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307 S Augusta Ave
B- Composite 68.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

307 S Augusta Ave · Baltimore, MD 21229
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,048 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 176 Days on market
Built 1920 2,975 sqft lot $78/sqft · 53% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Huge home—an even bigger opportunity. This spacious single-family detached property offers exceptional potential for renovation and resale or a buy-and-hold investment with steady cash flow. With 6 generous bedrooms across 4 levels plus an unfinished basement ready to be transformed into additional usable space, the possibilities are endless. Ideal for room rentals, group home or assisted living uses (buyer to verify zoning), or for leasing to programs that offer guaranteed rental income, this home is a versatile investment in a high-demand market. Bring your vision—this property’s potential is limited only by your imagination.

Key facts

  • Unfinished basement
  • 2,975 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920

Tags

UNFINISHED BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $750 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
  • Recommended offer: $140k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 252 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,412/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 2776% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $120k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 24% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $139,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
11.95%
Cash-on-cash
20.22%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$338,420
List price
$159,000
Delta
-53.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
435 S Augusta Ave 0.12mi 7/2.0 (+1) 1,808 (-12%) 8mo $121,000 $67 63
4608 Cedar Garden Rd 0.56mi 6/3.0 2,109 (+3%) 17mo $350,000 $166 51
4107 Walrad St 0.09mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,310 (+13%) 23mo $330,000 $143 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$27,990
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
3.51×
Total profit
$111,649
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21229

Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,412 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$255 /mo · $3,061/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$506
Net cashflow
$750

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,462
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
715 N Rosedale St Baltimore, MD 5.0 3.0 1542 $2,550 $1.65 43d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 41 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $159,000 Pending 176 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,000 Active 176 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 174 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 Active 170 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 169 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 Active 168 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 Active 165 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,000 Active 164 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 163 DOM
  10. 2026-04-06
    price $159,000 653-char remark
    Show marketing remark (653 chars)

    Huge home—an even bigger opportunity. This spacious single-family detached property offers exceptional potential for renovation and resale or a buy-and-hold investment with steady cash flow. With 6 generous bedrooms across 4 levels plus an unfinished basement ready to be transformed into additional usable space, the possibilities are endless. Ideal for room rentals, group home or assisted living uses (buyer to verify zoning), or for leasing to programs that offer guaranteed rental income, this home is a versatile investment in a high-demand market. Bring your vision—this property’s potential is limited only by your imagination.

  11. 2026-04-06
    status Active 653-char remark
    Show marketing remark (653 chars)

    Huge home—an even bigger opportunity. This spacious single-family detached property offers exceptional potential for renovation and resale or a buy-and-hold investment with steady cash flow. With 6 generous bedrooms across 4 levels plus an unfinished basement ready to be transformed into additional usable space, the possibilities are endless. Ideal for room rentals, group home or assisted living uses (buyer to verify zoning), or for leasing to programs that offer guaranteed rental income, this home is a versatile investment in a high-demand market. Bring your vision—this property’s potential is limited only by your imagination.

  12. 2026-04-02
    historical 653-char remark
    Show marketing remark (653 chars)

    Huge home—an even bigger opportunity. This spacious single-family detached property offers exceptional potential for renovation and resale or a buy-and-hold investment with steady cash flow. With 6 generous bedrooms across 4 levels plus an unfinished basement ready to be transformed into additional usable space, the possibilities are endless. Ideal for room rentals, group home or assisted living uses (buyer to verify zoning), or for leasing to programs that offer guaranteed rental income, this home is a versatile investment in a high-demand market. Bring your vision—this property’s potential is limited only by your imagination.

  13. 2026-01-13
    price $169,900 653-char remark
    Show marketing remark (653 chars)

    Huge home—an even bigger opportunity. This spacious single-family detached property offers exceptional potential for renovation and resale or a buy-and-hold investment with steady cash flow. With 6 generous bedrooms across 4 levels plus an unfinished basement ready to be transformed into additional usable space, the possibilities are endless. Ideal for room rentals, group home or assisted living uses (buyer to verify zoning), or for leasing to programs that offer guaranteed rental income, this home is a versatile investment in a high-demand market. Bring your vision—this property’s potential is limited only by your imagination.

  14. 2025-12-12
    listed $179,900 Active 653-char remark
    Show marketing remark (653 chars)

    Huge home—an even bigger opportunity. This spacious single-family detached property offers exceptional potential for renovation and resale or a buy-and-hold investment with steady cash flow. With 6 generous bedrooms across 4 levels plus an unfinished basement ready to be transformed into additional usable space, the possibilities are endless. Ideal for room rentals, group home or assisted living uses (buyer to verify zoning), or for leasing to programs that offer guaranteed rental income, this home is a versatile investment in a high-demand market. Bring your vision—this property’s potential is limited only by your imagination.

  15. 2018-07-09
    soldstatus $120,000 Sold 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Rare Fine, well maintained and recently remodeled residential detached home w/ 6 bedrooms 2 full baths, at first time homeowner price range. This home can be used for a large family ready to move into quiet community with, no improvements necessary. Or an investor who can rent it the entire home or each room as a boarding house. Located w/ close access to major roadways & highways & shopping district.

  16. 2018-07-09
    soldstatus $120,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Rare Fine, well maintained and recently remodeled residential detached home w/ 6 bedrooms 2 full baths, at first time homeowner price range. This home can be used for a large family ready to move into quiet community with, no improvements necessary. Or an investor who can rent it the entire home or each room as a boarding house. Located w/ close access to major roadways & highways & shopping district.

  17. 2018-07-06
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Rare Fine, well maintained and recently remodeled residential detached home w/ 6 bedrooms 2 full baths, at first time homeowner price range. This home can be used for a large family ready to move into quiet community with, no improvements necessary. Or an investor who can rent it the entire home or each room as a boarding house. Located w/ close access to major roadways & highways & shopping district.

  18. 2018-07-06
    status Contract 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Rare Fine, well maintained and recently remodeled residential detached home w/ 6 bedrooms 2 full baths, at first time homeowner price range. This home can be used for a large family ready to move into quiet community with, no improvements necessary. Or an investor who can rent it the entire home or each room as a boarding house. Located w/ close access to major roadways & highways & shopping district.

  19. 2018-07-02
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Rare Fine, well maintained and recently remodeled residential detached home w/ 6 bedrooms 2 full baths, at first time homeowner price range. This home can be used for a large family ready to move into quiet community with, no improvements necessary. Or an investor who can rent it the entire home or each room as a boarding house. Located w/ close access to major roadways & highways & shopping district.

  20. 2018-07-02
    status Active 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Rare Fine, well maintained and recently remodeled residential detached home w/ 6 bedrooms 2 full baths, at first time homeowner price range. This home can be used for a large family ready to move into quiet community with, no improvements necessary. Or an investor who can rent it the entire home or each room as a boarding house. Located w/ close access to major roadways & highways & shopping district.

  21. 2018-06-18
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Rare Fine, well maintained and recently remodeled residential detached home w/ 6 bedrooms 2 full baths, at first time homeowner price range. This home can be used for a large family ready to move into quiet community with, no improvements necessary. Or an investor who can rent it the entire home or each room as a boarding house. Located w/ close access to major roadways & highways & shopping district.

  22. 2018-06-18
    status Contract 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Rare Fine, well maintained and recently remodeled residential detached home w/ 6 bedrooms 2 full baths, at first time homeowner price range. This home can be used for a large family ready to move into quiet community with, no improvements necessary. Or an investor who can rent it the entire home or each room as a boarding house. Located w/ close access to major roadways & highways & shopping district.

  23. 2018-05-31
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Rare Fine, well maintained and recently remodeled residential detached home w/ 6 bedrooms 2 full baths, at first time homeowner price range. This home can be used for a large family ready to move into quiet community with, no improvements necessary. Or an investor who can rent it the entire home or each room as a boarding house. Located w/ close access to major roadways & highways & shopping district.

  24. 2018-05-31
    historical Contingent (Kick Out) 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Rare Fine, well maintained and recently remodeled residential detached home w/ 6 bedrooms 2 full baths, at first time homeowner price range. This home can be used for a large family ready to move into quiet community with, no improvements necessary. Or an investor who can rent it the entire home or each room as a boarding house. Located w/ close access to major roadways & highways & shopping district.

  25. 2018-02-04
    listed $119,900 Active 417-char remark
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Rare Fine, well maintained and recently remodeled residential detached home w/ 6 bedrooms 2 full baths, at first time homeowner price range. This home can be used for a large family ready to move into quiet community with, no improvements necessary. Or an investor who can rent it the entire home or each room as a boarding house. Located w/ close access to major roadways & highways & shopping district.

  26. 2018-02-04
    listed $119,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (417 chars)

    Rare Fine, well maintained and recently remodeled residential detached home w/ 6 bedrooms 2 full baths, at first time homeowner price range. This home can be used for a large family ready to move into quiet community with, no improvements necessary. Or an investor who can rent it the entire home or each room as a boarding house. Located w/ close access to major roadways & highways & shopping district.

  27. 2010-01-22
    soldstatus $50,000
  28. 2010-01-22
    soldstatus $50,000 Sold
  29. 2009-12-24
    status Contingent (No Kick Out)
  30. 2009-12-23
    historical
  31. 2009-12-09
    price $59,500
  32. 2009-11-07
    listed $69,900 Active
  33. 2009-11-06
    listed $59,500
  34. 2006-03-02
    soldstatus $58,200
  35. 2006-02-01
    historical
  36. 2005-12-05
    listed
  37. 2001-10-29
    soldstatus $18,900
  38. 2001-08-15
    historical
  39. 2001-05-23
    listed $18,900
  40. 1996-07-30
    soldstatus $44,000
  41. 1989-12-26
    soldstatus $38,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,061 · $255/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,061 · $255/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 24% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,940
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$3,061
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,315
− Management
−$2,315
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable income
$6,922
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,661
After-tax cash flow
$7,340/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
46,679
Household income
$60,047
Rent vs Own
43.1% rent · 56.9% own
Severe rent burden
2776.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (73%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 73% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -259.07%
Current HPI
226.896
Rent YoY
▲ 5.38%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+318.4% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $159,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-13 Price Changed $169,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-12 Listed $179,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-07-09 Sold (MLS) $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-07-09 Sold (MLS) $120,000 MRIS
  • 2018-07-06 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-07-06 Pending MRIS
  • 2018-07-02 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-07-02 Relisted MRIS
  • 2018-06-18 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-06-18 Pending MRIS
  • 2018-05-31 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-05-31 Contingent MRIS
  • 2018-02-04 Listed $119,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-02-04 Listed $119,900 MRIS
  • 2010-01-22 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MRIS
  • 2010-01-22 Sold (MLS) $50,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-12-24 Pending MRIS
  • 2009-12-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-12-09 Price Changed $59,500 MRIS
  • 2009-11-07 Listed $69,900 MRIS
  • 2009-11-06 Listed $59,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $58,200 Public Records
  • 2006-02-01 Delisted MRIS
  • 2005-12-05 Listed MRIS
  • 2001-10-29 Sold (MLS) $18,900 MRIS
  • 2001-08-15 Delisted MRIS
  • 2001-05-23 Listed $18,900 MRIS
  • 1996-07-30 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
  • 1989-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,061 · +19.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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