Russell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 70,137 people
- By 2030
- 75,826 · +8.1%
- By 2040
- 87,858 · +25.3%
- By 2050
- 99,721 · +42.2%
- By 2075
- 128,009 · +82.5%
- By 2100
- 149,251 · +112.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Russell
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 48.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: 7.3pp · 2024: 1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.7 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+1.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+7.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.10%
- Current HPI
- 171.8426
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.33%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+11.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $59,000 EABOR
- 2024-04-30 Sold (MLS) $45,000 EABOR
- 2024-04-19 Pending — EABOR
- 2024-04-15 Price Changed $49,900 EABOR
- 2024-04-03 Listed $52,900 EABOR
Property tax history
+16.9%/yrLatest (2025): $597 · +40.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…