131 Campbell Rd · Jayess, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Modern 8-Year-Old Retreat on 1 Acre Modern 8-Year-Old Home - Commercial-Grade Tin Roof- 1 Cleared Acre -Experience the perfect blend of rugged durability and modern comfort in this custom-built home, only 8 years young. Situated on one full acre of cleared land, this 1,670 sq. ft. property is topped with a * * premium commercial-grade tin roof * * , ensuring maximum protection and low-maintenance living for decades to come. Stacked Washer/ Dryer to stay, along with deep freezer and Refigerator. Inside, you'll find exceptional wood craftsmanship and modern touches throughout, including quality ceramic tile in the kitchen and second bedroom. While currently a spacious 2-bedroom, 1-bat
Key facts
- Wood craftsmanship
- Cleared acre
- Quality ceramic tile
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Detached carport; Concrete driveway; Direct access; 1 carport space
- Utilities: Community water available; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family house; One level
- Construction: Vertical siding and wood siding; Combination foundation and slab; Aluminum roof; Accessible approach with ramp
- Exterior features: Front porch; Slab patio/porch; Lot cleared with few trees; Corners marked; Front yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Tile counters
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Central air; Ductless cooling; Multiple cooling units; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Bookcases; Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Natural woodwork; Pantry; Tile counters; Track lighting
- Laundry & utility: Stacked washer/dryer; Laundry located in multiple locations
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-58 ($-698/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (6.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (18.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $111k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Walthall County School District (rural): math 22% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #86 of 130 in MS (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
- Walthall County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.85%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $169,900
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -20.54%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.01% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $19,938
- Equity at exit
- $68,533
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $67,500
- Equity at exit
- $112,161
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39641
- Home prices YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,107 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $-58
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $135,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $135,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-24$135,000 Active 1879-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,288
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,063
- − Management
- −$1,063
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$3,027
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$727
- After-tax cash flow
- $29/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This 8-year-old single-family home on 1 acre features a commercial-grade tin roof, modern appliances, and well-maintained exterior. It is in good condition with minor cosmetic updates needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Resale Trim trees around house — Improves property aesthetics and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Resale Trim trees around house — Improves property aesthetics and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walthall County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2804440
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,939
- Composite
- 18.26/100
- National rank
- #8959
- State rank
- #86 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jayess
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,821
Population outlook (Walthall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,180 people
- By 2030
- 12,361 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 10,728 · -18.6%
- By 2050
- 9,233 · -29.9%
- By 2075
- 6,445 · -51.1%
- By 2100
- 4,955 · -62.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 28% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walthall
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.9) · D 36.1% · R 63.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.7pp toward R · 2008: -10.2pp · 2024: -26.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.9 2020: R+19.4 2016: R+15.2 2012: R+8.4 2008: R+10.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.01%
- Current HPI
- 142.2867
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $135,000 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…