1414 Sunset Dr · Pottstown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The Perfect Place To Call Home. Affordable Three Bedroom, 2 Story Colonial With 1 Car Attached Garage. Located Close To Schools And Public Transportation.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1950
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Front-entry attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas hot water
- Home design: Detached home; Estimated year built
- Construction: Masonry construction; Block foundation; Above-grade and below-grade structures
- Exterior features: No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Oil-fired heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement; One fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.0% in Pottstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#643 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Pottstown SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #504 of 539 in PA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Rupert El Sch (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,276 of 1,518 statewide, top 85%, 349 students, 100% FRL); Pottstown Ms (math 6% / reading 20%, grade F, #486 of 512 statewide, top 95%, 915 students, 100% FRL); Pottstown Shs (math 37% / reading 10%, grade F, #379 of 437 statewide, top 87%, 912 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 212 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,936 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $98k; list at $200k implies a 103% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.08%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $299,446
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -33.21%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1511 Cherry Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-0%) | 1mo | $330,000 | $215 | 82 |
| 1473 Cherry Ln | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 | 1,450 (-6%) | 10mo | $275,000 | $190 | 75 |
| 92 Cedar St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,494 (-3%) | 4mo | $395,000 | $264 | 65 |
| 1115 South St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,408 (-9%) | 1mo | $287,000 | $204 | 62 |
| 1112 Belleview Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,512 (-2%) | 14mo | $366,000 | $242 | 58 |
| 1031 Belleview Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,514 (-2%) | 19mo | $316,600 | $209 | 54 |
| 1018 Belleview Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,530 (-1%) | 22mo | $280,000 | $183 | 51 |
| 212 Highland Rd | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,399 (-9%) | 16mo | $311,000 | $222 | 51 |
| 1506 Sunset Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,712 (+11%) | 20mo | $315,000 | $184 | 49 |
| 582 N Keim St | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 | 1,408 (-9%) | 9mo | $289,900 | $206 | 48 |
| 944 E High St | 0.59mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,769 (+15%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $164 | 39 |
| 895 South St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,395 (-10%) | 15mo | $312,500 | $224 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.93% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-21,591
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $8,886
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19464
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 212
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,234 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$535 /mo · $6,422/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$469
- Net cashflow
- $97
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $210 | -5% $154 | +0% $97 | +5% $41 | +10% $-16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-79 | -5% $9 | +0% $97 | +5% $185 | +10% $274 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $198 | -0.5pp $148 | base $97 | +0.5pp $45 | +1.0pp $-7 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1412 Cherry Ln Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $2,200 | $2.04 | 0d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1318 Cherry St Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $2,250 | $1.81 | 0d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 421 Oaktree Ct Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1624 | $2,250 | $1.39 | 46d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 614 Beech St Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1360 | $1,900 | $1.40 | 46d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 226 Warren St Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1180 | $2,050 | $1.74 | 19d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 541 Lincoln Ave Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $1,975 | $1.81 | 26d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 33 Wil Be Dr Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,795 | $1.47 | 7d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 457 Walnut St Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,600 | $1.26 | 46d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 90 Wil Be Dr Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2020 | $2,800 | $1.39 | 26d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 415 Walnut St Unit 1 Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1730 | $1,800 | $1.04 | 26d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1267 Village Ln Pottstown, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1152 | $2,295 | $1.99 | 7d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 365 Beech St Pottstown, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1670 | $2,200 | $1.32 | 46d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 351 Union Aly Pottstown, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1408 | $1,995 | $1.42 | 4d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-31status $200,000 Pending 30 DOM
-
2026-04-30$200,000 Active 980-char remark
-
1999-12-21soldstatus $98,500
-
1999-12-20soldstatus $98,500 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
The Perfect Place To Call Home. Affordable Three Bedroom, 2 Story Colonial With 1 Car Attached Garage. Located Close To Schools And Public Transportation.
-
1999-11-01historical
-
1999-10-04$98,500 154-char remark
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
The Perfect Place To Call Home. Affordable Three Bedroom, 2 Story Colonial With 1 Car Attached Garage. Located Close To Schools And Public Transportation.
-
1999-10-04$105,000
Show marketing remark (154 chars)
The Perfect Place To Call Home. Affordable Three Bedroom, 2 Story Colonial With 1 Car Attached Garage. Located Close To Schools And Public Transportation.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,422 · $535/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,422 · $535/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,802
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$6,422
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,144
- − Management
- −$2,144
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$1,929
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$463
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,629/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pottstown SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219680
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -19.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,739
- Composite
- 14.78/100
- National rank
- #9390
- State rank
- #504 of 539 in PA
Livability — Pottstown
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #643
- US rank
- #6257
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pottstown, PA
- County
- Montgomery County · 712,331 people
- City population
- 49,101
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,101
- Household income
- $79,787
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1797.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 856,074 people
- By 2030
- 870,887 · +1.7%
- By 2040
- 891,195 · +4.1%
- By 2050
- 896,417 · +4.7%
- By 2075
- 903,212 · +5.5%
- By 2100
- 843,240 · -1.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Polish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.8) · D 60.9% · R 38.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.0pp toward D · 2008: 20.8pp · 2024: 22.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.8 2020: D+26.3 2016: D+21.1 2012: D+14.3 2008: D+20.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -253.73%
- Current HPI
- 271.9399
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.93%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+103.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $200,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $98,500 Public Records
- 1999-12-20 Sold (MLS) $98,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-11-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-10-04 Listed $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 1999-10-04 Listed $98,500 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2026): $6,422 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…