984 Manitou Cir · Graniteville, SC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- ARV discount +5.0/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 3-bath townhome in the highly desirable Providence Station at Trolley Run! Featuring an open-concept floor plan, this home offers a spacious great room with soaring 14.5-foot ceilings that create an airy, inviting atmosphere perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The well-appointed kitchen boasts stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and seamless flow into the dining and living areas. Additional upgrades include on-demand hot water and a washer and dryer that will remain with the home for added convenience. Step outside to enjoy the 9' x 9' screened-in covered porch overlooking the private, fenced, and professionally landscaped backyard. The adjoining patio provides additional outdoor living space ideal for grilling, relaxing, or entertaining guests. With three bedrooms, three full bathrooms, low-maintenance living, and a prime location close to shopping, dining, and all that Aiken has to offer, this move-in-ready townhome is a rare find. Schedule your private showing today!
Key facts
- Spacious great room
- Adjoining patio
- $66 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee of $795 (approx. $66.25/month); Community pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage with garage door opener; Total 2 parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Townhouse; One-level/one-story entry; Accessible entrance
- Construction: Built with stone, vinyl siding, and frame construction; Slab foundation; Composition/shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Front porch; Rear porch; Patio; Privacy fencing in back yard; Landscaped lot; Has a view; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Microwave; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total of 7 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fans; Electric heating; Forced air; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Vaulted ceilings; Entrance foyer; Ceiling fans; Pantry; Insulated windows; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Washer hookup; Dedicated laundry room; Gas water heater; Tankless water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-503/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (3.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (22.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $193k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#240 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Graniteville Elementary (math 27%, 377 students, 100% FRL); Leavelle Mccampbell Middle (math 19% / reading 32%, grade F, #162 of 229 statewide, top 71%, 650 students, 55% FRL); Midland Valley High (math 31% / reading 83%, grade C, #120 of 196 statewide, top 64%, 1,477 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 54% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 521 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.72%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $236,530
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 966 Manitou Cir | 0.02mi | 3/3.0 | 1,551 (+2%) | 6mo | $211,000 | $136 | 91 |
| 2056 Bonneville Cir | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,575 (+3%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $137 | 69 |
| 469 Tarsel Ct | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (-1%) | 2mo | $246,000 | $164 | 64 |
| 469 Tarsel Ct | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (-1%) | 2mo | $246,000 | $164 | 64 |
| 183 Bobwhite Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (-13%) | 8mo | $191,000 | $143 | 57 |
| 792 Grovebury Ct | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,435 (-6%) | 10mo | $215,500 | $150 | 50 |
| 788 Grovebury Ct | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 1,435 (-6%) | 10mo | $215,500 | $150 | 50 |
| 801 Grovebury Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.5 | 1,435 (-6%) | 10mo | $213,175 | $149 | 49 |
| 248 Staghorn Ct | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,385 (-9%) | 5mo | $215,000 | $155 | 45 |
| 266 Staghorn Ct | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,385 (-9%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $162 | 45 |
| 232 Staghorn Ct | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-12%) | 3mo | $228,900 | $170 | 42 |
| 250 Staghorn Ct | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,334 (-13%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $165 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-39,150
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-20,328
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29801
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 521
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,931 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,042/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$66
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $-42
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 983 Manitou Cir Aiken, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $1,980 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 266 Mansell Park Aiken, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1807 | $1,950 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 203 Bobwhite Dr Aiken, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $1,595 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 8034 Macbean Loop Aiken, SC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1034 | $1,745 | $1.69 | 13d | 47 | 0.43mi |
| 3124 Saint Charles Ave Aiken, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $2,085 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 430 Whitby Ct Aiken, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1749 | $2,050 | $1.17 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 721 Grovebury Ct Aiken, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1435 | $1,750 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4155 Vaucluse Rd Aiken, SC | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 1248 | $2,200 | $1.76 | 13d | 37 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $66 · $792/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $249,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $249,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $249,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $249,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$249,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,042 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,424 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- +$382/yr (+$32/mo · 36.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,173
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$1,042
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,854
- − Management
- −$1,854
- − HOA
- −$792
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$4,887
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,173
- After-tax cash flow
- $669/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Aiken 01
- NCES district ID
- 4500720
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,081
- Composite
- 31.91/100
- National rank
- #5857
- State rank
- #36 of 80 in SC
Livability — Graniteville
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #240
- US rank
- #19924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Aiken County · 116,534 people
- City population
- 12,385
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,108
- Household income
- $59,573
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1260.0
Population outlook (Aiken County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 178,003 people
- By 2030
- 182,876 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 189,970 · +6.7%
- By 2050
- 193,840 · +8.9%
- By 2075
- 199,453 · +12.1%
- By 2100
- 192,403 · +8.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 42% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Aiken
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.4% · R 62.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -25.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.9 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+24.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -278.52%
- Current HPI
- 173.7944
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.06%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-2.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $249,900 AMLS
- 2026-06-05 Listed $249,900 Hive MLS
- 2024-09-30 Sold (MLS) $239,900 Hive MLS
- 2024-09-30 Sold (MLS) $239,900 Hive MLS
- 2024-09-27 Sold (MLS) $239,900 AMLS
- 2024-08-19 Pending — AMLS
- 2024-07-02 Relisted — AMLS
- 2024-07-02 Price Changed $239,900 AMLS
- 2024-05-04 Price Changed $249,900 AMLS
- 2024-03-01 Relisted — AMLS
- 2024-03-01 Listed $239,900 Hive MLS
- 2024-03-01 Listed $239,900 Hive MLS
- 2024-02-01 Listed $254,900 AMLS
Property tax history
+32.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,042 · +76.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…