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585 Grand View Dr #13
B Composite 70.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$154,999

585 Grand View Dr #13 · Taylorsville, KY 40071
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 991 sqft · Condo · 161 Days on market
Built 2005 $156/sqft · 45% below area Est $280k · 45% under $33/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Turnkey fully furnished 2 bedroom /2 bath short-term rental opportunity at Edgewater Resort- Taylorsville Lake, Taylorsville, KY. This property was built exclusively for short-term stays and includes up to 59 owner /personal days per year. Resort-style amenities include a pool, fire pits, playground, and quick marina access on Taylorsville Lake. Deck-side lake views and a prime location along Kentucky's Bourbon Trail position this cottage to benefit from consistent tourism demand and long-term investor appeal. Come tour Cottage 13 - Secretariat and Edgewater Resort just minutes outside of Louisville, KY!

Key facts

  • Quick marina access
  • Deck-side lake views
  • Prime location

Tags

SHORT-TERM RENTAL OPPORTUNITYRESORT-STYLE AMENITIESQUICK MARINA ACCESSDECK-SIDE LAKE VIEWSPRIME LOCATION

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.0% in Taylorsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#149 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Spencer County (rural): math 41% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #18 of 165 in KY (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 126 units permitted in Spencer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Spencer County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $155k implies a 244% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $136,399 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.50%
Cash-on-cash
11.44%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$280,000
List price
$154,999
Delta
-44.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,277
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$35,235
Equity at exit
$13,401

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 40071

Home prices YoY
-13.4%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,921 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax est. 1.5%
$194 /mo · $2,325/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$403
Net cashflow
$414

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,398
Max offer price $154,999
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr
Likely covers
waterpool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $154,999 Active 161 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $154,999 Active 160 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $154,999 Active 159 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $154,999 Active 158 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $154,999 Active 156 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $154,999 Active 153 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $154,999 Active 152 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $154,999 Active 151 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $154,999 Active 150 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $154,999 Active 146 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $154,999 Active 145 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $154,999 Active 144 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $154,999 Active 143 DOM
  14. 2026-02-19
    price $160,000 613-char remark
    Show marketing remark (613 chars)

    Turnkey fully furnished 2 bedroom /2 bath short-term rental opportunity at Edgewater Resort- Taylorsville Lake, Taylorsville, KY. This property was built exclusively for short-term stays and includes up to 59 owner /personal days per year. Resort-style amenities include a pool, fire pits, playground, and quick marina access on Taylorsville Lake. Deck-side lake views and a prime location along Kentucky's Bourbon Trail position this cottage to benefit from consistent tourism demand and long-term investor appeal. Come tour Cottage 13 - Secretariat and Edgewater Resort just minutes outside of Louisville, KY!

  15. 2026-01-08
    listed $165,000 Active 613-char remark
    Show marketing remark (613 chars)

    Turnkey fully furnished 2 bedroom /2 bath short-term rental opportunity at Edgewater Resort- Taylorsville Lake, Taylorsville, KY. This property was built exclusively for short-term stays and includes up to 59 owner /personal days per year. Resort-style amenities include a pool, fire pits, playground, and quick marina access on Taylorsville Lake. Deck-side lake views and a prime location along Kentucky's Bourbon Trail position this cottage to benefit from consistent tourism demand and long-term investor appeal. Come tour Cottage 13 - Secretariat and Edgewater Resort just minutes outside of Louisville, KY!

  16. 2018-06-05
    soldstatus $45,000 Closed 620-char remark
    Show marketing remark (620 chars)

    Fantastic view of Taylorsville Lake and Marina from cottage #13. Edgewater Resort is a gated community. Great investment opportunity on this turn key cottage. Home features a vaulted Great Room with gas fireplace and open to large eat-in kitchen with all appliances staying with home. Off of kitchen is a deck with a hot tub that overlooks the lake. 2 large bedrooms, 2 full baths and laundry with stackable washer/dryer make this home a great place to get away from the City. Edgewater Resort offers a pool & playground. Monthly rental fee of $200 or $300 covers trash, lawn care, etc. Don't miss this opportunity!

  17. 2018-05-22
    status Pending 620-char remark
    Show marketing remark (620 chars)

    Fantastic view of Taylorsville Lake and Marina from cottage #13. Edgewater Resort is a gated community. Great investment opportunity on this turn key cottage. Home features a vaulted Great Room with gas fireplace and open to large eat-in kitchen with all appliances staying with home. Off of kitchen is a deck with a hot tub that overlooks the lake. 2 large bedrooms, 2 full baths and laundry with stackable washer/dryer make this home a great place to get away from the City. Edgewater Resort offers a pool & playground. Monthly rental fee of $200 or $300 covers trash, lawn care, etc. Don't miss this opportunity!

  18. 2018-04-08
    listed $52,900 Active 620-char remark
    Show marketing remark (620 chars)

    Fantastic view of Taylorsville Lake and Marina from cottage #13. Edgewater Resort is a gated community. Great investment opportunity on this turn key cottage. Home features a vaulted Great Room with gas fireplace and open to large eat-in kitchen with all appliances staying with home. Off of kitchen is a deck with a hot tub that overlooks the lake. 2 large bedrooms, 2 full baths and laundry with stackable washer/dryer make this home a great place to get away from the City. Edgewater Resort offers a pool & playground. Monthly rental fee of $200 or $300 covers trash, lawn care, etc. Don't miss this opportunity!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,055
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$2,325
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,844
− Management
−$1,844
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$2,679
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$643
After-tax cash flow
$4,321/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Spencer County
NCES district ID
2105490
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$64,167
Composite
38.74/100
National rank
#4125
State rank
#18 of 165 in KY

Livability — Taylorsville

Score
71/100
State rank
#149
US rank
#7189

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
16,702

Population outlook (Spencer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,077 people
By 2030
21,008 · +4.6%
By 2040
22,560 · +12.4%
By 2050
23,480 · +16.9%
By 2075
25,222 · +25.6%
By 2100
25,550 · +27.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Spencer

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.7) · D 21.0% · R 77.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: -35.5pp · 2024: -56.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.7 2020: R+54.3 2016: R+55.5 2012: R+37.7 2008: R+35.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.62%
Current HPI
274.9283
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+202.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $160,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $165,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2018-06-05 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Metro Search MLS
  • 2018-05-22 Pending Metro Search MLS
  • 2018-04-08 Listed $52,900 Metro Search MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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