140 Lemonwood Ct · Springboro, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.9/30.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- ARV discount +5.8/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$374,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very nice 4 bed 2 st loc on a cul-de-sac st. Features include 1st flr study,formal liv & din,sunken fam rm w/WBFP,six panel drs & natural woodwork throughout. Master suite is very large w/walk-in closet. Great yard w/lg deck.
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Remodeled cabinetry
- Eat in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Attached two-car garage
- Utilities: Natural gas available; Public water; Sewer available
- Home design: Two-story home; Slab foundation
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Porch; Patio; Lot approximately 0.257 acre; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 11 x 13); Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the second floor (approx. 10 x 14 and 13 x 12)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $375k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-166 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $346k (7.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $288k (23.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $288k (23.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.0% in Springboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#93 in OH, #1,395 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Springboro Community City (rural): math 77% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #42 of 656 in OH (top 6%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Clearcreek Elementary School (917 students, 4% FRL); Springboro Junior High School (math 80% / reading 81%, grade A+, #41 of 654 statewide, top 7%, 928 students, 8% FRL); Springboro High School (math 67% / reading 84%, grade A-, #65 of 781 statewide, top 8%, 1,954 students, 7% FRL) — zoned schools at 6% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 220 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; list at $375k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.90%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $361,140
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 340 St James Pl | 0.28mi | 4/2.5 | 2,412 (+4%) | 3mo | $305,000 | $126 | 77 |
| 270 Foliage Ln | 0.08mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,219 (-4%) | 12mo | $375,000 | $169 | 72 |
| 540 Basil St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,308 (-0%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $149 | 71 |
| 120 Clearview Dr | 0.26mi | 4/2.5 | 2,169 (-6%) | 8mo | $360,000 | $166 | 71 |
| 85 Clearview Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,260 (-2%) | 9mo | $379,000 | $168 | 68 |
| 274 Tamarack Trl | 0.19mi | 4/2.5 | 2,606 (+13%) | 9mo | $369,900 | $142 | 63 |
| 225 Renwood Pl | 0.43mi | 4/3.5 | 2,062 (-11%) | 3mo | $317,000 | $154 | 55 |
| 510 Royal Springs Dr | 0.62mi | 4/2.5 | 2,494 (+8%) | 4mo | $388,000 | $156 | 55 |
| 508 King George Ct | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,012 (-13%) | 1mo | $390,000 | $194 | 50 |
| 525 Royal Springs Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,162 (-7%) | 7mo | $300,000 | $139 | 48 |
| 356 Saint James Pl | 0.30mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,645 (+14%) | 11mo | $410,000 | $155 | 46 |
| 490 Queensgate Rd | 0.55mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,057 (-11%) | 12mo | $416,000 | $202 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-71,398
- Equity at exit
- $55,899
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-76,021
- Equity at exit
- $32,415
Cash invested: $104,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45066
- Active inventory
- 220
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,878 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,966
- Tax from tax record
- −$318 /mo · $3,812/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$604
- Net cashflow
- $-166
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $46 | -5% $-60 | +0% $-166 | +5% $-273 | +10% $-379 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-394 | -5% $-280 | +0% $-166 | +5% $-53 | +10% $61 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $22 | -0.5pp $-71 | base $-166 | +0.5pp $-264 | +1.0pp $-362 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,725
- Closing costs
- $11,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Royal Dr Springboro, OH | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1200 | $3,995 | $3.33 | 3d | 3 | 0.74mi |
| 504 Brownstone Row Springboro, OH | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1800 | $2,750 | $1.53 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 75 Myers Farm Ct Springboro, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1714 | $2,400 | $1.40 | 9d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-05-20$374,900 Active
-
2003-07-15soldstatus $175,000
-
2003-06-27soldstatus $175,000 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Very nice 4 bed 2 st loc on a cul-de-sac st. Features include 1st flr study,formal liv & din,sunken fam rm w/WBFP,six panel drs & natural woodwork throughout. Master suite is very large w/walk-in closet. Great yard w/lg deck.
-
2003-05-01$182,900 233-char remark
Show marketing remark (233 chars)
Very nice 4 bed 2 st loc on a cul-de-sac st. Features include 1st flr study,formal liv & din,sunken fam rm w/WBFP,six panel drs & natural woodwork throughout. Master suite is very large w/walk-in closet. Great yard w/lg deck.
-
1999-02-10soldstatus $160,000
-
1989-05-15soldstatus $134,000
-
1987-09-17soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,812 · $318/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,830 · $403/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,018/yr (+$85/mo · 26.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,534
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,000
- − Property taxes
- −$3,812
- − Insurance
- −$1,874
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,763
- − Management
- −$2,763
- − Depreciation
- −$10,906
- Taxable loss
- −$8,584
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,060
- After-tax cash flow
- $63/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springboro Community City
- NCES district ID
- 3905042
- Math proficiency
- 77% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $101,069
- Composite
- 70.88/100
- National rank
- #247
- State rank
- #42 of 656 in OH
Livability — Springboro
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #1395
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springboro, OH
- County
- Warren County · 196,906 people
- City population
- 27,545
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,545
- Household income
- $131,250
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 139.0
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,603 people
- By 2030
- 259,345 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 277,666 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 289,599 · +16.5%
- By 2075
- 311,681 · +25.4%
- By 2100
- 302,738 · +21.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.5) · D 33.8% · R 65.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.5 2020: R+30.8 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+36.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.08%
- Current HPI
- 221.4007
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+1982.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-20 Listed $374,900 Dayton MLS
- 2003-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2003-06-27 Sold (MLS) $175,000 Cincy MLS
- 2003-05-01 Listed $182,900 Cincy MLS
- 1999-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 1989-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $134,000 Public Records
- 1987-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $3,812 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…