2138 E 2nd St · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 2138 E 2nd St! This well-located property offers comfortable living space with easy access to downtown Montgomery, parks, and everyday amenities. A great opportunity for first-time buyers or for those looking to add an investment to their portfolio. ..
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1948
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-story; Built as listed in public records; City lot (50 x 150)
- Construction: Asbestos and Masonite exterior materials
- Exterior features: Porch (covered); Exterior storage
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning; Gas water heater
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Covered porch; Storage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $872 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Cap rate 25.3% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $55k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 68.04%
- DSCR
- 4.03
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $194,880
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2138 E 2nd St | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,856 (0%) | 1mo | $30,500 | $16 | 97 |
| 1324 Felder Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,843 (-1%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $76 | 70 |
| 1738 W 3rd St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,720 (-7%) | 6mo | $37,500 | $22 | 70 |
| 2017 Hazel Hedge Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,951 (+5%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $120 | 69 |
| 2121 E 3rd St | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 | 1,600 (-14%) | 4mo | $15,000 | $9 | 67 |
| 1364 Felder Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,722 (-7%) | 6mo | $197,000 | $114 | 59 |
| 446 Buford St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,899 (+2%) | 4mo | $108,000 | $57 | 55 |
| 2009 Commodore St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,661 (-10%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $39 | 55 |
| 2412 College St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,776 (-4%) | 7mo | $265,000 | $149 | 54 |
| 1430 Midlane Ct | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 2,072 (+12%) | 3mo | $217,500 | $105 | 49 |
| 1214 Woodward Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (-12%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $153 | 42 |
| 1836 Longmeadow Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (-10%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $110 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 71.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.37×
- Total profit
- $51,846
- Equity at exit
- $8,186
- IRR
- 75.9%
- Equity multiple
- 10.08×
- Total profit
- $139,581
- Equity at exit
- $4,747
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36106
- Home prices YoY
- -13.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,529 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$26 /mo · $309/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $872
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $903 | -5% $887 | +0% $872 | +5% $856 | +10% $841 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $751 | -5% $811 | +0% $872 | +5% $932 | +10% $992 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $899 | -0.5pp $886 | base $872 | +0.5pp $857 | +1.0pp $843 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2043 Hazel Hedge Ln Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2001 | $1,650 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 2226 Carter Hill Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1506 | $905 | $0.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2045 Bullard St Unit 1043526P Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1797 | $2,198 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2014 Commodore St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $1,450 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2053 Gorgas St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1955 | $1,200 | $0.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2009 Palmetto St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1487 | $1,050 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1355 Magnolia Curv Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2260 | $1,800 | $0.80 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1425 Blairwood Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,850 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1842 Gillespie Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,650 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1450 Crenshaw Pl S Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1641 | $1,775 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1827 Pinecrest Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1893 | $1,550 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1839 Robison Hill Rd Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,550 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3136 Harrison Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1355 | $1,025 | $0.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2727 Boultier St Montgomery, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1070 | $1,582 | $1.48 | 14d | 3 | 0.95mi |
| 2113 Brewton St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1363 | $1,150 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 128 S Capitol Pkwy Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $1,500 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2004 Capitol Ave Unit 1043879P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1797 | $3,518 | $1.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1814 Sylvan Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1785 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2988 Old Farm Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2314 | $1,900 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1008 Pelham St Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,300 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2929 Canterbury Ct Unit 1043474P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2464 | $2,667 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2983 Old Farm Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,725 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 519 Thorn Pl Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1632 | $650 | $0.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3359 Bedford Ln Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $1,600 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 428 Thorn Pl Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1549 | $1,450 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2243 Winona Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1492 | $1,225 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 334 Felder Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2223 | $2,395 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 15 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 18 Oak Forest Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1580 | $1,050 | $0.66 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1501 Winona Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1930 | $1,000 | $0.52 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7 Bradley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1529 | $1,500 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 926 Green Ridge Ct Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $1,381 | $0.83 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1919 Norman Bridge Ct Unit 1043838P Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1539 | $4,108 | $2.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3256 Montezuma Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1515 | $1,450 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3356 Audubon Rd Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1340 | $950 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 401 Ridgewood Ln Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1513 | $1,195 | $0.79 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1216 Karen Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,350 | $0.83 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $54,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $54,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $54,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 263-char remark
-
2026-06-07$54,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $309 · $26/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $309 · $26/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,353
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$309
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,468
- − Management
- −$1,468
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $10,160
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,438
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,021/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,065
- Household income
- $69,087
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 876.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 43% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.82%
- Current HPI
- 151.1822
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.29%
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+12.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $54,900 MAAR
- 2026-05-08 Sold (MLS) $30,500 MAAR
- 2026-04-15 Pending — MAAR
- 2026-04-15 Relisted — MAAR
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $45,000 MAAR
- 2026-01-24 Price Changed $72,500 MAAR
- 2025-12-17 Price Changed $79,900 MAAR
- 2025-12-17 Listed $89,900 MAAR
- 2025-11-11 Listed $89,900 MAAR
- 2024-09-27 Rental Removed $1,150 MAAR
- 2024-06-12 Listed for Rent $1,150 MAAR
- 2023-03-09 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MAAR
- 2023-02-09 Pending — MAAR
- 2023-01-21 Relisted — MAAR
- 2023-01-13 Contingent — MAAR
- 2022-10-24 Listed $55,000 MAAR
- 2006-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $105,145 Public Records
- 2003-10-06 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MAAR
- 2003-07-10 Listed $39,500 MAAR
- 2003-03-05 Listed $49,000 MAAR
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2023): $309 · +49.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…